WON Tip WON Babrungas 3-0 Zalgiris 2
B

Babrungas

Home
D W L W W
7W 1D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
3-0
Z
Zalgiris 2
Away
D L D D W
3W 4D 3L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 15th May 2026
1
Backing Babrungas to win
Babrungas 50%
Draw 30%
Zalgiris 2 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 75.2% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -24.2% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
3
Babrungas
3
Draws
4
Zalgiris 2
10
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Babrungas won 3 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Babrungas
Metric
Zalgiris 2
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.4
50%
Clean Sheets
50%
7-1-2
W — D — L
3-4-3
Win Rate
70%
30%
2.7
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
Z0
Z1
Z2
Z3
Z4
Z5
B0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 7.1%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 11.1%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 6.1%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 9.2%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.1%) 2-1(9.6%) 2-0(9.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   Z=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Babrungas Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Zalgiris 2 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Babrungas
Overall
7.3
Scoring
6.3
Defence
7.0
Zalgiris 2
Overall
4.2
Scoring
4.0
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 34%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 34%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
25.07.25IL
Babrungas2
Zalgiris 21
16.03.25IL
Zalgiris 22
Babrungas2
12.08.23IL
Zalgiris 22
Babrungas1
23.03.23IL
Babrungas2
Zalgiris 20
12.10.22IL
Babrungas1
Zalgiris 20
08.04.22IL
Zalgiris 20
Babrungas0
11.09.21IL
Zalgiris 23
Babrungas3
15.05.21IL
Babrungas2
Zalgiris 23
06.08.06IL
Zalgiris 24
Babrungas0
22.04.06IL
Babrungas0
Zalgiris 21
Recent Form
Babrungas
09.05.26IL
Atmosfera1
Babrungas1
D
01.05.26IL
Babrungas4
BFA Vilnius0
W
28.04.26CUP
BFA Vilnius1
Babrungas0
L
24.04.26IL
Babrungas1
Garliava0
W
18.04.26IL
Tauras Taurage1
Babrungas2
W
04.04.26IL
Babrungas1
Neptunas0
W
22.03.26IL
Babrungas3
Dainava Alytus1
W
18.03.26IL
Babrungas3
Transinvest 20
W
14.03.26IL
Ekranas0
Babrungas3
W
09.11.25IL
Babrungas1
Siauliai 25
L
Zalgiris 2
08.05.26IL
Zalgiris 22
Tauras Taurage2
D
02.05.26IL
Neptunas2
Zalgiris 21
L
24.04.26IL
Zalgiris 20
Dainava Alytus0
D
19.04.26IL
Transinvest 22
Zalgiris 22
D
12.04.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
Zalgiris 21
W
03.04.26IL
Zalgiris 24
Siauliai 20
W
17.03.26IL
Zalgiris 21
Ekranas0
W
14.03.26IL
FK Minija4
Zalgiris 20
L
09.11.25IL
Transinvest4
Zalgiris 21
L
31.10.25IL
Zalgiris 20
Jonava0
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Lithuania 1 Lyga fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.33 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Babrungas vs Zalgiris 2?
Our selection is 1 — Babrungas to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 51%.
What is Babrungas's current form?
Babrungas have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Zalgiris 2 been performing recently?
Zalgiris 2 have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Babrungas lead with 3 wins versus Zalgiris 2's 4, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. 24predictiontoday provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.

18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.