LOST Tip LOST Al Ahly 3-3 Al Qanah
A

Al Ahly

Home
W W W W D
8W 1D 1L → Steady
VS
3-3
6:00 pm
Cairo International Stadium (Cairo)
A
Al Qanah
Away
D L L D D
3W 4D 3L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 21st October 2026
1
Backing Al Ahly to win
Implied Prob 85.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -15.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Al Ahly to win
1.17
Over 1.5 Goals85% Al Ahly Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Ahly vs Al Qanah Competition: Egypt Premier League Date: Wednesday, 21st October 2026 KO: 6:00 pm Pick: 1 (Al Ahly to win) Odds: 1.17 Confidence: 70% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: Al Ahly Clean Sheet (60%)
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Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Ahly
Metric
Al Qanah
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.3
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.2
60%
Clean Sheets
20%
8-1-1
W — D — L
3-4-3
Win Rate
80%
30%
2.6
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 7.1%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 12.3%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 5.5%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 10.1%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 4.6%
2-3 1.4%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 5.6%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 2.3%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.3%) 2-0(10.1%) 2-1(9.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Al Ahly
Overall
8.3 —
Scoring
7.0 —
Defence
8.0 —
Al Qanah
Overall
4.2 ▲
Scoring
4.3 ▲
Defence
6.0 ▲
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 32%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
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Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Al Ahly
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L
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Al Qanah
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Al Qanah1
Al Masry1
D
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Pyramids3
Al Qanah2
L
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ZED2
Al Qanah1
L
07.09.26PL
Al Qanah1
El Gaish1
D
01.09.26PL
Wadi Degla0
Al Qanah0
D
28.08.26PL
Al Qanah1
El Gouna1
D
23.08.26PL
Ceramica Cleopatra1
Al Qanah2
W
14.05.26D2A
Al Qanah3
Dayrout1
W
07.05.26D2A
Proxy2
Al Qanah1
L
30.04.26D2A
Al Qanah1
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W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Egypt Premier League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Cairo International Stadium (Cairo). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 3 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.17, which our model rates near roughly 63. The fixture starts at 6:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

 

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Ahly vs Al Qanah?
Our selection is 1 — Al Ahly to win, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 70%.
What is Al Ahly's current form?
Al Ahly have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Qanah been performing recently?
Al Qanah have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game.
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