Moderate Signal 54% Confidence
K

Kattaqurgon

Home
W W L W D
6W 3D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
4:00 pm
N/A
P
Pakhtakor II
Away
L L L L L
1W 0D 9L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 4th August 2026
1
Backing Kattaqurgon to win
Kattaqurgon 50%
Draw 30%
Pakhtakor II 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 83.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -29.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Kattaqurgon to win
1.20
Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — No70% Kattaqurgon Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II Competition: Uzbekistan Pro Liga Date: Tuesday, 4th August 2026 KO: 4:00 pm Pick: 1 (Kattaqurgon to win) Odds: 1.20 Confidence: 54% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: BTTS — No (70%) Also: Kattaqurgon Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Kattaqurgon
Metric
Pakhtakor II
1.3
Goals For / Game
0.6
0.5
Goals Against / Game
2.7
60%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-3-1
W — D — L
1-0-9
Win Rate
60%
10%
2.6
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
K0
0-0 7.8%
0-1 4.3%
0-2 1.2%
0-3 0.2%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
K1
1-0 15.6%
1-1 8.6%
1-2 2.4%
1-3 0.4%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
K2
2-0 15.6%
2-1 8.6%
2-2 2.4%
2-3 0.4%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
K3
3-0 10.4%
3-1 5.7%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
K4
4-0 5.2%
4-1 2.9%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
K5
5-0 2.1%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(15.6%) 2-0(15.6%) 3-0(10.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip K=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Kattaqurgon Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Pakhtakor II Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Kattaqurgon
Overall
6.9
Scoring
4.3
Defence
8.3
Pakhtakor II
Overall
1.0
Scoring
2.0
Defence
1.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 50%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 3%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 39%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Kattaqurgon
30.07.26PL
TerDU0
Kattaqurgon2
W
25.07.26PL
Kattaqurgon2
Yaypan1
W
09.06.26PL
Lochin2
Kattaqurgon0
L
04.06.26PL
Kattaqurgon3
FarDU0
W
31.05.26PL
Metallurg Bekabad1
Kattaqurgon1
D
04.05.26PL
Olimpik-Mobiuz0
Kattaqurgon0
D
30.04.26PL
Kattaqurgon1
BuxDu0
W
26.04.26PL
Respublika FA0
Kattaqurgon1
W
21.04.26PL
Kattaqurgon1
Aral1
D
17.04.26PL
Gazalkent0
Kattaqurgon2
W
Pakhtakor II
30.07.26PL
Pakhtakor II1
Olimpik-Mobiuz4
L
24.07.26PL
BuxDu2
Pakhtakor II0
L
08.06.26PL
Pakhtakor II0
Respublika FA3
L
03.06.26PL
Aral3
Pakhtakor II0
L
30.05.26PL
Pakhtakor II1
Gazalkent2
L
22.05.26PL
Pakhtakor II0
Yaypan1
L
05.05.26PL
Shortan Guzor2
Pakhtakor II0
L
01.05.26PL
Pakhtakor II0
Jayxun3
L
25.04.26PL
Pakhtakor II0
Metallurg Bekabad5
L
19.04.26PL
TerDU2
Pakhtakor II4
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 4th August 2026, Kattaqurgon host Pakhtakor II at N/A in Uzbekistan Pro Liga. We recommend Kattaqurgon to win as the standout selection.

Kattaqurgon arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Pakhtakor II are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 0D 9L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: kattaqurgon to win at odds of 1.20 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Uzbekistan Pro Liga match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into N/A. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 5 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.20, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 4:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II?
Our selection is 1 — Kattaqurgon to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is Kattaqurgon's current form?
Kattaqurgon have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Pakhtakor II been performing recently?
Pakhtakor II have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game.
⚠️
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