Strong Signal 74% Confidence
K

Kuressaare

Home
L D W D W
2W 2D 6L ▼ Declining
VS
5:00 pm
Kuressaare Linnastaadion (Kuressaare)
F
Flora
Away
W L W L W
8W 0D 2L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 7th February 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 98% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -24% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
0
Kuressaare
1
Draws
9
Flora
10
Meetings
3.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 80% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Kuressaare
Metric
Flora
0.8
Goals For / Game
2.5
1.3
Goals Against / Game
0.8
10%
Clean Sheets
50%
2-2-6
W — D — L
8-0-2
Win Rate
20%
80%
2.7
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
K0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 12.8%
0-2 12.1%
0-3 7.7%
0-4 3.7%
0-5 1.4%
K1
1-0 5.4%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 9.7%
1-3 6.2%
1-4 2.9%
1-5 1.1%
K2
2-0 2.2%
2-1 4.1%
2-2 3.9%
2-3 2.5%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.4%
K3
3-0 0.6%
3-1 1.1%
3-2 1.0%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
K4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
K5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(12.8%) 0-2(12.1%) 1-1(10.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip K=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Kuressaare
Overall
2.6
Scoring
2.7
Defence
5.7
Flora
Overall
8.0
Scoring
8.3
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Home Win & BTTS No 9%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Away Win & BTTS No 37%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 11%
Home Win & Under 2.5 7%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 44%
Away Win & Under 2.5 29%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
07.04.26ML
Flora2
Kuressaare1
01.11.25ML
Flora2
Kuressaare0
24.08.25ML
Kuressaare1
Flora2
27.05.25ML
Kuressaare1
Flora3
29.03.25ML
Flora5
Kuressaare0
26.10.24ML
Flora3
Kuressaare0
14.09.24ML
Kuressaare3
Flora4
21.05.24ML
Flora1
Kuressaare0
27.04.24ML
Kuressaare2
Flora2
07.10.23ML
Flora3
Kuressaare0
Recent Form
Kuressaare
26.06.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Kuressaare0
L
16.06.26ML
Kuressaare0
Narva0
D
13.06.26ML
Harju JK Laagri2
Kuressaare3
W
31.05.26ML
Paide1
Kuressaare1
D
20.05.26ML
Kuressaare2
Nomme Utd1
W
17.05.26ML
Kuressaare0
Kalju2
L
08.05.26ML
Tammeka1
Kuressaare0
L
02.05.26ML
Kuressaare1
Levadia2
L
25.04.26ML
Nomme Utd2
Kuressaare1
L
21.04.26ML
Kuressaare0
Parnu JK Vaprus1
L
Flora
28.06.26ML
Levadia1
Flora2
W
21.06.26ML
Flora1
Paide2
L
16.06.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Flora2
W
13.06.26ML
Flora1
Levadia3
L
29.05.26ML
Nomme Utd0
Flora4
W
23.05.26CUP
Paide1
Flora5
W
16.05.26ML
Narva0
Flora3
W
10.05.26ML
Kalju0
Flora1
W
05.05.26CUP
Flora1
Narva0
W
30.04.26ML
Flora5
Harju JK Laagri0
W
Kuressaare (Home)
16.06.26ML
Kuressaare0
Narva0
D
20.05.26ML
Kuressaare2
Nomme Utd1
W
17.05.26ML
Kuressaare0
Kalju2
L
02.05.26ML
Kuressaare1
Levadia2
L
21.04.26ML
Kuressaare0
Parnu JK Vaprus1
L
11.04.26ML
Kuressaare3
Harju JK Laagri2
W
03.04.26ML
Kuressaare0
Paide1
L
14.03.26ML
Kuressaare3
Tammeka2
W
21.02.26CF
Kuressaare2
Narva2
D
14.02.26CF
Kuressaare2
Tallinna Kalev0
W
Flora (Away)
28.06.26ML
Levadia1
Flora2
W
16.06.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Flora2
W
29.05.26ML
Nomme Utd0
Flora4
W
23.05.26CUP
Paide1
Flora5
W
16.05.26ML
Narva0
Flora3
W
10.05.26ML
Kalju0
Flora1
W
26.04.26ML
Paide1
Flora2
W
19.04.26ML
Levadia4
Flora0
L
03.04.26ML
Tammeka3
Flora1
L
22.03.26ML
Harju JK Laagri2
Flora0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 7th February 2026, Kuressaare host Flora at Kuressaare Linnastaadion (Kuressaare) in Estonia Meistriliiga. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Kuressaare arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Flora are travelling well, with a record of 8W 0D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Kuressaare, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Flora's 9, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.02 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Estonia Meistriliiga match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Kuressaare Linnastaadion (Kuressaare). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward Over 2.5 at @1.02, which our model rates near 80%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kuressaare vs Flora?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.02. Tip confidence rating: 74%.
What is Kuressaare's current form?
Kuressaare have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Flora been performing recently?
Flora have recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kuressaare lead with 0 wins versus Flora's 9, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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