Strong Signal 80% Confidence
F

FC Ulaanbaatar

Home
W L W W W
8W 1D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
12:00 pm
K
Khangarid
Away
L W W D L
7W 1D 2L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 24th June 2026
1X
Backing FC Ulaanbaatar to win or draw
Implied Prob 87.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -7.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1X — FC Ulaanbaatar to win or draw
1.14
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals95%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
FC Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid Competition: Mongolia Premier League Date: Wednesday, 24th June 2026 KO: 12:00 pm Pick: 1X (FC Ulaanbaatar to win or draw) Odds: 1.14 Confidence: 80% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%)
Head to Head
Record
6
FC Ulaanbaatar
1
Draws
3
Khangarid
10
Meetings
3.9
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
FC Ulaanbaatar
Metric
Khangarid
3.4
Goals For / Game
3.3
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.2
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
8-1-1
W — D — L
7-1-2
Win Rate
80%
70%
4.3
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
F0
0-0 1.4%
0-1 2.8%
0-2 2.7%
0-3 1.8%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
F1
1-0 3.3%
1-1 6.4%
1-2 6.2%
1-3 4.1%
1-4 2.0%
1-5 0.8%
F2
2-0 3.8%
2-1 7.4%
2-2 7.2%
2-3 4.7%
2-4 2.3%
2-5 0.9%
F3
3-0 2.9%
3-1 5.6%
3-2 5.5%
3-3 3.6%
3-4 1.7%
3-5 0.7%
F4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 3.2%
4-2 3.2%
4-3 2.1%
4-4 1.0%
4-5 0.4%
F5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 1.5%
5-2 1.5%
5-3 1.0%
5-4 0.5%
5-5 0.2%
Top Scores 2-1(7.4%) 2-2(7.2%) 1-1(6.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip F=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
FC Ulaanbaatar
Overall
8.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
8.0
Khangarid
Overall
7.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 38%
Home Win & Under 2.5 13%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 33%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.05.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar3
Khangarid1
14.10.25PRL
Khangarid1
FC Ulaanbaatar3
19.06.25PRL
Khangarid6
FC Ulaanbaatar2
22.03.25PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar0
Khangarid0
25.08.24PRL
Khangarid0
FC Ulaanbaatar2
04.05.24PRL
Khangarid2
FC Ulaanbaatar1
02.03.24PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar0
Khangarid3
05.08.23PRL
Khangarid0
FC Ulaanbaatar2
02.07.23PRL
Khangarid2
FC Ulaanbaatar5
04.05.23PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar6
Khangarid0
Recent Form
FC Ulaanbaatar
21.06.26PRL
Central Stallions0
FC Ulaanbaatar3
W
17.06.26PRL
Central Stallions1
FC Ulaanbaatar0
L
14.06.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar7
Khoromkhon0
W
23.05.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar2
Deren0
W
20.05.26PRL
Hunters1
FC Ulaanbaatar4
W
17.05.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar3
Khangarid1
W
10.05.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar7
Ulaangom City1
W
06.05.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar3
Khovd Western0
W
25.04.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar4
Khovd1
W
02.11.25PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar1
Central Stallions1
D
Khangarid
21.06.26PRL
Khangarid2
Deren3
L
18.06.26PRL
Khovd Western1
Khangarid2
W
24.05.26PRL
Khovd0
Khangarid6
W
21.05.26PRL
Khangarid1
Central Stallions1
D
17.05.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar3
Khangarid1
L
09.05.26PRL
Khangarid2
Deren1
W
07.05.26PRL
Hunters0
Khangarid2
W
02.05.26PRL
Khangarid6
Khoromkhon2
W
26.04.26PRL
Khangarid5
Ulaangom City1
W
03.11.25PRL
Khangarid6
Khovd Western0
W
FC Ulaanbaatar (Home)
14.06.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar7
Khoromkhon0
W
23.05.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar2
Deren0
W
17.05.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar3
Khangarid1
W
10.05.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar7
Ulaangom City1
W
06.05.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar3
Khovd Western0
W
25.04.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar4
Khovd1
W
02.11.25PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar1
Central Stallions1
D
18.10.25PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar4
Hunters0
W
11.10.25PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar8
Ulaangom City0
W
28.09.25PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar1
Falcons1
D
Khangarid (Away)
18.06.26PRL
Khovd Western1
Khangarid2
W
24.05.26PRL
Khovd0
Khangarid6
W
17.05.26PRL
FC Ulaanbaatar3
Khangarid1
L
07.05.26PRL
Hunters0
Khangarid2
W
19.10.25PRL
Central Stallions2
Khangarid1
L
11.10.25PRL
Deren1
Khangarid1
D
27.09.25PRL
Khoromkhon0
Khangarid8
W
23.09.25PRL
Ulaangom City0
Khangarid10
W
12.08.25CHL
Taiwan Steel4
Khangarid1
L
20.07.25PRL
Falcons2
Khangarid1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 24th June 2026, FC Ulaanbaatar host Khangarid in Mongolia Premier League. We recommend FC Ulaanbaatar to win or draw as the standout selection.

FC Ulaanbaatar arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Khangarid are travelling well, with a record of 7W 1D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour FC Ulaanbaatar, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Khangarid's 3, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: fc ulaanbaatar to win or draw at odds of 1.14 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Mongolia Premier League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into the host venue. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1X at @1.14, which our model rates near 80%. The fixture starts at 12:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FC Ulaanbaatar vs Khangarid?
Our selection is 1X — FC Ulaanbaatar to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.14. Tip confidence rating: 80%.
What is FC Ulaanbaatar's current form?
FC Ulaanbaatar have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Khangarid been performing recently?
Khangarid have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FC Ulaanbaatar lead with 6 wins versus Khangarid's 3, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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