Moderate Signal 58% Confidence
B

Besiktas

Home
W W W W L
5W 3D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
7:30 pm
Besiktas Park (Istanbul)
E
Eyupspor
Away
W W D W D
5W 2D 3L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Sunday, 16th August 2026
1
Backing Besiktas to win
Besiktas 50%
Draw 30%
Eyupspor 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 74.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -16.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
4
Besiktas
1
Draws
0
Eyupspor
5
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Besiktas won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Besiktas
Metric
Eyupspor
1.2
Goals For / Game
1.7
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.1
50%
Clean Sheets
40%
5-3-2
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate
50%
50%
2.5
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
E0
E1
E2
E3
E4
E5
B0
0-0 8.6%
0-1 11.2%
0-2 7.3%
0-3 3.2%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
B1
1-0 9.9%
1-1 12.9%
1-2 8.4%
1-3 3.6%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.3%
B2
2-0 5.7%
2-1 7.4%
2-2 4.8%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
B3
3-0 2.2%
3-1 2.8%
3-2 1.9%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 0.6%
4-1 0.8%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(9.9%) 2-1(7.4%) 2-0(5.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   E=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Besiktas Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Eyupspor Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Besiktas
Overall
5.9
Scoring
4.0
Defence
7.0
Eyupspor
Overall
5.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 24%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 22%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
26.01.26SL
Eyupspor2
Besiktas2
17.08.25SL
Besiktas2
Eyupspor1
21.02.25SL
Eyupspor1
Besiktas3
22.09.24SL
Besiktas2
Eyupspor1
16.01.24CUP
Besiktas4
Eyupspor0
Recent Form
Besiktas
13.08.26EL
Besiktas1
Hradec Kralove0
W
06.08.26EL
Hradec Kralove0
Besiktas1
W
30.07.26EL
Midtjylland0
Besiktas2
W
23.07.26EL
Besiktas1
Midtjylland0
W
14.07.26CF
Trnava3
Besiktas2
L
14.07.26CF
Malzenice1
Besiktas1
D
10.07.26CF
Widzew Lodz2
Besiktas0
L
05.07.26CF
Mosonmagyarovari TE0
Besiktas0
D
02.07.26CF
Besiktas2
Gyirmot1
W
15.05.26SL
Rizespor2
Besiktas2
D
Eyupspor
24.07.26CF
Eyupspor2
Istanbulspor AS0
W
20.07.26CF
Eyupspor1
Mardin 19690
W
17.05.26SL
Fenerbahce3
Eyupspor3
D
09.05.26SL
Eyupspor4
Rizespor0
W
03.05.26SL
Kayserispor1
Eyupspor1
D
25.04.26SL
Eyupspor3
Gaziantep0
W
18.04.26SL
Karagumruk1
Eyupspor2
W
13.04.26SL
Eyupspor1
Samsunspor2
L
05.04.26SL
Antalyaspor3
Eyupspor0
L
18.03.26SL
Eyupspor0
Trabzonspor1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Turkey Super Lig match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Besiktas Park (Istanbul). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.34, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 7:30 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Besiktas vs Eyupspor?
Our selection is 1 — Besiktas to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Besiktas's current form?
Besiktas have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Eyupspor been performing recently?
Eyupspor have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Besiktas lead with 4 wins versus Eyupspor's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
⚠️
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