LOST Tip LOST Al Ahli SC 1-0 Al Duhail
A

Al Ahli SC

Home
D W L L W
6W 1D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
1-0
A
Al Duhail
Away
L W W W L
4W 2D 4L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Monday, 13th April 2026
1
Backing Al Ahli SC to win
Al Ahli SC 50%
Draw 30%
Al Duhail 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 73% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -28% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Al Ahli SC to win
1.37
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes75%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Ahli SC vs Al Duhail Competition: AFC Champions League Date: Monday, 13th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Al Ahli SC to win) Odds: 1.37 Confidence: 45% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (75%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Al Ahli SC
3
Draws
1
Al Duhail
5
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Al Ahli SC won 1 of the last 5 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Ahli SC
Metric
Al Duhail
2.4
Goals For / Game
1.9
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.5
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-1-3
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
60%
40%
3.6
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 2.7%
0-1 4.5%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.3%
A1
1-0 5.3%
1-1 8.8%
1-2 7.3%
1-3 4.0%
1-4 1.7%
1-5 0.5%
A2
2-0 5.2%
2-1 8.6%
2-2 7.1%
2-3 3.9%
2-4 1.6%
2-5 0.5%
A3
3-0 3.4%
3-1 5.6%
3-2 4.6%
3-3 2.5%
3-4 1.0%
3-5 0.3%
A4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 2.7%
4-2 2.2%
4-3 1.2%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.2%
A5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(8.6%) 3-1(5.6%) 1-0(5.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Ahli SC Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Al Duhail Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Ahli SC
Overall
6.3
Scoring
8.0
Defence
5.3
Al Duhail
Overall
4.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 39%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 25%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
29.09.25
ACL Elite (Group): Al-Duhail2
Al-Ahli Saudi FC2
30.04.21
Champions League: Al-Duhail1
Al-Ahli Saudi FC1
18.04.21
Champions League: Al-Ahli Saudi FC1
Al-Duhail1
01.05.12
Champions League: Al-Ahli Saudi FC3
Al-Duhail0
07.03.12
Champions League: Al-Duhail1
Al-Ahli Saudi FC0
Recent Form
Al Ahli SC
08.04.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Fayha1
Al-Ahli Saudi FC1
D
04.04.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Ahli Saudi FC3
Damac FC0
W
18.03.26
King’s Cup (SF): Al-Ahli Saudi FC1
Al-Hilal2
L
13.03.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Qadsiah3
Al-Ahli Saudi FC2
L
06.03.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Ahli Saudi FC3
Al-Ittihad1
W
26.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Riyadh0
Al-Ahli Saudi FC1
W
23.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Damac FC0
Al-Ahli Saudi FC1
W
19.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Ahli Saudi FC4
Al-Najma1
W
16.02.26
ACL Elite: Al-Ahli Saudi FC4
Shabab Al-Ahli3
W
13.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Shabab2
Al-Ahli Saudi FC5
W
Al Duhail
08.04.26
Qatari Stars League: Al Ahli Doha2
Al-Duhail1
L
04.04.26
Qatari Stars League: Al-Duhail3
Al-Gharafa2
W
17.03.26
Qatari Stars League: Al-Shamal1
Al-Duhail3
W
12.03.26
Qatari Stars League: Al-Sailiya0
Al-Duhail4
W
26.02.26
Qatari Stars League: Al-Duhail1
Al-Sadd3
L
21.02.26
Qatari Stars League: Al-Duhail1
Al-Arabi1
D
16.02.26
ACL Elite: Al Shorta3
Al-Duhail2
L
12.02.26
Emir Cup: Al-Duhail2
Al-Waab0
W
09.02.26
ACL Elite: Al-Duhail1
Al-Sharjah1
D
04.02.26
Qatari Stars League: Umm-Salal2
Al-Duhail1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming AFC Champions League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.37 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Ahli SC vs Al Duhail?
Our selection is 1 — Al Ahli SC to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 45%.
What is Al Ahli SC's current form?
Al Ahli SC have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Duhail been performing recently?
Al Duhail have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Ahli SC lead with 1 wins versus Al Duhail's 1, with 3 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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