WON Tip WON Auda 7-0 Grobina
A

Auda

Home
W W W D L
7W 1D 2L → Steady
VS
7-0
G
Grobina
Away
D D L L D
2W 4D 4L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 7th May 2026
1
Backing Auda to win
Auda 50%
Draw 30%
Grobina 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 71.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -12.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
6
Auda
3
Draws
1
Grobina
10
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Auda won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Auda
Metric
Grobina
1.8
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.1
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-1-2
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate
70%
20%
2.4
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
A0
0-0 9.5%
0-1 8.6%
0-2 3.9%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 13.8%
1-1 12.5%
1-2 5.6%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 10.0%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 4.1%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 4.9%
3-1 4.4%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.8%) 2-0(10.0%) 2-1(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   G=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Auda Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Grobina Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Auda
Overall
7.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
6.0
Grobina
Overall
3.2
Scoring
2.0
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 37%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.03.26VIR
Grobina0
Auda2
09.11.25VIR
Grobina2
Auda2
24.08.25VIR
Auda1
Grobina0
06.08.25LC
Auda1
Grobina0
18.06.25VIR
Grobina1
Auda2
24.04.25VIR
Auda2
Grobina0
22.09.24VIR
Auda2
Grobina0
02.07.24VIR
Auda0
Grobina1
11.05.24VIR
Grobina2
Auda2
31.03.24VIR
Grobina1
Auda1
Recent Form
Auda
01.05.26VIR
Super Nova1
Auda2
W
26.04.26VIR
Auda2
Tukums 20001
W
21.04.26VIR
Jelgava2
Auda3
W
17.04.26VIR
Ogre United1
Auda1
D
12.04.26VIR
Auda2
BFC Daugavpils3
L
08.04.26VIR
FK Liepaja1
Auda2
W
04.04.26VIR
RFS0
Auda1
W
20.03.26VIR
Auda1
Riga FC2
L
14.03.26VIR
Grobina0
Auda2
W
08.03.26VIR
Auda2
Super Nova1
W
Grobina
02.05.26VIR
Grobina1
BFC Daugavpils1
D
28.04.26VIR
FK Liepaja1
Grobina1
D
22.04.26VIR
Grobina0
RFS1
L
18.04.26VIR
Grobina0
Riga FC3
L
13.04.26VIR
Ogre United1
Grobina1
D
09.04.26VIR
Grobina0
Super Nova1
L
05.04.26VIR
Tukums 20001
Grobina1
D
21.03.26VIR
Jelgava0
Grobina1
W
14.03.26VIR
Grobina0
Auda2
L
07.03.26VIR
BFC Daugavpils0
Grobina1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 7th May 2026, Auda host Grobina in Latvia Virsliga. We recommend Auda to win as the standout selection.

Auda arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Grobina are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 4D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Auda, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Grobina's 1, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: auda to win at odds of 1.40 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Latvia Virsliga fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.40 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Auda vs Grobina?
Our selection is 1 — Auda to win, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Auda's current form?
Auda have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Grobina been performing recently?
Grobina have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Auda lead with 6 wins versus Grobina's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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