Moderate Signal 62% Confidence
A

Arsenal

Home
W L W W W
7W 1D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
7:30 pm
Aviva Stadium (Dublin)
B
Betis
Away
W W L W W
7W 1D 2L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 5th August 2026
1
Backing Arsenal to win
Arsenal 50%
Draw 30%
Betis 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 66.2% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -4.2% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Arsenal to win
1.51
Arsenal Clean Sheet56%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Arsenal vs Betis Competition: Club Friendly Date: Wednesday, 5th August 2026 KO: 7:30 pm Pick: 1 (Arsenal to win) Odds: 1.51 Confidence: 62% Also: Arsenal Clean Sheet (56%)
Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Arsenal
Metric
Betis
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.9
0.6
Goals Against / Game
0.8
56%
Clean Sheets
50%
7-1-1
W — D — L
7-1-2
Win Rate
78%
70%
2.5
Avg Goals
63%
Over 1.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
A0
0-0 8.2%
0-1 10.3%
0-2 6.4%
0-3 2.7%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.2%
A1
1-0 10.3%
1-1 12.8%
1-2 8.0%
1-3 3.3%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
A2
2-0 6.4%
2-1 8.0%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
A3
3-0 2.7%
3-1 3.3%
3-2 2.1%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 1.0%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.3%) 2-1(8.0%) 2-0(6.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Arsenal Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Betis Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Arsenal
Overall
8.1
Scoring
5.6
Defence
8.1
Betis
Overall
7.3
Scoring
6.3
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 26%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 26%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Arsenal
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D
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W
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L
Betis
01.08.26CF
Betis1
Almeria0
W
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Betis4
Lyon0
W
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Granada CF1
Betis0
L
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18.07.26CF
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Betis3
W
23.05.26LL
Betis2
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L
12.05.26LL
Betis2
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W
09.05.26LL
Real Sociedad2
Betis2
D
03.05.26LL
Betis3
Oviedo0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Club Friendly match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Aviva Stadium (Dublin). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.51, which our model rates near 80%. The fixture starts at 7:30 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Arsenal vs Betis?
Our selection is 1 — Arsenal to win, priced at approximately 1.51. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Arsenal's current form?
Arsenal have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 9 matches.
How has Betis been performing recently?
Betis have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game.
⚠️
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