WON Tip WON Al Hilal 2-0 Neom SC
A

Al Hilal

Home
D W W W W
7W 2D 1L → Steady
VS
2-0
N
Neom SC
Away
W D D L W
3W 4D 3L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 16th May 2026
1
Backing Al Hilal to win
Al Hilal 60%
Draw 20%
Neom SC 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 84.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -14.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Al Hilal to win
1.18
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Hilal vs Neom SC Competition: Saudi Professional League Date: Saturday, 16th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Al Hilal to win) Odds: 1.18 Confidence: 70% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Al Hilal
0
Draws
0
Neom SC
1
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Al Hilal won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Hilal
Metric
Neom SC
2.3
Goals For / Game
1.5
1
Goals Against / Game
1.5
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-2-1
W — D — L
3-4-3
Win Rate
70%
30%
3.2
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
A0
0-0 4.3%
0-1 5.4%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 8.1%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 2.7%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
A2
2-0 7.7%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 6.0%
2-3 2.5%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
A3
3-0 4.9%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 3.8%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 2.3%
4-1 2.9%
4-2 1.8%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.7%) 1-0(8.1%) 2-0(7.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   N=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Hilal Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Neom SC Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Hilal
Overall
7.6
Scoring
7.7
Defence
6.7
Neom SC
Overall
4.2
Scoring
5.0
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
18.01.26SPL
Neom SC1
Al Hilal2
Recent Form
Al Hilal
12.05.26SPL
Al Nassr1
Al Hilal1
D
08.05.26KC
Al Kholood1
Al Hilal2
W
05.05.26SPL
Al Khaleej1
Al Hilal2
W
02.05.26SPL
Al Hazem0
Al Hilal3
W
28.04.26SPL
Al Hilal1
Damac0
W
13.04.26CL
Al Hilal3
Al-Sadd4
L
08.04.26SPL
Al Hilal6
Al Kholood0
W
04.04.26SPL
Al Hilal2
Al Taawon2
D
18.03.26KC
Al Ahli SC1
Al Hilal2
W
14.03.26SPL
Al Fateh0
Al Hilal1
W
Neom SC
11.05.26SPL
Neom SC2
Al Shabab1
W
02.05.26SPL
Al Fateh2
Neom SC2
D
28.04.26SPL
Neom SC1
Al Hazem1
D
11.04.26SPL
Al Najma2
Neom SC1
L
08.04.26SPL
Al Ittihad3
Neom SC4
W
04.04.26SPL
Neom SC1
Al Fayha0
W
12.03.26SPL
Neom SC2
Al Taawon2
D
07.03.26SPL
Al Nassr1
Neom SC0
L
28.02.26SPL
Neom SC1
Al Kholood2
L
25.02.26SPL
Al Fayha1
Neom SC1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 16th May 2026, Al Hilal host Neom SC in Saudi Professional League. We recommend Al Hilal to win as the standout selection.

Al Hilal arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Neom SC are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 4D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Hilal, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Neom SC's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al hilal to win at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Saudi Professional League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.18 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Hilal vs Neom SC?
Our selection is 1 — Al Hilal to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 70%.
What is Al Hilal's current form?
Al Hilal have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Neom SC been performing recently?
Neom SC have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Hilal lead with 1 wins versus Neom SC's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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