LOST Tip LOST Al Hilal 3-3 Al Sadd
A

Al Hilal

Home
W D W W W
6W 4D 0L → Steady
VS
3-3
A
Al Sadd
Away
W D L L W
6W 1D 3L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Monday, 13th April 2026
1
Backing Al Hilal to win
Al Hilal 50%
Draw 30%
Al Sadd 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 73.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -20.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Al Hilal to win
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Hilal vs Al Sadd Competition: AFC Champions League Date: Monday, 13th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Al Hilal to win) Odds: 1.36 Confidence: 53% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Al Hilal
2
Draws
3
Al Sadd
10
Meetings
3.2
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Neutral Al Hilal won 5 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Hilal
Metric
Al Sadd
2.5
Goals For / Game
2.2
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.6
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-4-0
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate
60%
60%
3.6
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 2.7%
0-1 4.2%
0-2 3.3%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.2%
A1
1-0 5.6%
1-1 8.7%
1-2 6.7%
1-3 3.5%
1-4 1.4%
1-5 0.4%
A2
2-0 5.7%
2-1 8.9%
2-2 6.9%
2-3 3.6%
2-4 1.4%
2-5 0.4%
A3
3-0 3.9%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 4.7%
3-3 2.4%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
A4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 3.1%
4-2 2.4%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.2%
A5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 1.0%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(8.9%) 3-1(6.1%) 2-0(5.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Hilal Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Al Sadd Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Hilal
Overall
7.2
Scoring
8.3
Defence
7.0
Al Sadd
Overall
6.3
Scoring
7.3
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 12%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 27%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
21.10.25
ACL Elite (Group): Al Hilal3
Al Sadd1
26.11.24
ACL Elite: Al Sadd1
Al Hilal1
30.07.23
Arab Club Champions Cup: Al Hilal2
Al Sadd3
22.10.19
Champions League: Al Hilal2
Al Sadd4
01.10.19
Champions League: Al Sadd1
Al Hilal4
05.05.15
Champions League: Al Hilal2
Al Sadd1
04.03.15
Champions League: Al Sadd1
Al Hilal0
26.08.14
Champions League: Al Sadd0
Al Hilal0
19.08.14
Champions League: Al Hilal1
Al Sadd0
01.04.14
Champions League: Al Hilal5
Al Sadd0
Recent Form
Al Hilal
08.04.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Hilal6
Al Kholood0
W
04.04.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Hilal2
Al Taawon2
D
18.03.26
King’s Cup (SF): Al Ahli SC1
Al Hilal - W (Pens)1
14.03.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Fateh0
Al Hilal1
W
06.03.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Hilal4
Al Najma0
W
27.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Shabab3
Al Hilal5
W
24.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Taawon1
Al Hilal1
D
21.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Hilal1
Al Ittihad1
D
16.02.26
ACL Elite: Al Hilal2
Al Wahda1
W
13.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Hilal2
Al Ettifaq0
W
Al Sadd
08.04.26
Qatari Stars League: Al Sailiya1
Al Sadd3
W
04.04.26
Qatari Stars League: Al Rayyan1
Al Sadd1
D
17.03.26
Qatari Stars League: Al Arabi2
Al Sadd1
L
13.03.26
Qatari Stars League: Al Sadd2
Umm Salal5
L
26.02.26
Qatari Stars League: Al Duhail1
Al Sadd3
W
22.02.26
Qatari Stars League: Al Wakra1
Al Sadd3
W
17.02.26
ACL Elite: Al Sadd1
Al Ittihad4
L
14.02.26
Emir Cup: Al Sadd2
Al Markhiya1
W
10.02.26
ACL Elite: Tractor SC0
Al Sadd2
W
05.02.26
Qatari Stars League: Al Sadd4
Al Shahaniya0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 13th April 2026, Al Hilal host Al Sadd in AFC Champions League. We recommend Al Hilal to win as the standout selection.

Al Hilal arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Al Sadd are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 1D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Hilal, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Al Sadd's 3, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al hilal to win at odds of 1.36 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming AFC Champions League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.36 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Hilal vs Al Sadd?
Our selection is 1 — Al Hilal to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Al Hilal's current form?
Al Hilal have won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Sadd been performing recently?
Al Sadd have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Hilal lead with 5 wins versus Al Sadd's 3, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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