Moderate Signal 58% Confidence
A

Adelaide Olympic

Home
W W L W L
6W 0D 4L ▼ Declining
VS
11:00 am
N/A
S
South Adelaide
Away
D L L L L
2W 3D 5L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 24th July 2026
1
Backing Adelaide Olympic to win
Adelaide Olympic 50%
Draw 30%
South Adelaide 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 74.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -16.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Adelaide Olympic to win
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide Competition: Australia SA State League Date: Friday, 24th July 2026 KO: 11:00 am Pick: 1 (Adelaide Olympic to win) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 58% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
7
Adelaide Olympic
3
Draws
0
South Adelaide
10
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Adelaide Olympic won 7 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Adelaide Olympic
Metric
South Adelaide
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.3
Goals Against / Game
2.1
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-0-4
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
60%
20%
3.1
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
A0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 5.9%
0-2 3.8%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 8.1%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 6.9%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
A2
2-0 7.3%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
A3
3-0 4.4%
3-1 5.7%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 2.6%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.5%) 1-0(8.1%) 2-0(7.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Adelaide Olympic Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
South Adelaide Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Adelaide Olympic
Overall
6.0
Scoring
5.0
Defence
5.7
South Adelaide
Overall
2.9
Scoring
4.3
Defence
3.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.05.26SASL
South Adelaide2
Adelaide Olympic0
21.06.25SASL
Adelaide Olympic2
South Adelaide1
21.03.25SASL
South Adelaide0
Adelaide Olympic1
03.08.24APL
Adelaide Olympic1
South Adelaide0
10.05.24APL
South Adelaide1
Adelaide Olympic2
27.05.23APL
South Adelaide3
Adelaide Olympic3
04.03.23APL
Adelaide Olympic0
South Adelaide3
02.07.22APL
South Adelaide3
Adelaide Olympic3
02.04.22APL
Adelaide Olympic4
South Adelaide0
17.07.21APL
South Adelaide2
Adelaide Olympic2
Recent Form
Adelaide Olympic
18.07.26SASL
Adelaide Atletico0
Adelaide Olympic1
W
03.07.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic1
Salisbury Utd.0
W
27.06.26SASL
Modbury Jets4
Adelaide Olympic1
L
20.06.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic2
Cove FC0
W
12.06.26SASL
Eastern United2
Adelaide Olympic1
L
06.06.26SASL
Blue Eagles1
Adelaide Olympic2
W
29.05.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic4
Fulham Utd.0
W
23.05.26SASL
Adelaide Croatia Raiders3
Adelaide Olympic1
L
17.05.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic2
Cumberland Utd.1
W
08.05.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic2
Adelaide Cobras0
W
South Adelaide
18.07.26SASL
South Adelaide2
Cove FC2
D
04.07.26SASL
Blue Eagles4
South Adelaide1
L
27.06.26SASL
South Adelaide0
Fulham Utd.1
L
20.06.26SASL
Cumberland Utd.5
South Adelaide1
L
13.06.26SASL
Adelaide Croatia Raiders3
South Adelaide2
L
06.06.26SASL
South Adelaide0
Adelaide Cobras2
L
30.05.26SASL
South Adelaide1
Eastern United1
D
23.05.26SASL
Adelaide Atletico1
South Adelaide1
D
16.05.26SASL
South Adelaide2
Salisbury Utd.0
W
09.05.26SASL
Modbury Jets4
South Adelaide1
L
Adelaide Olympic (Home)
03.07.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic1
Salisbury Utd.0
W
20.06.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic2
Cove FC0
W
29.05.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic4
Fulham Utd.0
W
17.05.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic2
Cumberland Utd.1
W
08.05.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic2
Adelaide Cobras0
W
24.04.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic3
Blue Eagles0
W
17.04.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic1
Adelaide Atletico2
L
27.03.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic1
Modbury Jets1
D
13.03.26SASL
Adelaide Olympic2
Eastern United1
W
16.08.25SASL
Adelaide Olympic4
Adelaide Vipers1
W
South Adelaide (Away)
04.07.26SASL
Blue Eagles4
South Adelaide1
L
20.06.26SASL
Cumberland Utd.5
South Adelaide1
L
13.06.26SASL
Adelaide Croatia Raiders3
South Adelaide2
L
23.05.26SASL
Adelaide Atletico1
South Adelaide1
D
09.05.26SASL
Modbury Jets4
South Adelaide1
L
18.04.26SASL
Cove FC2
South Adelaide1
L
28.03.26SASL
Fulham Utd.6
South Adelaide1
L
07.03.26SASL
Adelaide Cobras4
South Adelaide0
L
28.02.26SASL
Eastern United5
South Adelaide2
L
16.08.25SASL
Pontian Eagles1
South Adelaide3
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 24th July 2026, Adelaide Olympic host South Adelaide at N/A in Australia SA State League. We recommend Adelaide Olympic to win as the standout selection.

Adelaide Olympic arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

South Adelaide are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Adelaide Olympic, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to South Adelaide's 0, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: adelaide olympic to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Australia SA State League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into N/A. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.34, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 11:00 am.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide?
Our selection is 1 — Adelaide Olympic to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Adelaide Olympic's current form?
Adelaide Olympic have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has South Adelaide been performing recently?
South Adelaide have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Adelaide Olympic lead with 7 wins versus South Adelaide's 0, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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