Strong Signal 82% Confidence
K

Kahibah

Home
W D L L L
3W 1D 6L ▲ Improving
VS
11:00 am
Fred Wright Oval (Newcastle)
A
Adamstown Rosebud
Away
D L W W D
3W 2D 5L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 24th June 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 73.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +8.5% Value detected
Kelly % 32% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals95%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Kahibah vs Adamstown Rosebud Competition: Australia NPL NSW Date: Wednesday, 24th June 2026 KO: 11:00 am Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.36 Confidence: 82% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Kahibah
0
Draws
0
Adamstown Rosebud
1
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 100% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Kahibah
Metric
Adamstown Rosebud
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.5
2.4
Goals Against / Game
2
10%
Clean Sheets
30%
3-1-6
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
30%
30%
3.8
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
K0
0-0 2.2%
0-1 4.4%
0-2 4.3%
0-3 2.8%
0-4 1.4%
0-5 0.5%
K1
1-0 4.1%
1-1 8.1%
1-2 7.9%
1-3 5.1%
1-4 2.5%
1-5 1.0%
K2
2-0 3.8%
2-1 7.5%
2-2 7.3%
2-3 4.7%
2-4 2.3%
2-5 0.9%
K3
3-0 2.4%
3-1 4.6%
3-2 4.5%
3-3 2.9%
3-4 1.4%
3-5 0.6%
K4
4-0 1.1%
4-1 2.1%
4-2 2.1%
4-3 1.4%
4-4 0.7%
4-5 0.3%
K5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-1(8.1%) 1-2(7.9%) 2-1(7.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip K=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Kahibah
Overall
3.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
2.0
Adamstown Rosebud
Overall
3.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
3.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Away Win & BTTS No 16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 30%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 30%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
27.02.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud1
Kahibah3
Recent Form
Kahibah
21.06.26NSW
Kahibah4
Charlestown Azzurri1
W
14.06.26NSW
Newcastle Olympic3
Kahibah3
D
16.05.26NSW
Lambton J.4
Kahibah0
L
08.05.26NSW
Cooks Hill United3
Kahibah0
L
03.05.26NSW
Kahibah1
Broadmeadow3
L
26.04.26NSW
Belmont Swansea Utd.6
Kahibah3
L
19.04.26NSW
Kahibah1
Weston Bears2
L
12.04.26NSW
Kahibah3
Valentine0
W
28.03.26NSW
Maitland1
Kahibah2
W
22.03.26NSW
Charlestown Azzurri1
Kahibah0
L
Adamstown Rosebud
20.06.26NSW
Lambton J.1
Adamstown Rosebud1
D
13.06.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud1
Broadmeadow5
L
30.05.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud2
Newcastle Olympic0
W
16.05.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud2
Charlestown Azzurri0
W
09.05.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud2
Belmont Swansea Utd.2
D
02.05.26NSW
Cooks Hill United3
Adamstown Rosebud1
L
29.04.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud1
Lambton J.2
L
25.04.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud0
Weston Bears2
L
18.04.26NSW
Valentine0
Adamstown Rosebud3
W
11.04.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud2
Maitland5
L
Kahibah (Home)
20.06.26NSW
Lambton J.1
Adamstown Rosebud1
D
13.06.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud1
Broadmeadow5
L
30.05.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud2
Newcastle Olympic0
W
16.05.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud2
Charlestown Azzurri0
W
09.05.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud2
Belmont Swansea Utd.2
D
02.05.26NSW
Cooks Hill United3
Adamstown Rosebud1
L
29.04.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud1
Lambton J.2
L
25.04.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud0
Weston Bears2
L
18.04.26NSW
Valentine0
Adamstown Rosebud3
W
11.04.26NSW
Adamstown Rosebud2
Maitland5
L
Adamstown Rosebud (Away)
21.06.26NSW
Kahibah4
Charlestown Azzurri1
W
03.05.26NSW
Kahibah1
Broadmeadow3
L
19.04.26NSW
Kahibah1
Weston Bears2
L
12.04.26NSW
Kahibah3
Valentine0
W
15.03.26NSW
Kahibah0
Newcastle Olympic2
L
06.03.26NSW
Kahibah2
Edgeworth E.2
D
19.02.26NSW
Kahibah0
Lambton J.5
L
09.08.25NSL
Kahibah4
Cessnock City Hornets1
W
03.08.25NSL
Kahibah2
Singleton Strikers1
W
06.07.25NSL
Kahibah2
South Cardiff0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 24th June 2026, Kahibah host Adamstown Rosebud at Fred Wright Oval (Newcastle) in Australia NPL NSW. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Kahibah arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Adamstown Rosebud are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Kahibah, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Adamstown Rosebud's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.36 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Australia NPL NSW match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Fred Wright Oval (Newcastle). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward Over 2.5 at @1.36, which our model rates near 80%. The fixture starts at 11:00 am.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kahibah vs Adamstown Rosebud?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 82%.
What is Kahibah's current form?
Kahibah have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Adamstown Rosebud been performing recently?
Adamstown Rosebud have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kahibah lead with 1 wins versus Adamstown Rosebud's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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