Strong Signal 66% Confidence
L

Leevon PPK

Home
W W L L L
6W 1D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
5:00 pm
N/A
R
Rezekne
Away
L L D L L
1W 2D 7L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 1st August 2026
1
Backing Leevon PPK to win
Leevon PPK 50%
Draw 30%
Rezekne 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 85.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -19.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Leevon PPK to win
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals85% BTTS — Yes80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Leevon PPK vs Rezekne Competition: Latvia Nakotnes Liga Date: Saturday, 1st August 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 1 (Leevon PPK to win) Odds: 1.17 Confidence: 66% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: BTTS — Yes (80%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Leevon PPK
0
Draws
0
Rezekne
5
Meetings
5
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Leevon PPK won 5 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Leevon PPK
Metric
Rezekne
2
Goals For / Game
1
1.8
Goals Against / Game
2.1
10%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-1-3
W — D — L
1-2-7
Win Rate
60%
10%
3.5
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
L0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 4.4%
0-2 3.1%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
L1
1-0 6.5%
1-1 9.1%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
L2
2-0 6.7%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 6.5%
2-3 3.1%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
L3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 6.4%
3-2 4.5%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
L4
4-0 2.3%
4-1 3.3%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
L5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.3%) 2-0(6.7%) 1-0(6.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Leevon PPK Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Rezekne Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Leevon PPK
Overall
6.3
Scoring
6.7
Defence
4.0
Rezekne
Overall
1.6
Scoring
3.3
Defence
3.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 57%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 2%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 57%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 2%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
28.03.26NL
Rezekne0
Leevon PPK2
26.10.25NL
Rezekne1
Leevon PPK2
29.06.25NL
Leevon PPK6
Rezekne2
05.10.24NL
Rezekne0
Leevon PPK7
15.06.24NL
Leevon PPK4
Rezekne1
Recent Form
Leevon PPK
25.07.26NL
Leevon PPK2
Skanste1
W
18.07.26NL
Leevon PPK2
Riga Mariners1
W
10.07.26LC
Leevon PPK2
Riga FC3
L
05.07.26NL
Valmiera4
Leevon PPK1
L
28.06.26NL
Leevon PPK1
Metta3
L
20.06.26LC
JFK Ventspils1
Leevon PPK3
W
13.06.26NL
Alberts JDFS0
Leevon PPK0
D
29.05.26LC
DSVK Traktors3
Leevon PPK5
W
23.05.26NL
Leevon PPK2
JFK Ventspils1
W
16.05.26NL
RFS 21
Leevon PPK2
W
Rezekne
25.07.26NL
Rezekne1
Marupe2
L
19.07.26NL
FK Smiltene1
Rezekne0
L
04.07.26NL
Rezekne1
JFK Ventspils1
D
27.06.26NL
Rezekne2
Alberts JDFS4
L
14.06.26NL
RFS 23
Rezekne0
L
30.05.26LC
Kekava-Auda2
Rezekne1
L
23.05.26NL
Rezekne2
Riga FC 21
W
16.05.26NL
Rezekne1
Tukums 2000 24
L
09.05.26NL
Super Nova 21
Rezekne0
L
02.05.26NL
Rezekne2
Riga Mariners2
D
Leevon PPK (Home)
25.07.26NL
Leevon PPK2
Skanste1
W
18.07.26NL
Leevon PPK2
Riga Mariners1
W
10.07.26LC
Leevon PPK2
Riga FC3
L
28.06.26NL
Leevon PPK1
Metta3
L
23.05.26NL
Leevon PPK2
JFK Ventspils1
W
10.05.26NL
Leevon PPK3
Riga FC 22
W
02.05.26NL
Leevon PPK4
Tukums 2000 21
W
12.04.26NL
Leevon PPK0
Marupe0
D
08.11.25NL
Leevon PPK3
JFK Ventspils2
W
19.10.25NL
Leevon PPK0
Marupe0
D
Rezekne (Away)
19.07.26NL
FK Smiltene1
Rezekne0
L
14.06.26NL
RFS 23
Rezekne0
L
30.05.26LC
Kekava-Auda2
Rezekne1
L
09.05.26NL
Super Nova 21
Rezekne0
L
26.04.26NL
Valmiera3
Rezekne1
L
19.04.26NL
Metta5
Rezekne0
L
22.03.26NL
Marupe4
Rezekne0
L
01.11.25NL
FK Smiltene2
Rezekne2
D
18.10.25NL
Riga Mariners6
Rezekne0
L
27.09.25NL
Augsdaugavas0
Rezekne5
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 1st August 2026, Leevon PPK host Rezekne at N/A in Latvia Nakotnes Liga. We recommend Leevon PPK to win as the standout selection.

Leevon PPK arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Rezekne are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Leevon PPK, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Rezekne's 0, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: leevon ppk to win at odds of 1.17 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Latvia Nakotnes Liga match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into N/A. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.17, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Leevon PPK vs Rezekne?
Our selection is 1 — Leevon PPK to win, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Leevon PPK's current form?
Leevon PPK have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Rezekne been performing recently?
Rezekne have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Leevon PPK lead with 5 wins versus Rezekne's 0, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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