Moderate Signal 58% Confidence
U

U. De Chile

Home
D W W D D
5W 3D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
10:30 pm
Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos (Santiago de Chile)
S
San Felipe
Away
W D W L W
4W 2D 4L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Sunday, 28th June 2026
1
Backing U. De Chile to win
U. De Chile 50%
Draw 30%
San Felipe 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 75.8% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -17.8% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
8
U. De Chile
1
Draws
1
San Felipe
10
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip U. De Chile won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
U. De Chile
Metric
San Felipe
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.1
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.6
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-3-2
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
50%
40%
3
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
U0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 5.8%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
U1
1-0 9.7%
1-1 10.7%
1-2 5.9%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
U2
2-0 9.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
U3
3-0 5.5%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 3.3%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
U4
4-0 2.6%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
U5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.9%) 1-0(9.7%) 2-0(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip U=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
U. De Chile Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
San Felipe Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
U. De Chile
Overall
5.9
Scoring
7.0
Defence
6.3
San Felipe
Overall
4.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 26%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
01.09.12LDP
U. De Chile2
San Felipe0
23.03.12LDP
San Felipe0
U. De Chile1
10.09.11LDP
San Felipe0
U. De Chile3
17.07.11CUP
U. De Chile1
San Felipe0
27.06.11CUP
San Felipe0
U. De Chile1
28.05.11LDP
U. De Chile1
San Felipe1
25.05.11LDP
San Felipe1
U. De Chile2
06.03.11LDP
U. De Chile0
San Felipe2
02.10.10LDP
San Felipe1
U. De Chile2
27.03.10LDP
U. De Chile4
San Felipe2
Recent Form
U. De Chile
25.06.26CUP
Union La Calera3
U. De Chile3
D
21.06.26CUP
U. De Chile4
S. Wanderers1
W
19.06.26LDP
U. De Chile2
O’Higgins0
W
14.06.26LDP
Union La Calera2
U. De Chile2
D
07.06.26CDL
U. De Chile2
A. Italiano2
D
30.05.26LDP
U. De Chile2
D. Concepcion1
W
17.05.26LDP
Cobresal1
U. De Chile0
L
10.05.26CDL
Union La Calera1
U. De Chile0
L
02.05.26CDL
La Serena0
U. De Chile5
W
25.04.26LDP
U. De Chile1
U. Catolica0
W
San Felipe
21.06.26CUP
Union La Calera0
San Felipe2
W
09.06.26LDA
U. Espanola2
San Felipe2
D
30.05.26LDA
San Felipe1
D. Puerto Montt0
W
24.05.26LDA
Deportes Temuco5
San Felipe0
L
16.05.26LDA
San Felipe2
Rangers1
W
10.05.26LDA
Copiapo2
San Felipe1
L
04.05.26LDA
San Luis4
San Felipe0
L
25.04.26LDA
San Felipe0
Magallanes1
L
19.04.26LDA
CD Santa Cruz1
San Felipe3
W
11.04.26LDA
San Felipe0
Curico Unido0
D
U. De Chile (Home)
21.06.26CUP
U. De Chile4
S. Wanderers1
W
19.06.26LDP
U. De Chile2
O’Higgins0
W
07.06.26CDL
U. De Chile2
A. Italiano2
D
30.05.26LDP
U. De Chile2
D. Concepcion1
W
25.04.26LDP
U. De Chile1
U. Catolica0
W
05.04.26LDP
U. De Chile4
La Serena0
W
24.03.26CDL
U. De Chile0
Union La Calera1
L
20.03.26CDL
U. De Chile2
La Serena2
D
10.03.26LDP
U. De Chile1
U. De Concepcion1
D
05.03.26COP
U. De Chile1
Palestino2
L
San Felipe (Away)
21.06.26CUP
Union La Calera0
San Felipe2
W
09.06.26LDA
U. Espanola2
San Felipe2
D
24.05.26LDA
Deportes Temuco5
San Felipe0
L
10.05.26LDA
Copiapo2
San Felipe1
L
04.05.26LDA
San Luis4
San Felipe0
L
19.04.26LDA
CD Santa Cruz1
San Felipe3
W
29.03.26LDA
Cobreloa2
San Felipe0
L
13.03.26LDA
Recoleta2
San Felipe0
L
22.02.26LDA
Deportes Iquique5
San Felipe0
L
07.02.26CUP
S. Wanderers3
San Felipe1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Sunday, 28th June 2026, U. De Chile host San Felipe at Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos (Santiago de Chile) in Copa Chile. We recommend U. De Chile to win as the standout selection.

U. De Chile arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

San Felipe are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour U. De Chile, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to San Felipe's 1, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: u. de chile to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Copa Chile match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 2 wins, 3 draws from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos (Santiago de Chile). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.32, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 10:30 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for U. De Chile vs San Felipe?
Our selection is 1 — U. De Chile to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is U. De Chile's current form?
U. De Chile have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has San Felipe been performing recently?
San Felipe have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
U. De Chile lead with 8 wins versus San Felipe's 1, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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