Moderate Signal 61% Confidence
O

OKMK

Home
W W D W D
6W 3D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
4:00 pm
OKMK Sport Majmuasi (Olmaliq)
M
Mashal Muborak
Away
D W L L L
1W 1D 8L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Monday, 27th July 2026
1
Backing OKMK to win
OKMK 50%
Draw 30%
Mashal Muborak 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 74.1% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -13.1% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
8
OKMK
1
Draws
1
Mashal Muborak
10
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip OKMK won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
OKMK
Metric
Mashal Muborak
1.9
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.5
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-3-1
W — D — L
1-1-8
Win Rate
60%
10%
2.7
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
O0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 6.7%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
O1
1-0 12.0%
1-1 11.4%
1-2 5.4%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
O2
2-0 10.2%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 4.6%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
O3
3-0 5.8%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 2.6%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
O4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
O5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.0%) 2-0(10.2%) 2-1(9.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip O=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
OKMK Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Mashal Muborak Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
OKMK
Overall
6.9
Scoring
6.3
Defence
5.7
Mashal Muborak
Overall
1.3
Scoring
2.0
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 44%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
30.11.25SL
OKMK2
Mashal Muborak0
05.07.25SL
Mashal Muborak0
OKMK1
15.10.21SL
OKMK3
Mashal Muborak2
19.05.21SL
Mashal Muborak2
OKMK1
17.10.20SL
Mashal Muborak0
OKMK2
27.06.20SL
OKMK1
Mashal Muborak0
03.08.19CUP
OKMK1
Mashal Muborak (AET)0
19.09.18CUP
OKMK3
Mashal Muborak (AET)1
20.10.17SL
OKMK2
Mashal Muborak1
13.05.17SL
Mashal Muborak0
OKMK0
Recent Form
OKMK
22.07.26SL
Kokand 19121
OKMK4
W
17.07.26SL
Navbahor Namangan2
OKMK3
W
03.05.26SL
OKMK0
Neftchi Fargona0
D
27.04.26SL
OKMK2
Lok. Tashkent1
W
23.04.26SL
Din. Samarkand2
OKMK2
D
17.04.26SL
OKMK3
Buxoro2
W
12.04.26SL
Andijan1
OKMK2
W
08.04.26SL
OKMK1
Termez Surkhon1
D
04.04.26SL
Pakhtakor3
OKMK1
L
18.03.26SL
Qizilqum0
OKMK1
W
Mashal Muborak
22.07.26SL
Mashal Muborak1
Nasaf Qarshi1
D
17.07.26SL
Mashal Muborak1
Kokand 19120
W
02.05.26SL
Din. Samarkand3
Mashal Muborak1
L
27.04.26SL
Mashal Muborak0
Buxoro1
L
22.04.26SL
Termez Surkhon2
Mashal Muborak1
L
18.04.26SL
Mashal Muborak0
Xorazm Urganch1
L
13.04.26SL
Pakhtakor2
Mashal Muborak1
L
07.04.26SL
Mashal Muborak0
Bunyodkor1
L
03.04.26SL
Navbahor Namangan2
Mashal Muborak1
L
19.03.26SL
Andijan2
Mashal Muborak0
L
OKMK (Home)
03.05.26SL
OKMK0
Neftchi Fargona0
D
27.04.26SL
OKMK2
Lok. Tashkent1
W
17.04.26SL
OKMK3
Buxoro2
W
08.04.26SL
OKMK1
Termez Surkhon1
D
12.03.26SL
OKMK2
Sogdiana2
D
01.03.26SL
OKMK0
Bunyodkor1
L
23.01.26CF
OKMK3
Ulsan HD2
W
30.11.25SL
OKMK2
Mashal Muborak0
W
07.11.25SL
OKMK3
Navbahor Namangan1
W
26.10.25SL
OKMK1
Nasaf Qarshi1
D
Mashal Muborak (Away)
02.05.26SL
Din. Samarkand3
Mashal Muborak1
L
22.04.26SL
Termez Surkhon2
Mashal Muborak1
L
13.04.26SL
Pakhtakor2
Mashal Muborak1
L
03.04.26SL
Navbahor Namangan2
Mashal Muborak1
L
19.03.26SL
Andijan2
Mashal Muborak0
L
28.02.26SL
Neftchi Fargona3
Mashal Muborak0
L
30.11.25SL
OKMK2
Mashal Muborak0
L
08.11.25SL
Nasaf Qarshi1
Mashal Muborak2
W
26.10.25SL
Bunyodkor2
Mashal Muborak1
L
05.10.25SL
Qizilqum1
Mashal Muborak0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 27th July 2026, OKMK host Mashal Muborak at OKMK Sport Majmuasi (Olmaliq) in Uzbekistan Super League. We recommend OKMK to win as the standout selection.

OKMK arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Mashal Muborak are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 1D 8L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour OKMK, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Mashal Muborak's 1, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: okmk to win at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Uzbekistan Super League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into OKMK Sport Majmuasi (Olmaliq). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.35, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 4:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for OKMK vs Mashal Muborak?
Our selection is 1 — OKMK to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is OKMK's current form?
OKMK have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Mashal Muborak been performing recently?
Mashal Muborak have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
OKMK lead with 8 wins versus Mashal Muborak's 1, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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