Moderate Signal 57% Confidence
F

FC Sevastopol

Home
W W W D W
6W 3D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
3:00 pm
A
Angust Nazran
Away
L L L L L
2W 1D 7L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 27th June 2026
1
Backing FC Sevastopol to win
FC Sevastopol 60%
Draw 20%
Angust Nazran 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 89.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -32.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — FC Sevastopol to win
1.12
Under 2.5 Goals65% BTTS — No70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
FC Sevastopol vs Angust Nazran Competition: Russia FNL 2 Date: Saturday, 27th June 2026 KO: 3:00 pm Pick: 1 (FC Sevastopol to win) Odds: 1.12 Confidence: 57% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: BTTS — No (70%)
Head to Head
Record
2
FC Sevastopol
2
Draws
0
Angust Nazran
4
Meetings
1.3
Avg Goals
25%
BTTS
25%
Over 2.5
Neutral FC Sevastopol won 2 of the last 4 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
FC Sevastopol
Metric
Angust Nazran
1.3
Goals For / Game
0.5
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.4
50%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-3-1
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate
60%
20%
1.9
Avg Goals
50%
Over 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
F0
0-0 15.0%
0-1 8.2%
0-2 2.3%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
F1
1-0 20.2%
1-1 11.1%
1-2 3.1%
1-3 0.6%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
F2
2-0 13.6%
2-1 7.5%
2-2 2.1%
2-3 0.4%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
F3
3-0 6.1%
3-1 3.4%
3-2 0.9%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
F4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 1.1%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(20.2%) 2-0(13.6%) 2-1(7.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip F=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
FC Sevastopol Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Angust Nazran Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
FC Sevastopol
Overall
6.9
Scoring
4.3
Defence
8.0
Angust Nazran
Overall
2.3
Scoring
1.7
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 42%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 39%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.08.25FNL2B
FC Sevastopol2
Angust Nazran0
03.05.25FNL2B
Angust Nazran0
FC Sevastopol0
07.09.24FNL2B
FC Sevastopol0
Angust Nazran0
11.05.24FNL2B
Angust Nazran1
FC Sevastopol2
Recent Form
FC Sevastopol
20.06.26FNL2B
Astrakhan1
FC Sevastopol2
W
13.06.26FNL2B
FC Sevastopol2
FK Pobeda1
W
06.06.26FNL2B
Nart Cherkessk0
FC Sevastopol1
W
30.05.26FNL2B
FC Sevastopol0
Maykop0
D
23.05.26FNL2B
Kyzyltash0
FC Sevastopol2
W
16.05.26FNL2B
FC Sevastopol2
PSK Dinskoy rayon2
D
08.05.26FNL2B
Rubin Yalta1
FC Sevastopol0
L
02.05.26FNL2B
FC Sevastopol2
FK Chayka 20
W
25.04.26FNL2B
Shahter Taganrog0
FC Sevastopol0
D
18.04.26FNL2B
FC Sevastopol2
Dynamo Makhachkala 21
W
Angust Nazran
20.06.26FNL2B
Angust Nazran1
Rostov 22
L
13.06.26FNL2B
Lugansk1
Angust Nazran0
L
06.06.26FNL2B
Angust Nazran0
Rubin Yalta1
L
30.05.26FNL2B
Kyzyltash5
Angust Nazran1
L
23.05.26FNL2B
Angust Nazran0
Maykop1
L
16.05.26FNL2B
Spartak Nalchik0
Angust Nazran0
D
08.05.26FNL2B
Angust Nazran0
Nart Cherkessk3
L
02.05.26FNL2B
Angust Nazran2
Dynamo Makhachkala 20
W
25.04.26FNL2B
Izberbash1
Angust Nazran0
L
18.04.26FNL2B
Angust Nazran1
FK Chayka 20
W
FC Sevastopol (Home)
13.06.26FNL2B
FC Sevastopol2
FK Pobeda1
W
30.05.26FNL2B
FC Sevastopol0
Maykop0
D
16.05.26FNL2B
FC Sevastopol2
PSK Dinskoy rayon2
D
02.05.26FNL2B
FC Sevastopol2
FK Chayka 20
W
18.04.26FNL2B
FC Sevastopol2
Dynamo Makhachkala 21
W
04.04.26FNL2B
FC Sevastopol2
Rostov 21
W
15.11.25FNL2B
FC Sevastopol1
Nart Cherkessk1
D
08.11.25FNL2B
FC Sevastopol2
Kholding0
W
25.10.25FNL2B
FC Sevastopol1
Rostov 20
W
04.10.25FNL2B
FC Sevastopol3
Dynamo Stavropol1
W
Angust Nazran (Away)
13.06.26FNL2B
Lugansk1
Angust Nazran0
L
30.05.26FNL2B
Kyzyltash5
Angust Nazran1
L
16.05.26FNL2B
Spartak Nalchik0
Angust Nazran0
D
25.04.26FNL2B
Izberbash1
Angust Nazran0
L
11.04.26FNL2B
Shahter Taganrog1
Angust Nazran0
L
04.04.26FNL2B
Astrakhan0
Angust Nazran1
W
28.03.26FNL2B
FK Pobeda0
Angust Nazran1
W
26.10.25FNL2B
Sochi 21
Angust Nazran0
L
12.10.25FNL2B
Dynamo Makhachkala 21
Angust Nazran1
D
05.10.25FNL2B
Legion Makhachkala1
Angust Nazran3
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 27th June 2026, FC Sevastopol host Angust Nazran in Russia FNL 2. We recommend FC Sevastopol to win as the standout selection.

FC Sevastopol arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Angust Nazran are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 1D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour FC Sevastopol, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Angust Nazran's 0, with 2 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 25% of those meetings.

Our verdict: fc sevastopol to win at odds of 1.12 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Russia FNL 2 match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into the host venue. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 5 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.12, which our model rates near 60,20,20%. The fixture starts at 3:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FC Sevastopol vs Angust Nazran?
Our selection is 1 — FC Sevastopol to win, priced at approximately 1.12. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is FC Sevastopol's current form?
FC Sevastopol have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Angust Nazran been performing recently?
Angust Nazran have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FC Sevastopol lead with 2 wins versus Angust Nazran's 0, with 2 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 25%.
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