Moderate Signal 64% Confidence
P

Pitea W

Home
L L W L L
4W 1D 5L ▼ Declining
VS
5:00 pm
LF Arena (Piteå)
H
Hammarby W
Away
W L W W W
8W 0D 2L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 25th June 2026
2
Backing Hammarby W to win
Pitea W 20%
Draw 30%
Hammarby W 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 73% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
1
Pitea W
2
Draws
7
Hammarby W
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Hammarby W won 7 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Pitea W
Metric
Hammarby W
1.1
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.3
Goals Against / Game
0.7
20%
Clean Sheets
50%
4-1-5
W — D — L
8-0-2
Win Rate
40%
80%
2.5
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
P0
0-0 8.6%
0-1 13.4%
0-2 10.4%
0-3 5.4%
0-4 2.1%
0-5 0.6%
P1
1-0 7.8%
1-1 12.0%
1-2 9.3%
1-3 4.8%
1-4 1.9%
1-5 0.6%
P2
2-0 3.5%
2-1 5.4%
2-2 4.2%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.3%
P3
3-0 1.1%
3-1 1.6%
3-2 1.3%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
P4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
P5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(13.4%) 0-2(10.4%) 1-2(9.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip P=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Pitea W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Hammarby W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Pitea W
Overall
4.3
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.7
Hammarby W
Overall
8.0
Scoring
6.0
Defence
7.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Away Win & BTTS No 32%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 2%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 35%
Away Win & Under 2.5 29%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
16.08.25ALL
Pitea W0
Hammarby5
17.05.25ALL
Hammarby W2
Pitea1
16.03.25CUP
Hammarby W3
Pitea1
09.11.24ALL
Hammarby W2
Pitea0
13.05.24ALL
Pitea W0
Hammarby1
07.07.23ALL
Hammarby W0
Pitea0
14.05.23ALL
Pitea W2
Hammarby1
19.03.23AET CUP
Hammarby W4
Pitea1
02.10.22ALL
Pitea W1
Hammarby1
17.04.22ALL
Hammarby W1
Pitea0
Recent Form
Pitea W
18.06.26ALL
Eskilstuna Utd W2
Pitea W0
L
13.06.26ALL
Pitea W1
IF Brommapojkarna W2
L
30.05.26ALL
Norrkoping W1
Pitea W2
W
22.05.26ALL
Pitea W0
Djurgarden W1
L
17.05.26ALL
AIK W2
Pitea W1
L
10.05.26ALL
Pitea W2
Rosengard W1
W
03.05.26ALL
Vaxjo DFF W1
Pitea W2
W
26.04.26ALL
Pitea W1
Vittsjo W0
W
05.04.26ALL
Uppsala W0
Pitea W0
D
29.03.26ALL
Pitea W2
Kristianstad W3
L
Hammarby W
17.06.26ALL
Hammarby W4
AIK W1
W
13.06.26ALL
Hammarby W0
Hacken W1
L
31.05.26ALL
Vittsjo W1
Hammarby W2
W
27.05.26ALL
Eskilstuna Utd W0
Hammarby W1
W
23.05.26ALL
Kristianstad W0
Hammarby W1
W
20.05.26ALL
Hammarby W2
Malmo FF W1
W
16.05.26AET CUP
Hammarby W1
Hacken W0
W
12.05.26ALL
Djurgarden W0
Hammarby W2
W
06.05.26ALL
Hammarby W3
Uppsala W0
W
01.05.26EC
Hacken W3
Hammarby W2
L
Pitea W (Home)
13.06.26ALL
Pitea W1
IF Brommapojkarna W2
L
22.05.26ALL
Pitea W0
Djurgarden W1
L
10.05.26ALL
Pitea W2
Rosengard W1
W
26.04.26ALL
Pitea W1
Vittsjo W0
W
29.03.26ALL
Pitea W2
Kristianstad W3
L
21.03.26CF
Pitea W4
Sunnana W0
W
14.03.26CUP
Pitea W4
Umea W0
W
31.01.26CF
Pitea W0
KuPS W0
D
24.01.26CF
Pitea W2
Umea W0
W
08.11.25ALL
Pitea W0
Rosengard W1
L
Hammarby W (Away)
31.05.26ALL
Vittsjo W1
Hammarby W2
W
27.05.26ALL
Eskilstuna Utd W0
Hammarby W1
W
23.05.26ALL
Kristianstad W0
Hammarby W1
W
12.05.26ALL
Djurgarden W0
Hammarby W2
W
01.05.26EC
Hacken W3
Hammarby W2
L
06.04.26ALL
IF Brommapojkarna W0
Hammarby W3
W
25.03.26EC
Sparta Prague W2
Hammarby W3
W
20.03.26CUP
Kristianstad W0
Hammarby W2
W
23.02.26CUP
Rosengard W0
Hammarby W4
W
11.02.26EC
Sporting W0
Hammarby W1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 25th June 2026, Pitea W host Hammarby W at LF Arena (Piteå) in Sweden Allsvenkan Women. We recommend Hammarby W to win as the standout selection.

Pitea W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Hammarby W are travelling well, with a record of 8W 0D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Pitea W, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Hammarby W's 7, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: hammarby w to win at odds of 1.37 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Sweden Allsvenkan Women match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into LF Arena (Piteå). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 2 at @1.37, which our model rates near 20,30,50%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Pitea W vs Hammarby W?
Our selection is 2 — Hammarby W to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Pitea W's current form?
Pitea W have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hammarby W been performing recently?
Hammarby W have recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Pitea W lead with 1 wins versus Hammarby W's 7, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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