Moderate Signal 61% Confidence
A

Al Fayha

Home
W L L D L
2W 2D 6L ▲ Improving
VS
7:00 pm
King Abdullah Sports City Stadium (Buraidah
A
Al Hilal
Away
W W D L W
7W 2D 1L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 20th August 2026
2
Backing Al Hilal to win
Al Fayha 20%
Draw 30%
Al Hilal 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 82.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -21.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Al Hilal to win
1.21
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Fayha vs Al Hilal Competition: Saudi Professional League Date: Thursday, 20th August 2026 KO: 7:00 pm Pick: 2 (Al Hilal to win) Odds: 1.21 Confidence: 61% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Al Fayha
2
Draws
7
Al Hilal
10
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Al Hilal won 7 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Fayha
Metric
Al Hilal
0.9
Goals For / Game
1.9
2
Goals Against / Game
1
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
2-2-6
W — D — L
7-2-1
Win Rate
20%
70%
2.9
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 10.7%
0-2 10.5%
0-3 6.8%
0-4 3.3%
0-5 1.3%
A1
1-0 5.2%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 6.5%
1-4 3.2%
1-5 1.2%
A2
2-0 2.5%
2-1 4.8%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 3.1%
2-4 1.5%
2-5 0.6%
A3
3-0 0.8%
3-1 1.5%
3-2 1.5%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.2%
A4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(10.7%) 0-2(10.5%) 1-2(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Fayha Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Al Hilal Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Fayha
Overall
2.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
3.3
Al Hilal
Overall
7.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
6.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Home Win & BTTS No 10%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Away Win & BTTS No 35%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 8%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 29%
Away Win & Under 2.5 35%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
21.05.26SPL
Al Fayha0
Al Hilal1
22.01.26SPL
Al Hilal4
Al Fayha1
07.03.25SPL
Al Fayha0
Al Hilal2
18.10.24SPL
Al Hilal3
Al Fayha0
29.12.23SPL
Al Fayha0
Al Hilal2
19.08.23SPL
Al Hilal1
Al Fayha1
04.04.23SPL
Al Fayha0
Al Hilal2
26.01.23SC
Al Fayha1
Al Hilal0
31.08.22SPL
Al Hilal2
Al Fayha0
19.05.22KC
Al Hilal1
Al Fayha1
Recent Form
Al Fayha
17.08.26KC
Al Adalah0
Al Fayha2
W
14.08.26SPL
Neom SC2
Al Fayha1
L
31.07.26CF
Den Bosch2
Al Fayha0
L
22.07.26CF
Westerlo0
Al Fayha0
D
18.07.26CF
Nijmegen7
Al Fayha0
L
21.05.26SPL
Al Fayha0
Al Hilal1
L
15.05.26SPL
Damac3
Al Fayha0
L
09.05.26SPL
Al Fayha1
Al Qadsiah2
L
04.05.26SPL
Al Fayha4
Al Riyadh2
W
30.04.26SPL
Al Kholood1
Al Fayha1
D
Al Hilal
17.08.26KC
Al Raed0
Al Hilal2
W
14.08.26SPL
Al Hilal4
Al-Faisaly2
W
03.08.26CF
Al Hilal3
Al Ahli Doha3
D
29.07.26CF
Al Hilal0
MC Alger2
L
24.07.26CF
Al Hilal2
Mamelodi Sundowns0
W
19.07.26CF
Sturm Graz II1
Al Hilal2
W
21.05.26SPL
Al Fayha0
Al Hilal1
W
16.05.26SPL
Al Hilal2
Neom SC0
W
12.05.26SPL
Al Nassr1
Al Hilal1
D
08.05.26KC
Al Kholood1
Al Hilal2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Saudi Professional League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into King Abdullah Sports City Stadium (Buraidah. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 2 at @1.21, which our model rates near 20,30,50%. The fixture starts at 7:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Fayha vs Al Hilal?
Our selection is 2 — Al Hilal to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is Al Fayha's current form?
Al Fayha have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Hilal been performing recently?
Al Hilal have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Fayha lead with 1 wins versus Al Hilal's 7, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
⚠️
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