Moderate Signal 57% Confidence
L

Liaoning W

Home
W W W W W
7W 1D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
12:00 pm
C
Changchun Dazhong W
Away
D L W D W
4W 2D 4L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Sunday, 28th June 2026
1
Backing Liaoning W to win
Liaoning W 50%
Draw 30%
Changchun Dazhong W 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 72.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -15.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
1
Liaoning W
1
Draws
0
Changchun Dazhong W
2
Meetings
1.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Liaoning W won 1 of the last 2 meetings (1 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Liaoning W
Metric
Changchun Dazhong W
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.1
1
Goals Against / Game
1.1
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-1-2
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
70%
40%
2.5
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
L0
0-0 8.6%
0-1 9.1%
0-2 4.8%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
L1
1-0 12.1%
1-1 12.7%
1-2 6.7%
1-3 2.3%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
L2
2-0 8.5%
2-1 8.9%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.6%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
L3
3-0 4.0%
3-1 4.1%
3-2 2.2%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
L4
4-0 1.4%
4-1 1.5%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.1%) 2-1(8.9%) 2-0(8.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Liaoning W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Changchun Dazhong W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Liaoning W
Overall
7.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
6.7
Changchun Dazhong W
Overall
4.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 34%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 31%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
30.08.25SL
Liaoning2
Changchun Dazhong1
08.06.25SL
Changchun Dazhong0
Liaoning0
Recent Form
Liaoning W
24.06.26SL
Shaanxi Changan0
Liaoning1
W
19.06.26SL
Shanghai RCB1
Liaoning2
W
13.06.26SL
Liaoning3
Shandong SL0
W
16.05.26SL
Zhejiang0
Liaoning1
W
09.05.26SL
Liaoning3
Sichuan1
W
02.05.26SL
Beijing Beikong1
Liaoning0
L
25.04.26SL
Liaoning2
Guangdong Meizhou0
W
28.09.25SL
Beijing Beikong4
Liaoning0
L
20.09.25SL
Liaoning4
Wuhan Jiangda2
W
11.09.25SL
Liaoning1
Shandong SL1
D
Changchun Dazhong W
24.06.26SL
Changchun Dazhong1
Shandong SL1
D
19.06.26SL
Beijing Beikong3
Changchun Dazhong1
L
14.06.26SL
Changchun Dazhong2
Shaanxi Changan1
W
17.05.26SL
Shanghai RCB0
Changchun Dazhong0
D
09.05.26SL
Changchun Dazhong1
Guangxi Pingguo0
W
03.05.26SL
Jiangsu Suning2
Changchun Dazhong0
L
25.04.26SL
Wuhan Jiangda2
Changchun Dazhong0
L
28.09.25SL
Changchun Dazhong0
Yongchuan Chashan1
L
20.09.25SL
Changchun Dazhong3
Zhejiang1
W
06.09.25SL
Changchun Dazhong3
Jiangsu Suning0
W
Liaoning W (Home)
13.06.26SL
Liaoning3
Shandong SL0
W
09.05.26SL
Liaoning3
Sichuan1
W
25.04.26SL
Liaoning2
Guangdong Meizhou0
W
20.09.25SL
Liaoning4
Wuhan Jiangda2
W
11.09.25SL
Liaoning1
Shandong SL1
D
07.09.25SL
Liaoning1
Henan Songshan Longmen1
D
30.08.25SL
Liaoning2
Changchun Dazhong1
W
23.08.25SL
Liaoning0
Jiangsu Suning1
L
02.08.25SL
Liaoning0
Shanghai RCB0
D
23.07.25SL
Liaoning1
Guangdong Meizhou0
W
Changchun Dazhong W (Away)
19.06.26SL
Beijing Beikong3
Changchun Dazhong1
L
17.05.26SL
Shanghai RCB0
Changchun Dazhong0
D
03.05.26SL
Jiangsu Suning2
Changchun Dazhong0
L
25.04.26SL
Wuhan Jiangda2
Changchun Dazhong0
L
30.08.25SL
Liaoning2
Changchun Dazhong1
L
13.08.25SL
Henan Songshan Longmen2
Changchun Dazhong2
D
27.07.25SL
Shaanxi Changan0
Changchun Dazhong0
D
23.07.25SL
Shanghai RCB1
Changchun Dazhong1
D
20.07.25SL
Yongchuan Chashan1
Changchun Dazhong2
W
11.06.25SL
Beijing Beikong0
Changchun Dazhong1
W
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Match Analysis
Writeup

On Sunday, 28th June 2026, Liaoning W host Changchun Dazhong W in China SL Women. We recommend Liaoning W to win as the standout selection.

Liaoning W arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Changchun Dazhong W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Liaoning W, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Changchun Dazhong W's 0, with 1 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: liaoning w to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this China SL Women match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 5 wins from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into the host venue. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.38, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 12:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Liaoning W vs Changchun Dazhong W?
Our selection is 1 — Liaoning W to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is Liaoning W's current form?
Liaoning W have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Changchun Dazhong W been performing recently?
Changchun Dazhong W have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Liaoning W lead with 1 wins versus Changchun Dazhong W's 0, with 1 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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