WON Tip WON Al Salmiya 2-1 Al Fahaleel
A

Al Salmiya

Home
D L D W W
5W 2D 3L → Steady
VS
2-1
5:05 pm
A
Al Fahaleel
Away
D L L L W
2W 2D 6L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Monday, 22nd June 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob 83.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -10.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.20
Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Salmiya vs Al Fahaleel Competition: Kuwait Premier League Date: Monday, 22nd June 2026 KO: 5:05 pm Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.20 Confidence: 73% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: BTTS — No (80%)
Head to Head
Record
3
Al Salmiya
7
Draws
0
Al Fahaleel
10
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 90% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Salmiya
Metric
Al Fahaleel
1.5
Goals For / Game
0
1.1
Goals Against / Game
0
50%
Clean Sheets
0%
5-2-3
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate
50%
20%
1.3
Avg Goals
35%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 27.3%
0-1 15.0%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 20.4%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 3.1%
1-3 0.6%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
A2
2-0 7.7%
2-1 4.2%
2-2 1.2%
2-3 0.2%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
A3
3-0 1.9%
3-1 1.1%
3-2 0.3%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 0.4%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-0(27.3%) 1-0(20.4%) 0-1(15.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Salmiya
Overall
5.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.3
Al Fahaleel
Overall
2.6
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Home Win & BTTS No 45%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 18%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 14%
Home Win & Under 2.5 42%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
28.05.26PL
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Salmiya2
07.11.25PL
Al Salmiya1
Al-Fahaheel2
07.05.25PL
Al-Fahaheel1
Al Salmiya1
08.02.25PL
Al-Fahaheel2
Al Salmiya2
21.09.24PL
Al Salmiya2
Al-Fahaheel2
27.05.24PL
Al-Fahaheel1
Al Salmiya1
02.05.24PL
Al Salmiya2
Al-Fahaheel0
07.03.24PL
Al-Fahaheel4
Al Salmiya1
06.12.23PL
Al Salmiya0
Al-Fahaheel0
20.05.23PL
Al Salmiya2
Al-Fahaheel1
Recent Form
Al Salmiya
19.06.26PL
Al Salmiya3
Al Kuwait3
D
16.06.26PL
Al Qadisiya3
Al Salmiya2
L
12.06.26PL
Al Salmiya0
Al Kuwait0
D
28.05.26PL
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Salmiya2
W
23.05.26PL
Al Salmiya3
Al Shabab0
W
15.05.26PL
Al Qadisiya2
Al Salmiya1
L
23.02.26PL
Al Salmiya1
Al Arabi0
W
14.02.26EMI
Al Salmiya2
Al Sulaibikhat1
W
07.02.26PL
Al Jahra0
Al Salmiya1
W
28.01.26SC
Al Kuwait2
Al Salmiya0
L
Al Fahaleel
19.06.26PL
Al-Fahaheel1
Kazma SC1
D
16.06.26PL
Al Kuwait4
Al-Fahaheel0
L
13.06.26PL
Al Tadamon1
Al-Fahaheel0
L
28.05.26PL
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Salmiya2
L
24.05.26PL
Kazma SC2
Al-Fahaheel3
W
21.05.26PL
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Kuwait4
L
22.02.26PL
Al Naser4
Al-Fahaheel2
L
12.02.26EMI
Al-Fahaheel3
Al Shabab2
W
05.02.26PL
Al Shabab1
Al-Fahaheel1
D
23.01.26PL
Al-Fahaheel0
Al Qadisiya2
L
Al Salmiya (Home)
19.06.26PL
Al Salmiya3
Al Kuwait3
D
12.06.26PL
Al Salmiya0
Al Kuwait0
D
23.05.26PL
Al Salmiya3
Al Shabab0
W
23.02.26PL
Al Salmiya1
Al Arabi0
W
14.02.26EMI
Al Salmiya2
Al Sulaibikhat1
W
23.01.26PL
Al Salmiya3
Al Tadamon1
W
14.01.26PL
Al Salmiya1
Al Naser1
D
06.01.26CRO
Al Salmiya1
Al Tadamon2
L
07.11.25PL
Al Salmiya1
Al-Fahaheel2
L
27.10.25PL
Al Salmiya0
Al Qadisiya0
D
Al Fahaleel (Away)
16.06.26PL
Al Kuwait4
Al-Fahaheel0
L
13.06.26PL
Al Tadamon1
Al-Fahaheel0
L
24.05.26PL
Kazma SC2
Al-Fahaheel3
W
22.02.26PL
Al Naser4
Al-Fahaheel2
L
05.02.26PL
Al Shabab1
Al-Fahaheel1
D
19.01.26CRO
Al Arabi2
Al-Fahaheel0
L
15.01.26PL
Al Arabi1
Al-Fahaheel1
D
28.12.25PL
Al Kuwait5
Al-Fahaheel0
L
07.11.25PL
Al Salmiya1
Al-Fahaheel2
W
22.09.25PL
Al Qadisiya5
Al-Fahaheel1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 22nd June 2026, Al Salmiya host Al Fahaleel in Kuwait Premier League. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Al Salmiya arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Al Fahaleel are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Salmiya, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Al Fahaleel's 0, with 7 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.20 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Kuwait Premier League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into the host venue. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward Over 1.5 at @1.20, which our model rates near 90%. The fixture starts at 5:05 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

 

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Salmiya vs Al Fahaleel?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 73%.
What is Al Salmiya's current form?
Al Salmiya have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Fahaleel been performing recently?
Al Fahaleel have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Salmiya lead with 3 wins versus Al Fahaleel's 0, with 7 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
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