WON Tip WON Cork City 4-2 Kerry
C

Cork City

Home
D W W W D
8W 2D 0L ▲ Improving
VS
4-2
K
Kerry
Away
L L W D D
1W 3D 6L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Monday, 6th April 2026
1
Backing Cork City to win
Cork City 50%
Draw 30%
Kerry 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 76.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -8.9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Cork City to win
1.30
BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Cork City vs Kerry Competition: Ireland Division 1 Date: Monday, 6th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Cork City to win) Odds: 1.30 Confidence: 68% Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
6
Cork City
1
Draws
0
Kerry
7
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
57%
BTTS
43%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Cork City won 6 of the last 7 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Cork City
Metric
Kerry
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.8
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
8-2-0
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate
80%
10%
2.8
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
C0
0-0 6.1%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 2.2%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
C1
1-0 11.9%
1-1 10.1%
1-2 4.3%
1-3 1.2%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.0%
C2
2-0 11.6%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 4.2%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.0%
C3
3-0 7.5%
3-1 6.4%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 3.7%
4-1 3.1%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 1.4%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.9%) 2-0(11.6%) 2-1(9.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Cork City Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Kerry Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Cork City
Overall
8.6
Scoring
7.0
Defence
8.0
Kerry
Overall
1.9
Scoring
3.7
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 49%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 2%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 39%
Home Win & Under 2.5 32%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 4%
Away Win & Under 2.5 4%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
04.02.26
CF: Cork City4
Kerry FC1
05.02.25
CF: Kerry FC1
Cork City2
13.09.24
DIV: Kerry FC1
Cork City4
26.07.24
DIV: Cork City2
Kerry FC0
03.05.24
DIV: Kerry FC0
Cork City1
16.02.24
DIV: Cork City2
Kerry FC0
14.04.09
LC: Kerry FC1
Cork City (Cork won via Pens)1
Recent Form
Cork City
03.04.26
First Div: Finn Harps0
Cork City0
D
27.03.26
First Div: Cork City4
Athlone Town1
W
20.03.26
First Div: UC Dublin0
Cork City1
W
13.03.26
First Div: Cork City2
Longford Town1
W
06.03.26
First Div: Cobh Ramblers1
Cork City1
D
27.02.26
First Div: Cork City1
Bray Wanderers0
W
20.02.26
First Div: Wexford FC1
Cork City4
W
13.02.26
First Div: Cork City1
Treaty United0
W
04.02.26
Friendly: Cork City4
Kerry FC1
W
29.01.26
Friendly: Cork City3
Galway United1
W
Kerry
03.04.26
First Div: Kerry FC1
Cobh Ramblers2
L
27.03.26
First Div: Bray Wanderers2
Kerry FC1
L
20.03.26
First Div: Kerry FC1
Finn Harps0
W
13.03.26
First Div: Wexford FC1
Kerry FC1
D
06.03.26
First Div: Treaty United2
Kerry FC2
D
27.02.26
First Div: Kerry FC1
Longford Town1
D
20.02.26
First Div: Kerry FC0
Athlone Town1
L
13.02.26
First Div: UC Dublin2
Kerry FC1
L
04.02.26
Friendly: Cork City4
Kerry FC1
L
20.01.26
Friendly: Waterford FC3
Kerry FC2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 6th April 2026, Cork City host Kerry in Ireland Division 1. We recommend Cork City to win as the standout selection.

Cork City arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Kerry are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Cork City, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Kerry's 0, with 1 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 57% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cork city to win at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Ireland Division 1 fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.30 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Cork City vs Kerry?
Our selection is 1 — Cork City to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Cork City's current form?
Cork City have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kerry been performing recently?
Kerry have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cork City lead with 6 wins versus Kerry's 0, with 1 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 57%.
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