LOST Tip LOST Ulfstind 3-0 Floya
U

Ulfstind

Home
L L L L L
1W 1D 8L ▲ Improving
VS
3-0
F
Floya
Away
L W W W W
6W 3D 1L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 11th June 2026
2
Backing Floya to win
Ulfstind 20%
Draw 30%
Floya 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 74.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -21.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Floya to win
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Ulfstind vs Floya Competition: Norway Div 3 G5 Date: Thursday, 11th June 2026 Pick: 2 (Floya to win) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 53% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (80%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Ulfstind
1
Draws
2
Floya
4
Meetings
4.8
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 2.5
Neutral Floya won 2 of 4 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Ulfstind
Metric
Floya
1.7
Goals For / Game
2.5
2.9
Goals Against / Game
1.4
0%
Clean Sheets
10%
1-1-8
W — D — L
6-3-1
Win Rate
10%
60%
4.3
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
U0
0-0 1.4%
0-1 3.9%
0-2 5.2%
0-3 4.7%
0-4 3.2%
0-5 1.7%
U1
1-0 2.2%
1-1 6.0%
1-2 8.1%
1-3 7.3%
1-4 4.9%
1-5 2.6%
U2
2-0 1.7%
2-1 4.6%
2-2 6.3%
2-3 5.6%
2-4 3.8%
2-5 2.1%
U3
3-0 0.9%
3-1 2.4%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 2.9%
3-4 2.0%
3-5 1.1%
U4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.9%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.8%
4-5 0.4%
U5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-2(8.1%) 1-3(7.3%) 2-3(5.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip U=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Ulfstind Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Floya Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Ulfstind
Overall
1.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
0.3
Floya
Overall
6.9
Scoring
8.3
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Home Win & BTTS No 2%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 54%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 9%
Home Win & Under 2.5 2%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 54%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.10.25D3
Ulfstind4
Floya2
03.04.25D3
Floya2
Ulfstind0
20.10.24DIV
Ulfstind4
Floya4
28.04.24DIV
Floya3
Ulfstind0
Recent Form
Ulfstind
30.05.26DIV
Skjervoy2
Ulfstind0
L
25.05.26DIV
Ulfstind1
Finnsnes3
L
14.05.26DIV
Ulfstind1
Stromsgodset 23
L
09.05.26DIV
Bossekop2
Ulfstind1
L
02.05.26DIV
Ulfstind3
Kongsvinger 24
L
25.04.26DIV
Skjetten5
Ulfstind3
L
18.04.26DIV
Alta4
Ulfstind0
L
12.04.26DIV
Ulfstind5
Skedsmo2
W
06.04.26DIV
Fauske Sprint3
Ulfstind3
D
26.10.25D3
Skjervoy1
Ulfstind0
L
Floya
30.05.26DIV
Floya2
Skedsmo3
L
23.05.26DIV
Bossekop2
Floya5
W
14.05.26DIV
Floya3
Kongsvinger 21
W
09.05.26DIV
Skjetten1
Floya3
W
02.05.26DIV
Floya2
Harstad1
W
25.04.26DIV
Floya4
Skjervoy1
W
19.04.26DIV
Tromso 22
Floya3
W
11.04.26DIV
Floya0
Alta0
D
06.04.26DIV
Finnsnes2
Floya2
D
26.10.25D3
Floya1
Funnefoss/Vormsund1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 11th June 2026, Ulfstind host Floya in Norway Div 3 G5. We recommend Floya to win as the standout selection.

Ulfstind arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Floya are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 3D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Ulfstind, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Floya's 2, with 1 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: floya to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Norway Div 3 G5 fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 2, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.34 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Ulfstind vs Floya?
Our selection is 2 — Floya to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Ulfstind's current form?
Ulfstind have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches.
How has Floya been performing recently?
Floya have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ulfstind lead with 1 wins versus Floya's 2, with 1 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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