Moderate Signal 63% Confidence
B

Breidablik W

Home
W W L W L
6W 0D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
7:00 pm
Kópavogsvöllur (Kópavogur)
T
Thor/KA W
Away
W L W W D
3W 1D 6L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 29th July 2026
1
Backing Breidablik W to win
Breidablik W 50%
Draw 30%
Thor/KA W 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 85.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -22.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Breidablik W to win
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Breidablik W vs Thor/KA W Competition: Iceland Besta deild Women Date: Wednesday, 29th July 2026 KO: 7:00 pm Pick: 1 (Breidablik W to win) Odds: 1.17 Confidence: 63% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
9
Breidablik W
0
Draws
1
Thor/KA W
10
Meetings
5.5
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Breidablik W won 9 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Breidablik W
Metric
Thor/KA W
3.2
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.7
Goals Against / Game
2.2
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-0-4
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate
60%
30%
4.3
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
B0
0-0 1.4%
0-1 2.2%
0-2 1.7%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 3.7%
1-1 5.9%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 2.5%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
B2
2-0 5.0%
2-1 7.9%
2-2 6.3%
2-3 3.4%
2-4 1.4%
2-5 0.4%
B3
3-0 4.5%
3-1 7.1%
3-2 5.7%
3-3 3.0%
3-4 1.2%
3-5 0.4%
B4
4-0 3.0%
4-1 4.8%
4-2 3.9%
4-3 2.1%
4-4 0.8%
4-5 0.3%
B5
5-0 1.6%
5-1 2.6%
5-2 2.1%
5-3 1.1%
5-4 0.4%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(7.9%) 3-1(7.1%) 3-2(5.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Breidablik W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Thor/KA W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Breidablik W
Overall
6.0
Scoring
10.0
Defence
4.3
Thor/KA W
Overall
3.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
2.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 44%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 50%
Home Win & Under 2.5 13%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 26%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
20.05.26BD
Thor/KA W1
Breidablik3
20.09.25BD
Breidablik W9
Thor/KA2
16.06.25BD
Thor/KA W0
Breidablik2
28.03.25CUP
Breidablik W4
Thor/KA1
22.09.24BD
Breidablik W6
Thor/KA1
10.08.24BD
Breidablik W4
Thor/KA2
28.06.24CUP
Thor/KA W1
Breidablik2
08.06.24BD
Thor/KA W0
Breidablik3
23.03.24CUP
Thor/KA W3
Breidablik6
13.09.23BD
Thor/KA W3
Breidablik2
Recent Form
Breidablik W
21.07.26BD
Valur W1
Breidablik W7
W
15.07.26BD
Breidablik W4
Vikingur Reykjavik W1
W
09.07.26BD
Fram W3
Breidablik W2
L
22.06.26BD
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W0
Breidablik W3
W
13.06.26BD
Breidablik W1
Stjarnan W3
L
30.05.26BD
Grindavik/Njardvik W0
Breidablik W5
W
25.05.26BD
Breidablik W2
Hafnarfjordur W3
L
20.05.26BD
Thor/KA W1
Breidablik W3
W
16.05.26CUP
Throttur W3
Breidablik W2
L
11.05.26BD
Breidablik W3
Valur W2
W
Thor/KA W
19.07.26BD
Thor/KA W2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W1
W
14.07.26BD
Stjarnan W3
Thor/KA W2
L
09.07.26BD
Thor/KA W1
Grindavik/Njardvik W0
W
22.06.26BD
Thor/KA W2
Throttur W0
W
13.06.26BD
Valur W0
Thor/KA W0
D
30.05.26BD
Thor/KA W4
Vikingur Reykjavik W6
L
25.05.26BD
Fram W3
Thor/KA W2
L
20.05.26BD
Thor/KA W1
Breidablik W3
L
15.05.26CUP
Thor/KA W1
Stjarnan W4
L
10.05.26BD
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W2
Thor/KA W0
L
Breidablik W (Home)
15.07.26BD
Breidablik W4
Vikingur Reykjavik W1
W
13.06.26BD
Breidablik W1
Stjarnan W3
L
25.05.26BD
Breidablik W2
Hafnarfjordur W3
L
11.05.26BD
Breidablik W3
Valur W2
W
29.04.26BD
Breidablik W2
Fram W0
W
24.04.26BD
Breidablik W2
Throttur W0
W
03.04.26SCW
Breidablik W3
Hafnarfjordur W1
W
28.03.26CUP
Breidablik W4
Vikingur Reykjavik W1
W
10.03.26CUP
Breidablik W7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W0
W
06.03.26CUP
Breidablik W7
Vikingur Reykjavik W3
W
Thor/KA W (Away)
14.07.26BD
Stjarnan W3
Thor/KA W2
L
13.06.26BD
Valur W0
Thor/KA W0
D
25.05.26BD
Fram W3
Thor/KA W2
L
10.05.26BD
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W2
Thor/KA W0
L
30.04.26BD
Grindavik/Njardvik W2
Thor/KA W1
L
27.02.26CUP
FHL W0
Thor/KA W9
W
14.02.26CUP
Throttur W3
Thor/KA W1
L
07.02.26CUP
Stjarnan W5
Thor/KA W3
L
04.10.25BD
FHL W2
Thor/KA W3
W
20.09.25BD
Breidablik W9
Thor/KA W2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 29th July 2026, Breidablik W host Thor/KA W at Kópavogsvöllur (Kópavogur) in Iceland Besta deild Women. We recommend Breidablik W to win as the standout selection.

Breidablik W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Thor/KA W are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 1D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Breidablik W, who lead the head-to-head with 9 wins to Thor/KA W's 1, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: breidablik w to win at odds of 1.17 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Iceland Besta deild Women match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Kópavogsvöllur (Kópavogur). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.17, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 7:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Breidablik W vs Thor/KA W?
Our selection is 1 — Breidablik W to win, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Breidablik W's current form?
Breidablik W have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Thor/KA W been performing recently?
Thor/KA W have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Breidablik W lead with 9 wins versus Thor/KA W's 1, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
⚠️
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