Strong Signal 67% Confidence
B

Bodo Glimt

Home
W W W W W
9W 1D 0L ▲ Improving
VS
8:00 pm
Aspmyra Stadion (Bodø)
L
Lillestrom
Away
L W W W L
4W 0D 6L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 31st July 2026
1
Backing Bodo Glimt to win
Bodo Glimt 50%
Draw 30%
Lillestrom 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 79.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -12.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Bodo Glimt to win
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90% Bodo Glimt Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Bodo Glimt vs Lillestrom Competition: Norway Eliteserien Date: Friday, 31st July 2026 KO: 8:00 pm Pick: 1 (Bodo Glimt to win) Odds: 1.26 Confidence: 67% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: Bodo Glimt Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
7
Bodo Glimt
1
Draws
2
Lillestrom
10
Meetings
3.9
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Bodo Glimt won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Bodo Glimt
Metric
Lillestrom
3.1
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.5
60%
Clean Sheets
10%
9-1-0
W — D — L
4-0-6
Win Rate
90%
40%
3.3
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
B0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 3.7%
0-2 1.8%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
B1
1-0 8.9%
1-1 8.5%
1-2 4.0%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 10.3%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 4.6%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 7.9%
3-1 7.5%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 4.5%
4-1 4.3%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 2.1%
5-1 2.0%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(10.3%) 2-1(9.7%) 1-0(8.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   L=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Bodo Glimt Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Lillestrom Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Bodo Glimt
Overall
9.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
8.3
Lillestrom
Overall
4.0
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 34%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 47%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
26.04.26ELI
Lillestrom0
Bodo/Glimt2
22.03.26NMC
Bodo/Glimt4
Lillestrom0
01.12.24ELI
Bodo/Glimt5
Lillestrom2
01.05.24NMC
Bodo/Glimt2
Lillestrom4
14.04.24ELI
Lillestrom0
Bodo/Glimt5
30.10.23ELI
Bodo/Glimt3
Lillestrom1
07.05.23ELI
Lillestrom1
Bodo/Glimt2
26.04.23NMC
Lillestrom1
Bodo/Glimt0
01.10.22ELI
Lillestrom1
Bodo/Glimt4
08.05.22ELI
Bodo/Glimt1
Lillestrom1
Recent Form
Bodo Glimt
26.07.26ELI
Sandefjord0
Bodo/Glimt3
W
22.07.26ELI
Bodo/Glimt3
HamKam0
W
17.07.26ELI
Bodo/Glimt1
Fredrikstad0
W
12.07.26ELI
KFUM Oslo0
Bodo/Glimt2
W
04.07.26CF
Bodo/Glimt4
Start0
W
28.06.26CF
Molde1
Bodo/Glimt4
W
29.05.26ELI
Rosenborg2
Bodo/Glimt2
D
24.05.26ELI
Bodo/Glimt3
Brann1
W
20.05.26ELI
Start1
Bodo/Glimt4
W
16.05.26ELI
Bodo/Glimt5
Tromso0
W
Lillestrom
22.07.26ELI
Lillestrom1
Viking2
L
18.07.26ELI
Lillestrom2
KFUM Oslo1
W
11.07.26ELI
Fredrikstad0
Lillestrom2
W
03.07.26CF
Lillestrom3
Sarpsborg 081
W
26.06.26CF
Lillestrom2
Degerfors3
L
20.06.26CF
Midtjylland1
Lillestrom0
L
25.05.26ELI
HamKam2
Lillestrom0
L
20.05.26ELI
Lillestrom1
Kristiansund2
L
16.05.26ELI
Lillestrom3
Sandefjord1
W
10.05.26ELI
Rosenborg2
Lillestrom0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 31st July 2026, Bodo Glimt host Lillestrom at Aspmyra Stadion (Bodø) in Norway Eliteserien. We recommend Bodo Glimt to win as the standout selection.

Bodo Glimt arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Lillestrom are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 0D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Bodo Glimt, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Lillestrom's 2, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: bodo glimt to win at odds of 1.26 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Norway Eliteserien match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 5 wins from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Aspmyra Stadion (Bodø). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.26, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 8:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Bodo Glimt vs Lillestrom?
Our selection is 1 — Bodo Glimt to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Bodo Glimt's current form?
Bodo Glimt have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Lillestrom been performing recently?
Lillestrom have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Bodo Glimt lead with 7 wins versus Lillestrom's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. 24predictiontoday provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.

18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.