Moderate Signal 59% Confidence
A

America De Cali

Home
D W D W W
6W 3D 1L → Steady
VS
10:00 pm
Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero (Cali)
A
Alianza
Away
L L D L L
2W 3D 5L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 3rd September 2026
1
Backing America De Cali to win
Implied Prob 74.1% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -15.1% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
7
America De Cali
0
Draws
3
Alianza
10
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip America De Cali won 7 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
America De Cali
Metric
Alianza
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.5
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-3-1
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
60%
20%
2.8
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 6.4%
0-1 6.1%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 11.5%
1-1 10.9%
1-2 5.2%
1-3 1.6%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 10.4%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 6.2%
3-1 5.9%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 2.8%
4-1 2.7%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.5%) 2-0(10.4%) 2-1(9.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
America De Cali
Overall
6.9
Scoring
7.0
Defence
7.3
Alianza
Overall
2.9
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
28.02.26PA
Alianza0
America De Cali3
31.08.25PA
Alianza1
America De Cali0
16.03.25PA
America De Cali3
Alianza0
23.09.24PA
Alianza0
America De Cali1
10.03.24PA
America De Cali2
Alianza0
07.03.24COP
Alianza2
America De Cali1
03.09.23PA
Alianza2
America De Cali3
19.03.23PA
America De Cali1
Alianza0
18.10.22PA
Alianza0
America De Cali2
03.05.22PA
America De Cali0
Alianza1
Recent Form
America De Cali
29.08.26PA
Jaguares de Cordoba2
America De Cali2
D
27.08.26PA
America De Cali4
Junior2
W
23.08.26PA
Santa Fe0
America De Cali0
D
10.08.26PA
America De Cali1
Atl. Nacional0
W
06.08.26PA
Once Caldas0
America De Cali1
W
02.08.26PA
America De Cali7
Chico0
W
30.07.26COP
Cartagena1
America De Cali1
D
26.07.26PA
Inter Bogotá0
America De Cali2
W
22.07.26COP
America De Cali2
Cartagena1
W
16.07.26CF
Houston Dynamo2
America De Cali1
L
Alianza
30.08.26PA
Alianza1
Atl. Nacional5
L
26.08.26PA
Cucuta1
Alianza0
L
22.08.26PA
Alianza0
Pereira0
D
09.08.26PA
Alianza2
Bucaramanga3
L
01.08.26PA
Alianza1
Deportes Tolima2
L
27.07.26PA
Alianza1
Fortaleza1
D
24.05.26COP
Alianza2
Bucaramanga1
W
21.05.26COP
Dep. Cali1
Alianza0
L
16.05.26COP
Alianza3
Real Santander0
W
08.05.26COP
Boca Juniors1
Alianza1
D
America De Cali (Home)
27.08.26PA
America De Cali4
Junior2
W
10.08.26PA
America De Cali1
Atl. Nacional0
W
02.08.26PA
America De Cali7
Chico0
W
22.07.26COP
America De Cali2
Cartagena1
W
29.05.26COP
America De Cali0
Macara0
D
20.05.26COP
America De Cali1
Tigre1
D
10.05.26PA
America De Cali1
Santa Fe1
D
03.05.26PA
America De Cali1
Pereira0
W
20.04.26PA
America De Cali3
Millonarios1
W
16.04.26COP
America De Cali2
Alianza Atl.1
W
Alianza (Away)
26.08.26PA
Cucuta1
Alianza0
L
21.05.26COP
Dep. Cali1
Alianza0
L
08.05.26COP
Boca Juniors1
Alianza1
D
27.04.26PA
Llaneros0
Alianza0
D
13.04.26PA
Inter Bogotá2
Alianza1
L
06.04.26PA
Pereira2
Alianza3
W
27.03.26PA
Aguilas1
Alianza0
L
15.03.26PA
Santa Fe1
Alianza1
D
06.03.26PA
Junior1
Alianza1
D
22.02.26PA
Atl. Nacional3
Alianza0
L
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Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Unknown League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero (Cali). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.35, which our model rates near 52%. The fixture starts at 10:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for America De Cali vs Alianza?
Our selection is 1 — America De Cali to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is America De Cali's current form?
America De Cali have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Alianza been performing recently?
Alianza have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
America De Cali lead with 7 wins versus Alianza's 3, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
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