Moderate Signal 52% Confidence
C

Chertanovo M. U19

Home
L L L D W
3W 3D 4L ▼ Declining
VS
3:00 pm
N/A
K
Krasnodar U19
Away
W W W W D
8W 1D 1L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 10th July 2026
2
Backing Krasnodar U19 to win
Chertanovo M. U19 20%
Draw 30%
Krasnodar U19 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 74.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -22.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Krasnodar U19 to win
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals100%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Chertanovo M. U19 vs Krasnodar U19 Competition: Russia Youth League Date: Friday, 10th July 2026 KO: 3:00 pm Pick: 2 (Krasnodar U19 to win) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 52% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (100%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Chertanovo M. U19
3
Draws
2
Krasnodar U19
9
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
56%
BTTS
56%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Krasnodar U19 won 2 of 9 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Chertanovo M. U19
Metric
Krasnodar U19
1.6
Goals For / Game
3.6
2.4
Goals Against / Game
1.1
0%
Clean Sheets
40%
3-3-4
W — D — L
8-1-1
Win Rate
30%
80%
4.4
Avg Goals
100%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
C0
0-0 1.3%
0-1 3.9%
0-2 5.8%
0-3 5.8%
0-4 4.4%
0-5 2.6%
C1
1-0 1.7%
1-1 5.2%
1-2 7.8%
1-3 7.8%
1-4 5.9%
1-5 3.5%
C2
2-0 1.2%
2-1 3.5%
2-2 5.3%
2-3 5.3%
2-4 4.0%
2-5 2.4%
C3
3-0 0.5%
3-1 1.6%
3-2 2.4%
3-3 2.4%
3-4 1.8%
3-5 1.1%
C4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.5%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.6%
4-5 0.4%
C5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-2(7.8%) 1-3(7.8%) 1-4(5.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Chertanovo M. U19 Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Krasnodar U19 Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Chertanovo M. U19
Overall
3.9
Scoring
5.3
Defence
2.0
Krasnodar U19
Overall
8.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 9%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Away Win & BTTS No 25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 5%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 50%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
08.11.24YL
Chertanovo M. U192
Krasnodar U192
27.09.24YL
Krasnodar U194
Chertanovo M. U190
22.09.23YL
Chertanovo M. U193
Krasnodar U191
09.09.22YL
Chertanovo M. U192
Krasnodar U192
15.07.22YL
Krasnodar U190
Chertanovo M. U192
26.11.21YL
Krasnodar U191
Chertanovo M. U191
06.08.21YL
Chertanovo M. U192
Krasnodar U190
10.03.21YL
Chertanovo M. U191
Krasnodar U193
16.09.20YL
Krasnodar U190
Chertanovo M. U192
Recent Form
Chertanovo M. U19
03.07.26YL
Chertanovo M. U190
Rodina Moscow U192
L
26.06.26YL
Konoplev Academy U193
Chertanovo M. U190
L
22.05.26YL
CSKA Moscow U193
Chertanovo M. U190
L
19.05.26YL
Chertanovo M. U194
Dynamo Makhachkala U194
D
15.05.26YL
Chertanovo M. U192
Fakel Voronezh U191
W
07.05.26YL
Dynamo Moscow U192
Chertanovo M. U192
D
01.05.26YL
Chertanovo M. U193
Nizhny Novgorod U192
W
24.04.26YL
Almaz Antey U192
Chertanovo M. U193
W
17.04.26YL
Chertanovo M. U192
Lokomotiv Moscow U192
D
10.04.26YL
Spartak Moscow U193
Chertanovo M. U190
L
Krasnodar U19
03.07.26YL
Fakel Voronezh U191
Krasnodar U192
W
26.06.26YL
Krasnodar U192
Dynamo Moscow U190
W
22.05.26YL
Nizhny Novgorod U192
Krasnodar U199
W
15.05.26YL
Krasnodar U198
Almaz Antey U190
W
07.05.26YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U191
Krasnodar U191
D
01.05.26YL
Krasnodar U193
Spartak Moscow U190
W
24.04.26YL
Dynamo Makhachkala U194
Krasnodar U191
L
17.04.26YL
Krasnodar U195
Rubin Kazan U191
W
10.04.26YL
Ural U190
Krasnodar U192
W
03.04.26YL
Krasnodar U193
Zenit U192
W
Chertanovo M. U19 (Home)
03.07.26YL
Chertanovo M. U190
Rodina Moscow U192
L
19.05.26YL
Chertanovo M. U194
Dynamo Makhachkala U194
D
15.05.26YL
Chertanovo M. U192
Fakel Voronezh U191
W
01.05.26YL
Chertanovo M. U193
Nizhny Novgorod U192
W
17.04.26YL
Chertanovo M. U192
Lokomotiv Moscow U192
D
13.03.26YL
Chertanovo M. U191
Ural U190
W
08.11.24YL
Chertanovo M. U192
Krasnodar U192
D
25.10.24YL
Chertanovo M. U193
Sochi U190
W
04.10.24YL
Chertanovo M. U192
Spartak Moscow U190
W
20.09.24YL
Chertanovo M. U191
Lokomotiv Moscow U192
L
Krasnodar U19 (Away)
03.07.26YL
Fakel Voronezh U191
Krasnodar U192
W
22.05.26YL
Nizhny Novgorod U192
Krasnodar U199
W
07.05.26YL
Lokomotiv Moscow U191
Krasnodar U191
D
24.04.26YL
Dynamo Makhachkala U194
Krasnodar U191
L
10.04.26YL
Ural U190
Krasnodar U192
W
13.03.26YL
FK Rostov U193
Krasnodar U195
W
07.11.25YL
Konoplev Academy U190
Krasnodar U192
W
24.10.25YL
Dynamo Moscow U192
Krasnodar U190
L
03.10.25YL
Akhmat Grozny U191
Krasnodar U190
L
26.09.25YL
Baltika U190
Krasnodar U192
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 10th July 2026, Chertanovo M. U19 host Krasnodar U19 at N/A in Russia Youth League. We recommend Krasnodar U19 to win as the standout selection.

Chertanovo M. U19 arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Krasnodar U19 are travelling well, with a record of 8W 1D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Chertanovo M. U19, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Krasnodar U19's 2, with 3 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 56% of those meetings.

Our verdict: krasnodar u19 to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Russia Youth League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into N/A. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 2 at @1.34, which our model rates near 20,30,50%. The fixture starts at 3:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Chertanovo M. U19 vs Krasnodar U19?
Our selection is 2 — Krasnodar U19 to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 52%.
What is Chertanovo M. U19's current form?
Chertanovo M. U19 have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Krasnodar U19 been performing recently?
Krasnodar U19 have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Chertanovo M. U19 lead with 4 wins versus Krasnodar U19's 2, with 3 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 56%.
⚠️
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