Moderate Signal 64% Confidence
V

Viking

Home
L D W W W
8W 1D 1L → Steady
VS
5:00 pm
Lyse Arena (Stavanger)
S
Sandefjord
Away
D L D L W
4W 3D 3L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 18th July 2026
1
Backing Viking to win
Viking 50%
Draw 30%
Sandefjord 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 77.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -13.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
7
Viking
1
Draws
2
Sandefjord
10
Meetings
3.8
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Viking won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Viking
Metric
Sandefjord
2.5
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.2
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
8-1-1
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
80%
40%
2.9
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
V0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 5.8%
0-2 3.0%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
V1
1-0 10.2%
1-1 10.7%
1-2 5.6%
1-3 2.0%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
V2
2-0 9.4%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
V3
3-0 5.8%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
V4
4-0 2.7%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
V5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.2%) 2-1(9.9%) 2-0(9.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip V=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Viking Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Sandefjord Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Viking
Overall
8.3
Scoring
8.3
Defence
7.0
Sandefjord
Overall
4.9
Scoring
4.0
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 31%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 16%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
10.08.25ELI
Sandefjord1
Viking2
16.05.25ELI
Viking3
Sandefjord1
02.11.24ELI
Viking3
Sandefjord2
20.05.24ELI
Sandefjord0
Viking3
24.09.23ELI
Viking4
Sandefjord3
13.05.23ELI
Sandefjord1
Viking2
07.08.22ELI
Sandefjord2
Viking2
19.06.22ELI
Viking1
Sandefjord2
02.10.21ELI
Viking2
Sandefjord1
19.06.21ELI
Sandefjord3
Viking0
Recent Form
Viking
12.07.26ELI
Sarpsborg 081
Viking0
L
03.07.26CF
Sonderjyske1
Viking1
D
24.05.26ELI
Kristiansund1
Viking2
W
16.05.26ELI
Viking6
Start3
W
10.05.26ELI
KFUM Oslo0
Viking2
W
01.05.26ELI
Viking3
Rosenborg0
W
25.04.26ELI
Fredrikstad1
Viking2
W
18.04.26ELI
Viking3
Brann2
W
11.04.26ELI
Viking5
Bodo/Glimt0
W
06.04.26ELI
Valerenga0
Viking1
W
Sandefjord
12.07.26ELI
Sandefjord2
HamKam2
D
30.05.26ELI
Molde2
Sandefjord1
L
25.05.26ELI
Sandefjord1
Fredrikstad1
D
16.05.26ELI
Lillestrom3
Sandefjord1
L
10.05.26ELI
Sandefjord2
Kristiansund0
W
03.05.26ELI
Sandefjord1
Aalesund0
W
26.04.26ELI
Tromso3
Sandefjord1
L
18.04.26ELI
Sandefjord0
Rosenborg0
D
12.04.26ELI
Brann0
Sandefjord1
W
07.04.26ELI
KFUM Oslo1
Sandefjord2
W
Viking (Home)
16.05.26ELI
Viking6
Start3
W
01.05.26ELI
Viking3
Rosenborg0
W
18.04.26ELI
Viking3
Brann2
W
11.04.26ELI
Viking5
Bodo/Glimt0
W
25.03.26CF
Viking3
Haugesund0
W
21.03.26ELI
Viking4
Molde1
W
18.03.26NMC
Viking1
Aalesund2
L
01.03.26CF
Viking2
Sarpsborg 080
W
13.02.26CF
Viking4
AIK1
W
06.02.26CF
Viking4
Start0
W
Sandefjord (Away)
30.05.26ELI
Molde2
Sandefjord1
L
16.05.26ELI
Lillestrom3
Sandefjord1
L
26.04.26ELI
Tromso3
Sandefjord1
L
12.04.26ELI
Brann0
Sandefjord1
W
07.04.26ELI
KFUM Oslo1
Sandefjord2
W
27.03.26CF
Stromsgodset2
Sandefjord2
D
15.03.26ELI
Valerenga1
Sandefjord0
L
06.02.26CF
Valerenga5
Sandefjord2
L
23.01.26CF
Lillestrom1
Sandefjord2
W
22.11.25ELI
Stromsgodset2
Sandefjord6
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 18th July 2026, Viking host Sandefjord at Lyse Arena (Stavanger) in Norway Eliteserien. We recommend Viking to win as the standout selection.

Viking arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Sandefjord are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 3D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Viking, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Sandefjord's 2, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: viking to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Norway Eliteserien match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Lyse Arena (Stavanger). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.29, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Viking vs Sandefjord?
Our selection is 1 — Viking to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Viking's current form?
Viking have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sandefjord been performing recently?
Sandefjord have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Viking lead with 7 wins versus Sandefjord's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
⚠️
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