LOST Tip LOST Beijing Guoan 1-3 Lanzhou Longyuan
B

Beijing Guoan

Home
D D W W W
6W 4D 0L → Steady
VS
1-3
12:35 pm
Workers' Stadium (Beijing)
L
Lanzhou Longyuan
Away
D W D W D
3W 6D 1L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 1st September 2026
1
Backing Beijing Guoan to win
Implied Prob 73% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -15% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Beijing Guoan to win
1.37
Lanzhou Longyuan Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Beijing Guoan vs Lanzhou Longyuan Date: Tuesday, 1st September 2026 KO: 12:35 pm Pick: 1 (Beijing Guoan to win) Odds: 1.37 Confidence: 58% Also: Lanzhou Longyuan Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Beijing Guoan
Metric
Lanzhou Longyuan
2.4
Goals For / Game
1.1
1.1
Goals Against / Game
0.9
30%
Clean Sheets
60%
6-4-0
W — D — L
3-6-1
Win Rate
60%
30%
2.8
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
B0
0-0 6.4%
0-1 7.0%
0-2 3.9%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 10.6%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 2.3%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 8.7%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 5.3%
2-3 1.9%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 4.8%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 2.9%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.2%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.6%) 2-1(9.6%) 2-0(8.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   L=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Beijing Guoan
Overall
7.2
Scoring
8.0
Defence
6.3
Lanzhou Longyuan
Overall
4.8
Scoring
3.7
Defence
7.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 20%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 20%
Draw & Under 2.5 16%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

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📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Unknown League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Workers’ Stadium (Beijing). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 2 wins, 3 draws from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.37, which our model rates near around 6 in 10. The fixture starts at 12:35 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

 

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Beijing Guoan vs Lanzhou Longyuan?
Our selection is 1 — Beijing Guoan to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Beijing Guoan's current form?
Beijing Guoan have won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Lanzhou Longyuan been performing recently?
Lanzhou Longyuan have recorded 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game.
⚠️
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