Moderate Signal 49% Confidence
A

Atletico GO

Home
D D W D L
2W 5D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
8:00 pm
Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia)
P
Ponte Prata
Away
L L L D L
2W 1D 7L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Sunday, 28th June 2026
1
Backing Atletico GO to win
Atletico GO 50%
Draw 20%
Ponte Prata 30%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 3.33
Implied Prob 71.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -22.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
8
Atletico GO
2
Draws
0
Ponte Prata
10
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Atletico GO won 8 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Atletico GO
Metric
Ponte Prata
1.1
Goals For / Game
0.8
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2.2
22%
Clean Sheets
20%
2-5-2
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate
22%
20%
2.6
Avg Goals
74%
Over 1.5
53%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
A0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 7.1%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 12.3%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 5.5%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 10.1%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 4.6%
2-3 1.4%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 5.6%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 2.3%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.3%) 2-0(10.1%) 2-1(9.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Atletico GO Win
50%
2
Draw
20%
5
Ponte Prata Win
30%
3.33
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Atletico GO
Overall
3.9
Scoring
3.7
Defence
6.3
Ponte Prata
Overall
2.3
Scoring
2.7
Defence
2.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 25%
Draw & BTTS No 18%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 16%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 23%
Draw & Under 2.5 20%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
19.03.26COP
Atletico GO1
Ponte Preta0
15.10.23SB
Ponte Preta0
Atletico GO2
23.06.23SB
Atletico GO1
Ponte Preta0
15.10.19SB
Atletico GO0
Ponte Preta0
17.07.19SB
Ponte Preta0
Atletico GO0
04.09.18SB
Atletico GO2
Ponte Preta0
19.05.18SB
Ponte Preta1
Atletico GO3
17.09.17SA
Ponte Preta1
Atletico GO3
08.06.17SA
Atletico GO3
Ponte Preta0
09.09.14SB
Ponte Preta3
Atletico GO4
Recent Form
Atletico GO
19.06.26SB
Sport Recife1
Atletico GO1
D
12.06.26SB
Atletico GO3
CRB3
D
09.06.26SB
America MG1
Atletico GO2
W
30.05.26SB
Atletico GO1
Goias1
D
24.05.26SB
Atletico GO0
Sao Bernardo1
L
17.05.26SB
Criciuma1
Atletico GO1
D
09.05.26SB
Ceara0
Atletico GO1
W
03.05.26SB
Atletico GO0
Juventude0
D
29.04.26COP
Atletico GO1
Gama2
L
Ponte Prata
23.06.26SB
Ponte Preta0
Novorizontino2
L
14.06.26SB
Juventude3
Ponte Preta0
L
09.06.26SB
Ponte Preta1
Cuiaba2
L
01.06.26SB
Ponte Preta0
Botafogo SP0
D
24.05.26SB
CRB4
Ponte Preta2
L
18.05.26SB
Ponte Preta1
Londrina4
L
09.05.26SB
Ponte Preta1
Sport Recife3
L
03.05.26SB
Sao Bernardo3
Ponte Preta0
L
25.04.26SB
Ponte Preta1
America MG0
W
19.04.26SB
Avai1
Ponte Preta2
W
Atletico GO (Home)
12.06.26SB
Atletico GO3
CRB3
D
30.05.26SB
Atletico GO1
Goias1
D
24.05.26SB
Atletico GO0
Sao Bernardo1
L
03.05.26SB
Atletico GO0
Juventude0
D
29.04.26COP
Atletico GO1
Gama2
L
27.04.26SB
Atletico GO2
Avai1
W
13.04.26SB
Atletico GO2
Londrina1
W
08.04.26COP
Atletico GO1
Cuiaba0
W
01.04.26SB
Atletico GO1
Nautico2
L
Ponte Prata (Away)
14.06.26SB
Juventude3
Ponte Preta0
L
24.05.26SB
CRB4
Ponte Preta2
L
03.05.26SB
Sao Bernardo3
Ponte Preta0
L
19.04.26SB
Avai1
Ponte Preta2
W
04.04.26SB
Nautico1
Ponte Preta0
L
22.03.26SB
Athletic Club2
Ponte Preta1
L
19.03.26COP
Atletico GO1
Ponte Preta0
L
07.02.26PAU
Portuguesa2
Ponte Preta0
L
31.01.26PAU
Guarani1
Ponte Preta0
L
17.01.26PAU
Capivariano2
Ponte Preta0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Sunday, 28th June 2026, Atletico GO host Ponte Prata at Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia) in Brazil Serie B. We recommend Atletico GO to win as the standout selection.

Atletico GO arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats from their last 9 outings.

Ponte Prata are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 1D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Atletico GO, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Ponte Prata's 0, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.

Our verdict: atletico go to win at odds of 1.40 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Brazil Serie B match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.40, which our model rates near 50,20,30%. The fixture starts at 8:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Atletico GO vs Ponte Prata?
Our selection is 1 — Atletico GO to win, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 49%.
What is Atletico GO's current form?
Atletico GO have won 2, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches.
How has Ponte Prata been performing recently?
Ponte Prata have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Atletico GO lead with 8 wins versus Ponte Prata's 0, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
⚠️
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