Moderate Signal 59% Confidence
G

Guangdong GZ-Power

Home
D W L W D
5W 3D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
12:30 pm
Huangpu Sports Center (Guangzhou)
S
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Away
L W L D D
1W 4D 5L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 11th July 2026
1
Backing Guangdong GZ-Power to win
Guangdong GZ-Power 50%
Draw 30%
Shijiazhuang Gongfu 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 78.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -19.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
2
Guangdong GZ-Power
0
Draws
0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
2
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Guangdong GZ-Power won 2 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Guangdong GZ-Power
Metric
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
1.8
Goals For / Game
0.4
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.2
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-3-2
W — D — L
1-4-5
Win Rate
50%
10%
2.4
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
G0
0-0 9.5%
0-1 8.1%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
G1
1-0 14.3%
1-1 12.2%
1-2 5.2%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
G2
2-0 10.7%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 3.9%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
G3
3-0 5.4%
3-1 4.6%
3-2 1.9%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
G4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 1.7%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
G5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.3%) 2-0(10.7%) 2-1(9.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip G=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Guangdong GZ-Power Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Shijiazhuang Gongfu Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Guangdong GZ-Power
Overall
5.9
Scoring
6.0
Defence
5.7
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Overall
2.2
Scoring
1.3
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 20%
Draw & BTTS No 17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 27%
Draw & Over 2.5 19%
Draw & Under 2.5 19%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
13.09.25L1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
04.05.25L1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Recent Form
Guangdong GZ-Power
04.07.26L1
Suzhou Dongwu2
Guangdong GZ-Power2
D
27.06.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Shaanxi Union1
W
19.06.26FAC
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Beijing Guoan2
L
13.06.26L1
Dingnan Ganlian1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
W
29.05.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power0
Shenzhen Juniors0
D
24.05.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Yanbian Longding4
L
17.05.26FAC
Wuhan Lianzhen0
Guangdong GZ-Power1
W
10.05.26L1
Dalian K’un City1
Guangdong GZ-Power1
D
02.05.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Nantong Zhiyun1
W
26.04.26L1
Changchun Yatai1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
W
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
04.07.26L1
Ningbo Professional2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu1
L
27.06.26L1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu2
Nanjing City1
W
20.06.26FAC
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Shanghai Shenhua2
L
14.06.26L1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu1
Suzhou Dongwu1
D
30.05.26L1
Dalian K’un City0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
D
24.05.26L1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Meizhou Hakka1
L
17.05.26FAC
Guizhou Xufengtang0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu (Pen 2 - 4)0
W
10.05.26L1
Shenzhen Juniors2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
L
02.05.26L1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Guangxi Hengchen3
L
26.04.26L1
Wuxi Wugou0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
D
Guangdong GZ-Power (Home)
27.06.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Shaanxi Union1
W
19.06.26FAC
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Beijing Guoan2
L
29.05.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power0
Shenzhen Juniors0
D
24.05.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Yanbian Longding4
L
02.05.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Nantong Zhiyun1
W
19.04.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Meizhou Hakka0
W
11.04.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Wuxi Wugou0
W
14.03.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Ningbo Professional0
W
08.11.25L1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Nantong Zhiyun1
W
26.10.25L1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Shaanxi Union2
D
Shijiazhuang Gongfu (Away)
04.07.26L1
Ningbo Professional2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu1
L
30.05.26L1
Dalian K’un City0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
D
17.05.26FAC
Guizhou Xufengtang0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu (Pen 2 - 4)0
W
10.05.26L1
Shenzhen Juniors2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
L
26.04.26L1
Wuxi Wugou0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
D
05.04.26L1
Shaanxi Union1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
L
14.03.26L1
Nantong Zhiyun2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu1
L
01.11.25L1
Foshan Nanshi0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
D
26.10.25L1
Chongqing Tonglianglong0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
D
05.10.25L1
Nanjing City1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu3
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 11th July 2026, Guangdong GZ-Power host Shijiazhuang Gongfu at Huangpu Sports Center (Guangzhou) in China League One. We recommend Guangdong GZ-Power to win as the standout selection.

Guangdong GZ-Power arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 4D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Guangdong GZ-Power, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Shijiazhuang Gongfu's 0, with 0 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: guangdong gz-power to win at odds of 1.27 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this China League One match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Huangpu Sports Center (Guangzhou). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.27, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 12:30 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Guangdong GZ-Power vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu?
Our selection is 1 — Guangdong GZ-Power to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Guangdong GZ-Power's current form?
Guangdong GZ-Power have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Shijiazhuang Gongfu been performing recently?
Shijiazhuang Gongfu have recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Guangdong GZ-Power lead with 2 wins versus Shijiazhuang Gongfu's 0, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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