WON Tip WON Jong Ajax 1-2 Oss
J

Jong Ajax

Home
L L L W W
1W 2D 5L ▼ Declining
VS
1-2
O
Oss
Away
W L W D L
4W 1D 5L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Monday, 13th April 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 69.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +2.6% Value detected
Kelly % 8.4% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.44
Under 2.5 Goals94% BTTS — No93%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Jong Ajax vs Oss Competition: Eerste Divisie Date: Monday, 13th April 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.44 Confidence: 72% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (94%) Also: BTTS — No (93%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Jong Ajax
4
Draws
4
Oss
10
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Over 2.5 in 40% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Jong Ajax
Metric
Oss
0.3
Goals For / Game
0
0.4
Goals Against / Game
0
13%
Clean Sheets
0%
1-2-5
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
13%
40%
0.3
Avg Goals
6%
Over 1.5
6%
Over 2.5
7%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
O0
O1
O2
O3
O4
O5
J0
0-0 67.0%
0-1 13.4%
0-2 1.3%
0-3 0.1%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
J1
1-0 13.4%
1-1 2.7%
1-2 0.3%
1-3 0.0%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
J2
2-0 1.3%
2-1 0.3%
2-2 0.0%
2-3 0.0%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
J3
3-0 0.1%
3-1 0.0%
3-2 0.0%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
J4
4-0 0.0%
4-1 0.0%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
J5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-0(67.0%) 0-1(13.4%) 1-0(13.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip J=Home goals ↓   O=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Jong Ajax
Overall
2.0
Scoring
0.8
Defence
8.8
Oss
Overall
4.3
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 1%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 1%
Draw & BTTS No 23%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 3%
Away Win & BTTS No 54%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 1%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 1%
Draw & Under 2.5 23%
Away Win & Over 2.5 3%
Away Win & Under 2.5 54%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
21.10.25
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax1
TOP Oss1
09.05.25
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax0
TOP Oss0
13.12.24
Eerste Divisie: TOP Oss2
Jong Ajax1
16.02.24
Eerste Divisie: TOP Oss2
Jong Ajax1
24.11.23
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax1
TOP Oss0
06.03.23
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax1
TOP Oss2
09.09.22
Eerste Divisie: TOP Oss1
Jong Ajax1
04.04.22
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax4
TOP Oss1
10.12.21
Eerste Divisie: TOP Oss1
Jong Ajax1
09.04.21
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax0
TOP Oss1
Recent Form
Jong Ajax
06.04.26
Eerste Divisie: Telstar3
TOP Oss1
L
30.03.26
Eerste Divisie: TOP Oss0
Jong PSV0
D
23.03.26
Eerste Divisie: Helmond Sport2
TOP Oss1
L
13.03.26
Eerste Divisie: TOP Oss2
ADO Den Haag1
W
06.03.26
Eerste Divisie: MVV Maastricht3
TOP Oss1
L
27.02.26
Eerste Divisie: TOP Oss1
FC Den Bosch1
D
20.02.26
Eerste Divisie: FC Emmen2
TOP Oss1
L
13.02.26
Eerste Divisie: TOP Oss3
Jong AZ2
W
Oss
06.04.26
Eerste Divisie: Vitesse6
Jong Ajax1
L
03.04.26
Eerste Divisie: ADO Den Haag4
Jong Ajax2
L
20.03.26
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax0
Almere City2
L
17.03.26
Eerste Divisie: VVV-Venlo0
Jong Ajax1
W
13.03.26
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax3
FC Den Bosch2
W
06.03.26
Eerste Divisie: FC Eindhoven2
Jong Ajax1
L
27.02.26
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax5
Helmond Sport1
W
23.02.26
Eerste Divisie: FC Emmen0
Jong Ajax0
D
20.02.26
Eerste Divisie: FC Dordrecht0
Jong Ajax1
W
16.02.26
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax1
SC Cambuur2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 13th April 2026, Jong Ajax host Oss in Eerste Divisie. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Jong Ajax arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from their last 8 outings.

Oss are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Jong Ajax, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Oss's 4, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.44 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Eerste Divisie fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is Over 2.5, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.44 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Jong Ajax vs Oss?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.44. Tip confidence rating: 72%.
What is Jong Ajax's current form?
Jong Ajax have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 8 matches.
How has Oss been performing recently?
Oss have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Jong Ajax lead with 2 wins versus Oss's 4, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 0.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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