Moderate Signal 59% Confidence
S

Singida

Home
L L W W W
5W 1D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
M
Mbeya City
Away
D L L W D
2W 3D 5L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 26th May 2026
1
Backing Singida to win
Singida 60%
Draw 20%
Mbeya City 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 80% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -21% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
4
Singida
2
Draws
0
Mbeya City
6
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Singida won 4 of the last 6 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Singida
Metric
Mbeya City
1.6
Goals For / Game
0.8
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2.2
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-1-4
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
50%
20%
2.9
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
S0
0-0 5.8%
0-1 5.5%
0-2 2.6%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 11.0%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 5.0%
1-3 1.6%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 10.4%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
S3
3-0 6.6%
3-1 6.3%
3-2 3.0%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 3.1%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 1.2%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.0%) 2-0(10.4%) 2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Singida Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Mbeya City Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Singida
Overall
5.3
Scoring
5.3
Defence
6.3
Mbeya City
Overall
2.9
Scoring
2.7
Defence
2.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 31%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.04.26FAC
Singida Black Stars5
Mbeya City1
15.03.26LKB
Mbeya City1
Singida Black Stars4
05.02.23LKB
Singida Black Stars2
Mbeya City0
08.10.22LKB
Mbeya City1
Singida Black Stars1
15.04.21LKB
Singida Black Stars1
Mbeya City0
02.11.20LKB
Mbeya City1
Singida Black Stars1
Recent Form
Singida
22.05.26LKB
Young Africans3
Singida Black Stars0
L
16.05.26FAC
Coastal Union1
Singida Black Stars0
L
12.05.26LKB
Singida Black Stars1
Namungo0
W
09.05.26LKB
Singida Black Stars4
Mtibwa Sugar0
W
05.05.26LKB
Singida Black Stars3
Pamba1
W
02.05.26LKB
Coastal Union2
Singida Black Stars1
L
16.04.26LKB
Mashujaa1
Singida Black Stars1
D
12.04.26FAC
Singida Black Stars5
Mbeya City1
W
08.04.26LKB
Singida Black Stars1
Kinondoni MC0
W
05.04.26LKB
TRA United2
Singida Black Stars0
L
Mbeya City
21.05.26LKB
Namungo1
Mbeya City1
D
13.05.26LKB
Mbeya City0
Coastal Union2
L
09.05.26LKB
JKT Tanzania1
Mbeya City0
L
04.05.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons1
Mbeya City2
W
30.04.26LKB
Mbeya City0
Mashujaa0
D
16.04.26LKB
Young Africans6
Mbeya City0
L
12.04.26FAC
Singida Black Stars5
Mbeya City1
L
09.04.26LKB
Mbeya City0
Azam0
D
03.04.26LKB
Mbeya City3
Kinondoni MC2
W
15.03.26LKB
Mbeya City1
Singida Black Stars4
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 26th May 2026, Singida host Mbeya City in Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara. We recommend Singida to win as the standout selection.

Singida arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Mbeya City are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Singida, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Mbeya City's 0, with 2 draws from 6 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: singida to win at odds of 1.25 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.25 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Singida vs Mbeya City?
Our selection is 1 — Singida to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Singida's current form?
Singida have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Mbeya City been performing recently?
Mbeya City have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Singida lead with 4 wins versus Mbeya City's 0, with 2 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
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