WON Tip WON Noah 8-3 Ararat Yerevan
N

Noah

Home
W W W D D
7W 3D 0L ▲ Improving
VS
8-3
A
Ararat Yerevan
Away
L W L W L
3W 0D 7L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 19th May 2026
1
Backing Noah to win
Noah 60%
Draw 20%
Ararat Yerevan 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 89.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -21.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Noah to win
1.12
BTTS — No65% Noah Clean Sheet70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Noah vs Ararat Yerevan Competition: Armenia Premier League Date: Tuesday, 19th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Noah to win) Odds: 1.12 Confidence: 68% Also: BTTS — No (65%) Also: Noah Clean Sheet (70%)
Head to Head
Record
8
Noah
0
Draws
2
Ararat Yerevan
10
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Noah won 8 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Noah
Metric
Ararat Yerevan
2.1
Goals For / Game
1
0.4
Goals Against / Game
1.8
70%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-3-0
W — D — L
3-0-7
Win Rate
70%
30%
2.7
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
N0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 5.0%
0-2 1.7%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
N1
1-0 13.8%
1-1 9.6%
1-2 3.4%
1-3 0.8%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
N2
2-0 13.4%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 3.3%
2-3 0.8%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
N3
3-0 8.7%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 2.1%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
N4
4-0 4.3%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 1.7%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.8%) 2-0(13.4%) 2-1(9.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip N=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Noah Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Ararat Yerevan Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Noah
Overall
7.9
Scoring
7.0
Defence
8.7
Ararat Yerevan
Overall
3.0
Scoring
3.3
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 40%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 17%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 34%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
27.10.25PL
Ararat Yerevan0
Noah3
28.09.25PL
Noah2
Ararat Yerevan0
26.04.25PL
Noah3
Ararat Yerevan0
20.11.24PL
Noah4
Ararat Yerevan0
15.09.24PL
Ararat Yerevan2
Noah1
09.05.24PL
Ararat Yerevan0
Noah1
07.03.24PL
Noah4
Ararat Yerevan3
03.11.23PL
Ararat Yerevan0
Noah2
31.08.23PL
Noah3
Ararat Yerevan0
20.05.23PL
Ararat Yerevan1
Noah0
Recent Form
Noah
14.05.26CUP
Urartu2
Noah4
W
10.05.26PL
Ararat-Armenia0
Noah4
W
06.05.26PL
FC Gandzasar1
Noah4
W
03.05.26PL
Noah0
Pyunik Yerevan0
D
29.04.26CUP
Noah0
Ararat-Armenia0
D
25.04.26PL
Alashkert1
Noah1
D
20.04.26PL
Noah2
Van0
W
16.04.26CUP
Ararat-Armenia0
Noah1
W
10.04.26PL
FC Gandzasar0
Noah3
W
05.04.26PL
Noah2
BKMA0
W
Ararat Yerevan
10.05.26PL
Ararat Yerevan0
Urartu1
L
01.05.26PL
Shirak Gyumri0
Ararat Yerevan2
W
25.04.26PL
Ararat-Armenia4
Ararat Yerevan0
L
18.04.26PL
Ararat Yerevan1
Pyunik Yerevan0
W
14.04.26PL
Alashkert2
Ararat Yerevan0
L
11.04.26PL
Ararat Yerevan2
Alashkert3
L
04.04.26PL
Ararat Yerevan1
Van2
L
01.04.26CUP
Urartu2
Ararat Yerevan3
W
21.03.26PL
FC Gandzasar2
Ararat Yerevan1
L
14.03.26PL
Ararat Yerevan0
FC Gandzasar2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 19th May 2026, Noah host Ararat Yerevan in Armenia Premier League. We recommend Noah to win as the standout selection.

Noah arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Ararat Yerevan are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 0D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Noah, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Ararat Yerevan's 2, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 20% of those meetings.

Our verdict: noah to win at odds of 1.12 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Armenia Premier League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.12 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Noah vs Ararat Yerevan?
Our selection is 1 — Noah to win, priced at approximately 1.12. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Noah's current form?
Noah have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ararat Yerevan been performing recently?
Ararat Yerevan have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Noah lead with 8 wins versus Ararat Yerevan's 2, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
⚠️
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