LOST Tip LOST Kairat Almaty 1-1 Atyrau
K

Kairat Almaty

Home
L D W D W
4W 4D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
1-1
A
Atyrau
Away
D D D D W
3W 4D 3L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 13th June 2026
1
Backing Kairat Almaty to win
Kairat Almaty 50%
Draw 30%
Atyrau 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 76.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -29.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Kairat Almaty to win
1.31
Under 2.5 Goals65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Kairat Almaty vs Atyrau Competition: Kazakhstan Premier League Date: Saturday, 13th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Kairat Almaty to win) Odds: 1.31 Confidence: 47% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (65%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Kairat Almaty
3
Draws
2
Atyrau
10
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Neutral Kairat Almaty won 5 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Kairat Almaty
Metric
Atyrau
1.3
Goals For / Game
1
1
Goals Against / Game
0.7
30%
Clean Sheets
50%
4-4-2
W — D — L
3-4-3
Win Rate
40%
30%
2
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
K0
0-0 13.5%
0-1 13.5%
0-2 6.8%
0-3 2.3%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.1%
K1
1-0 13.5%
1-1 13.5%
1-2 6.8%
1-3 2.3%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
K2
2-0 6.8%
2-1 6.8%
2-2 3.4%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
K3
3-0 2.3%
3-1 2.3%
3-2 1.1%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
K4
4-0 0.6%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
K5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.5%) 2-0(6.8%) 2-1(6.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip K=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Kairat Almaty Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Atyrau Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Kairat Almaty
Overall
5.2
Scoring
4.3
Defence
6.7
Atyrau
Overall
4.2
Scoring
3.3
Defence
7.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 18%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 13%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 23%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
16.04.25PL
Kairat Almaty4
Atyrau0
06.04.25PL
Atyrau1
Kairat Almaty4
10.11.24PL
Atyrau0
Kairat Almaty1
08.05.24CUP
Atyrau3
Kairat Almaty1
04.05.24PL
Kairat Almaty1
Atyrau0
29.10.23PL
Atyrau0
Kairat Almaty0
07.06.23CUP
Atyrau2
Kairat Almaty1
17.05.23CUP
Kairat Almaty1
Atyrau1
05.03.23PL
Kairat Almaty2
Atyrau2
09.10.22PL
Atyrau1
Kairat Almaty2
Recent Form
Kairat Almaty
28.05.26PL
Ordabasy2
Kairat Almaty1
L
23.05.26PL
Kairat Almaty0
Kaisar Kyzylorda0
D
17.05.26PL
Zhenis1
Kairat Almaty2
W
10.05.26PL
Ulytau1
Kairat Almaty1
D
06.05.26PL
Kaisar Kyzylorda1
Kairat Almaty2
W
02.05.26PL
Ertis Pavlodar0
Kairat Almaty1
W
29.04.26CUP
Kaisar Kyzylorda2
Kairat Almaty1
L
26.04.26PL
Kairat Almaty2
Yelimay Semey2
D
18.04.26PL
Kairat Almaty2
Kaspij Aktau0
W
11.04.26PL
Tobol1
Kairat Almaty1
D
Atyrau
28.05.26PL
Atyrau1
Tobol1
D
23.05.26PL
Zhetysu Taldykorgan0
Atyrau0
D
17.05.26PL
Aktobe1
Atyrau1
D
09.05.26PL
Okzhetpes0
Atyrau0
D
03.05.26PL
Atyrau1
Altai0
W
29.04.26CUP
Atyrau0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan2
L
26.04.26PL
FC Astana2
Atyrau1
L
19.04.26PL
Atyrau0
Kyzylzhar1
L
11.04.26PL
Atyrau2
Kaisar Kyzylorda0
W
08.04.26CUP
Jas Qyran0
Atyrau4
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 13th June 2026, Kairat Almaty host Atyrau in Kazakhstan Premier League. We recommend Kairat Almaty to win as the standout selection.

Kairat Almaty arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Atyrau are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 4D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Kairat Almaty, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Atyrau's 2, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: kairat almaty to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Kazakhstan Premier League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.31 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kairat Almaty vs Atyrau?
Our selection is 1 — Kairat Almaty to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 47%.
What is Kairat Almaty's current form?
Kairat Almaty have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Atyrau been performing recently?
Atyrau have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kairat Almaty lead with 5 wins versus Atyrau's 2, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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