WON Tip WON Borneo 2-0 Persita
B

Borneo

Home
W W W W W
7W 2D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
2-0
P
Persita
Away
W L L L L
4W 0D 6L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 5th May 2026
1
Backing Borneo to win
Borneo 50%
Draw 30%
Persita 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 70.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -18.9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
3
Borneo
5
Draws
1
Persita
9
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
44%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Borneo won 3 of the last 9 meetings (5 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Borneo
Metric
Persita
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.1
1
Goals Against / Game
1
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-2-1
W — D — L
4-0-6
Win Rate
70%
40%
2.9
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
B0
0-0 5.8%
0-1 6.1%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 10.4%
1-1 10.9%
1-2 5.7%
1-3 2.0%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 9.4%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 5.6%
3-1 5.9%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 2.7%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.4%) 2-1(9.8%) 2-0(9.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Borneo Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Persita Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Borneo
Overall
7.6
Scoring
8.7
Defence
6.7
Persita
Overall
4.0
Scoring
3.7
Defence
6.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 19%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
09.01.26SL
Persita2
Borneo0
22.02.25SL
Persita1
Borneo2
30.09.24SL
Borneo0
Persita0
02.03.24SL
Persita0
Borneo1
25.08.23SL
Borneo2
Persita1
20.02.23SL
Persita1
Borneo1
09.09.22SL
Borneo2
Persita2
02.02.22SL
Persita1
Borneo1
02.10.21SL
Borneo2
Persita2
Recent Form
Borneo
29.04.26SL
Persik Kediri0
Borneo1
W
25.04.26SL
Borneo3
Semen Padang0
W
18.04.26SL
PSM Makassar1
Borneo2
W
11.04.26SL
Borneo5
PSBS Biak Numfor1
W
05.04.26SL
Madura United1
Borneo3
W
15.03.26SL
Borneo1
Persib Bandung1
D
07.03.26SL
Borneo5
Persebaya1
W
03.03.26SL
Persija Jakarta2
Borneo2
D
26.02.26SL
Borneo3
Arema FC1
W
22.02.26SL
Dewa United2
Borneo1
L
Persita
30.04.26SL
PSIM Yogyakarta0
Persita1
W
23.04.26SL
Persita0
Bali United1
L
19.04.26SL
Persik Kediri1
Persita0
L
10.04.26SL
Persita0
Arema FC1
L
04.04.26SL
Persebaya1
Persita0
L
07.03.26SL
Persita4
Madura United1
W
02.03.26SL
PSM Makassar2
Persita4
W
26.02.26SL
Persita0
Dewa United1
L
22.02.26SL
Persib Bandung1
Persita0
L
16.02.26SL
Persita2
PSBS Biak Numfor1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 5th May 2026, Borneo host Persita in Indonesia Super League. We recommend Borneo to win as the standout selection.

Borneo arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Persita are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 0D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Borneo, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Persita's 1, with 5 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: borneo to win at odds of 1.41 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Indonesia Super League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.41 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Borneo vs Persita?
Our selection is 1 — Borneo to win, priced at approximately 1.41. Tip confidence rating: 52%.
What is Borneo's current form?
Borneo have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Persita been performing recently?
Persita have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Borneo lead with 3 wins versus Persita's 1, with 5 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
⚠️
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