LOST Tip LOST Al Najaf 1-0 Al Zawraa
A

Al Najaf

Home
W L L D L
1W 2D 7L ▲ Improving
VS
1-0
A
Al Zawraa
Away
L L D W W
5W 3D 2L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Monday, 1st June 2026
2
Backing Al Zawraa to win
Al Najaf 20%
Draw 30%
Al Zawraa 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 74.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -29.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Al Zawraa to win
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Najaf vs Al Zawraa Competition: Iraq Stars League Date: Monday, 1st June 2026 Pick: 2 (Al Zawraa to win) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 45% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Al Najaf
5
Draws
3
Al Zawraa
10
Meetings
1.9
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Al Zawraa won 3 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Najaf
Metric
Al Zawraa
1.1
Goals For / Game
1.6
2.3
Goals Against / Game
0.9
0%
Clean Sheets
40%
1-2-7
W — D — L
5-3-2
Win Rate
10%
50%
3
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 10.2%
0-2 10.0%
0-3 6.5%
0-4 3.2%
0-5 1.2%
A1
1-0 5.2%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 10.0%
1-3 6.5%
1-4 3.2%
1-5 1.2%
A2
2-0 2.6%
2-1 5.1%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.6%
2-5 0.6%
A3
3-0 0.9%
3-1 1.7%
3-2 1.7%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.2%
A4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(10.2%) 0-2(10.0%) 1-2(10.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Najaf Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Al Zawraa Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Najaf
Overall
1.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
2.3
Al Zawraa
Overall
5.9
Scoring
5.3
Defence
7.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Home Win & BTTS No 4%
Draw & BTTS Yes 20%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 41%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 8%
Home Win & Under 2.5 4%
Draw & Over 2.5 19%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 38%
Away Win & Under 2.5 21%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
22.01.26SL
Al Zawraa2
Al Najaf0
08.03.25SL
Al Najaf1
Al Zawraa2
30.11.24SL
Al Zawraa1
Al Najaf1
31.03.24SL
Al Zawraa0
Al Najaf0
02.12.23SL
Al Najaf0
Al Zawraa0
29.04.23SL
Al Zawraa1
Al Najaf1
30.11.22SL
Al Najaf1
Al Zawraa0
03.07.22SL
Al Zawraa1
Al Najaf2
15.01.22SL
Al Najaf2
Al Zawraa2
05.07.21SL
Al Zawraa2
Al Najaf0
Recent Form
Al Najaf
28.05.26SL
Al Najaf1
Al-Qassim2
W
24.05.26SL
Naft Missan2
Al Najaf1
L
20.05.26SL
Al Najaf2
Al Karkh5
L
16.05.26SL
Zakho1
Al Najaf1
D
11.05.26SL
Al Najaf1
Erbil4
L
07.05.26SL
Al Najaf1
Baghdad1
D
27.04.26SL
Al Najaf1
Duhok2
L
17.04.26SL
Al Najaf2
Newroz1
W
12.04.26SL
Al Najaf0
Al-Karma3
L
08.04.26SL
Al Talaba2
Al Najaf1
L
Al Zawraa
27.05.26SL
Al Zawraa0
Al Naft1
L
20.05.26SL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
Al Zawraa1
L
14.05.26SL
Al Zawraa1
Al-Qassim1
D
10.05.26SL
Al Minaa0
Al Zawraa2
W
05.05.26SL
Al Talaba0
Al Zawraa1
W
01.05.26SL
Al Zawraa2
Duhok2
D
26.04.26SL
Baghdad2
Al Zawraa2
D
22.04.26SL
Al Zawraa2
Diyala0
W
18.04.26SL
Al Zawraa3
Al Karkh0
W
13.04.26SL
Al Shorta1
Al Zawraa2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 1st June 2026, Al Najaf host Al Zawraa in Iraq Stars League. We recommend Al Zawraa to win as the standout selection.

Al Najaf arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Al Zawraa are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 3D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Najaf, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Al Zawraa's 3, with 5 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al zawraa to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Iraq Stars League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 2, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.34 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Najaf vs Al Zawraa?
Our selection is 2 — Al Zawraa to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 45%.
What is Al Najaf's current form?
Al Najaf have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Zawraa been performing recently?
Al Zawraa have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Najaf lead with 2 wins versus Al Zawraa's 3, with 5 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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