WON Tip WON Waterhouse 4-0 Dunbeholden
W

Waterhouse

Home
W L L W W
6W 1D 3L → Steady
VS
4-0
D
Dunbeholden
Away
L L W L D
5W 1D 4L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 6th May 2026
1
Backing Waterhouse to win
Waterhouse 50%
Draw 30%
Dunbeholden 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 80% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -30% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
4
Waterhouse
4
Draws
2
Dunbeholden
10
Meetings
1.9
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Waterhouse won 4 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Waterhouse
Metric
Dunbeholden
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.4
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
6-1-3
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
60%
50%
2.6
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
W0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 7.8%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
W1
1-0 11.5%
1-1 12.1%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
W2
2-0 8.9%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
W3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 4.8%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
W4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
W5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.5%) 2-1(9.4%) 2-0(8.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip W=Home goals ↓   D=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Waterhouse Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Dunbeholden Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Waterhouse
Overall
6.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
7.0
Dunbeholden
Overall
5.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
08.02.26PL
Dunbeholden1
Waterhouse2
19.10.25PL
Waterhouse0
Dunbeholden0
04.05.25PL
Waterhouse2
Dunbeholden0
16.02.25PL
Dunbeholden1
Waterhouse0
08.12.24PL
Waterhouse3
Dunbeholden2
24.03.24PL
Waterhouse1
Dunbeholden0
27.12.23PL
Dunbeholden2
Waterhouse1
28.03.23PL
Waterhouse0
Dunbeholden0
28.12.22PL
Dunbeholden0
Waterhouse0
17.04.22PL
Dunbeholden2
Waterhouse2
Recent Form
Waterhouse
03.05.26PL
Waterhouse3
Chapelton0
W
28.04.26PL
Mount Pleasant2
Waterhouse1
L
24.04.26PL
Waterhouse1
Treasure Beach2
L
19.04.26PL
Harbour View0
Waterhouse1
W
16.04.26PL
Waterhouse1
Tivoli0
W
12.04.26PL
Racing United0
Waterhouse1
W
06.04.26PL
Waterhouse1
Arnett Gardens1
D
31.03.26PL
Waterhouse5
Spanish Town Police1
W
26.03.26PL
Portmore2
Waterhouse1
L
23.03.26PL
Waterhouse2
Cavalier1
W
Dunbeholden
03.05.26PL
Dunbeholden0
Mount Pleasant5
L
26.04.26PL
Treasure Beach1
Dunbeholden0
L
23.04.26PL
Dunbeholden4
Harbour View0
W
19.04.26PL
Tivoli2
Dunbeholden0
L
15.04.26PL
Racing United0
Dunbeholden0
D
12.04.26PL
Arnett Gardens1
Dunbeholden2
W
05.04.26PL
Spanish Town Police4
Dunbeholden1
L
29.03.26PL
Dunbeholden2
Portmore1
W
26.03.26PL
Cavalier0
Dunbeholden2
W
22.03.26PL
Dunbeholden1
Molynes0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 6th May 2026, Waterhouse host Dunbeholden in Jamaica Premier League. We recommend Waterhouse to win as the standout selection.

Waterhouse arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Dunbeholden are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Waterhouse, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Dunbeholden's 2, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: waterhouse to win at odds of 1.25 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Jamaica Premier League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.25 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Waterhouse vs Dunbeholden?
Our selection is 1 — Waterhouse to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Waterhouse's current form?
Waterhouse have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Dunbeholden been performing recently?
Dunbeholden have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Waterhouse lead with 4 wins versus Dunbeholden's 2, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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