LOST Tip LOST ML Vitebsk 0-0 FC Gomel
M

ML Vitebsk

Home
W W W L D
6W 2D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
0-0
F
FC Gomel
Away
L W D W W
5W 2D 3L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 22nd May 2026
1
Backing ML Vitebsk to win
ML Vitebsk 50%
Draw 30%
FC Gomel 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 76.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -14.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — ML Vitebsk to win
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
ML Vitebsk vs FC Gomel Competition: Belarus Vysshaya Liga Date: Friday, 22nd May 2026 Pick: 1 (ML Vitebsk to win) Odds: 1.31 Confidence: 62% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Head to Head
Record
3
ML Vitebsk
0
Draws
0
FC Gomel
3
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
33%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip ML Vitebsk won 3 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
ML Vitebsk
Metric
FC Gomel
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.6
1
Goals Against / Game
1.2
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-2-2
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate
60%
50%
3
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
M0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 6.5%
0-2 4.2%
0-3 1.8%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
M1
1-0 8.5%
1-1 11.0%
1-2 7.2%
1-3 3.1%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
M2
2-0 7.2%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 6.1%
2-3 2.6%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
M3
3-0 4.1%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 3.4%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
M4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
M5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.4%) 1-0(8.5%) 2-0(7.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip M=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
ML Vitebsk Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
FC Gomel Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
ML Vitebsk
Overall
6.6
Scoring
7.3
Defence
6.7
FC Gomel
Overall
5.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 20%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
23.11.25VL
ML Vitebsk5
FC Gomel0
28.06.25VL
FC Gomel0
ML Vitebsk2
15.02.25CF
FC Gomel2
ML Vitebsk3
Recent Form
ML Vitebsk
17.05.26VL
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0
ML Vitebsk3
W
10.05.26VL
ML Vitebsk5
Dnepr Mogilev1
W
03.05.26VL
Din. Minsk2
ML Vitebsk3
W
29.04.26CUP
Din. Minsk1
ML Vitebsk0
L
25.04.26VL
ML Vitebsk0
Dynamo Brest0
D
19.04.26VL
BATE1
ML Vitebsk2
W
15.04.26CUP
ML Vitebsk0
Din. Minsk2
L
11.04.26VL
Baranovici0
ML Vitebsk4
W
04.04.26VL
ML Vitebsk1
Isloch1
D
28.03.26CF
ML Vitebsk4
Smorgon2
W
FC Gomel
14.05.26VL
FC Gomel2
Baranovici3
L
08.05.26VL
FC Gomel2
Isloch0
W
02.05.26VL
FC Gomel1
Zhodino1
D
26.04.26VL
Belshina0
FC Gomel2
W
19.04.26VL
FC Gomel3
Slavia Mozyr1
W
10.04.26VL
Naftan0
FC Gomel2
W
05.04.26VL
FC Minsk2
FC Gomel0
L
20.03.26VL
Vitebsk1
FC Gomel1
D
13.03.26CF
FC Gomel3
BumProm Gomel1
W
07.03.26CF
FC Gomel2
Iskra Smolensk1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 22nd May 2026, ML Vitebsk host FC Gomel in Belarus Vysshaya Liga. We recommend ML Vitebsk to win as the standout selection.

ML Vitebsk arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

FC Gomel are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour ML Vitebsk, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to FC Gomel's 0, with 0 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.

Our verdict: ml vitebsk to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Belarus Vysshaya Liga fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.31 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for ML Vitebsk vs FC Gomel?
Our selection is 1 — ML Vitebsk to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is ML Vitebsk's current form?
ML Vitebsk have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has FC Gomel been performing recently?
FC Gomel have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
ML Vitebsk lead with 3 wins versus FC Gomel's 0, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
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