Strong Signal 77% Confidence
Y

Yarmouk

Home
D W W L D
4W 3D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
5:00 pm
N/A
B
Burgan
Away
D D L L L
0W 4D 6L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 11th August 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob 80.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -3.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
6
Yarmouk
1
Draws
3
Burgan
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 70% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Yarmouk
Metric
Burgan
1.6
Goals For / Game
0.4
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.5
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-3-3
W — D — L
0-4-6
Win Rate
40%
0%
2.4
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
Y0
0-0 9.1%
0-1 7.7%
0-2 3.3%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
Y1
1-0 14.1%
1-1 12.0%
1-2 5.1%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
Y2
2-0 10.9%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 3.9%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
Y3
3-0 5.6%
3-1 4.8%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
Y4
4-0 2.2%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
Y5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.1%) 1-1(12.0%) 2-0(10.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip Y=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Yarmouk
Overall
4.9
Scoring
5.3
Defence
5.7
Burgan
Overall
1.2
Scoring
1.3
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 21%
Draw & BTTS No 26%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 27%
Draw & Over 2.5 24%
Draw & Under 2.5 24%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
22.01.26DIV
Burgan0
Yarmouk1
04.10.25DIV
Yarmouk1
Burgan2
02.04.24DIV
Burgan1
Yarmouk3
14.02.24DIV
Yarmouk2
Burgan1
05.11.23DIV
Burgan2
Yarmouk3
28.08.23DIV
Yarmouk1
Burgan1
26.04.23DIV
Yarmouk1
Burgan0
06.03.23DIV
Yarmouk1
Burgan2
15.12.22DIV
Burgan1
Yarmouk2
18.10.22CRO
Yarmouk0
Burgan1
Recent Form
Yarmouk
07.08.26DIV
Yarmouk0
Khaitan0
D
02.08.26DIV
Yarmouk3
Al Shamiya0
W
29.07.26DIV
Sporty1
Yarmouk2
W
25.07.26DIV
Yarmouk0
Al Sahel1
L
20.02.26DIV
Yarmouk3
Al-Jazira3
D
12.02.26EMI
Al Naser3
Yarmouk2
L
04.02.26DIV
Al Sulaibikhat2
Yarmouk2
D
22.01.26DIV
Burgan0
Yarmouk1
W
15.01.26DIV
Khaitan1
Yarmouk2
W
07.01.26CRO
Al Arabi2
Yarmouk1
L
Burgan
07.08.26DIV
Burgan0
Al Sulaibikhat0
D
02.08.26DIV
Al Sahel0
Burgan0
D
29.07.26DIV
Burgan0
Al-Jazira2
L
25.07.26DIV
Burgan0
Sporty1
L
27.02.26EMI
Al Qadisiya2
Burgan0
L
21.02.26DIV
Al Shamiya2
Burgan2
D
04.02.26DIV
Burgan1
Khaitan1
D
22.01.26DIV
Burgan0
Yarmouk1
L
16.01.26DIV
Al Sulaibikhat3
Burgan1
L
10.01.26CRO
Al Kuwait3
Burgan0
L
Yarmouk (Home)
07.08.26DIV
Yarmouk0
Khaitan0
D
02.08.26DIV
Yarmouk3
Al Shamiya0
W
25.07.26DIV
Yarmouk0
Al Sahel1
L
20.02.26DIV
Yarmouk3
Al-Jazira3
D
22.12.25DIV
Yarmouk3
Sporty0
W
20.10.25DIV
Yarmouk1
Al Sulaibikhat0
W
04.10.25DIV
Yarmouk1
Burgan2
L
29.09.25DIV
Yarmouk2
Khaitan0
W
18.04.25PL
Yarmouk3
Kazma SC2
W
28.02.25PL
Yarmouk1
Al Salmiya1
D
Burgan (Away)
02.08.26DIV
Al Sahel0
Burgan0
D
27.02.26EMI
Al Qadisiya2
Burgan0
L
21.02.26DIV
Al Shamiya2
Burgan2
D
16.01.26DIV
Al Sulaibikhat3
Burgan1
L
10.01.26CRO
Al Kuwait3
Burgan0
L
31.12.25DIV
Al Sahel2
Burgan1
L
22.12.25DIV
Al-Jazira3
Burgan3
D
03.11.25DIV
Sporty1
Burgan2
W
20.10.25DIV
Khaitan2
Burgan0
L
04.10.25DIV
Yarmouk1
Burgan2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Kuwait Division 1 match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into N/A. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 2 draws, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward Over 1.5 at @1.24, which our model rates near 90%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Yarmouk vs Burgan?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 77%.
What is Yarmouk's current form?
Yarmouk have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Burgan been performing recently?
Burgan have recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Yarmouk lead with 6 wins versus Burgan's 3, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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