Moderate Signal 56% Confidence
C

Cork City

Home
W L L L L
6W 0D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
5:00 pm
Turner's Cross (Cork)
A
Athlone
Away
D L W W L
2W 3D 5L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Monday, 3rd August 2026
1
Backing Cork City to win
Cork City 50%
Draw 30%
Athlone 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 73% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -17% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Cork City to win
1.37
BTTS — No65% Cork City Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Cork City vs Athlone Competition: Ireland Division 1 Date: Monday, 3rd August 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 1 (Cork City to win) Odds: 1.37 Confidence: 56% Also: BTTS — No (65%) Also: Cork City Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
6
Cork City
1
Draws
3
Athlone
10
Meetings
3.5
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Cork City won 6 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Cork City
Metric
Athlone
2.3
Goals For / Game
0.9
1.9
Goals Against / Game
1.1
60%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-0-4
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
60%
20%
3.1
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
C0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 6.3%
0-2 4.4%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.2%
C1
1-0 7.7%
1-1 10.7%
1-2 7.5%
1-3 3.5%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.3%
C2
2-0 6.5%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 3.0%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
C3
3-0 3.7%
3-1 5.2%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
C4
4-0 1.6%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
C5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.1%) 1-0(7.7%) 2-0(6.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Cork City Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Athlone Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Cork City
Overall
6.0
Scoring
7.7
Defence
3.7
Athlone
Overall
2.9
Scoring
3.0
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 41%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
22.05.26DIV
Athlone0
Cork City3
27.03.26DIV
Cork City4
Athlone1
11.10.24DIV
Athlone4
Cork City1
09.08.24DIV
Cork City0
Athlone0
31.05.24DIV
Athlone1
Cork City0
29.03.24DIV
Cork City1
Athlone0
14.10.22DIV
Athlone3
Cork City2
05.08.22DIV
Cork City6
Athlone1
06.05.22DIV
Athlone1
Cork City2
25.03.22DIV
Cork City4
Athlone1
Recent Form
Cork City
31.07.26DIV
Finn Harps0
Cork City3
W
24.07.26DIV
UC Dublin5
Cork City2
L
17.07.26FAI
Shamrock Rovers4
Cork City (AET)1
L
14.07.26CF
Cork City1
Cardiff6
L
10.07.26DIV
Cork City3
Longford4
L
03.07.26DIV
Cobh Ramblers0
Cork City1
W
26.06.26DIV
Cork City2
Bray0
W
19.06.26DIV
Cork City4
Treaty United0
W
12.06.26DIV
Wexford0
Cork City2
W
29.05.26DIV
Cork City4
Finn Harps0
W
Athlone
31.07.26DIV
Athlone0
UC Dublin0
D
24.07.26DIV
Treaty United2
Athlone1
L
17.07.26FAI
Athlone3
Midleton0
W
10.07.26DIV
Athlone2
Cobh Ramblers0
W
03.07.26DIV
Bray1
Athlone0
L
26.06.26DIV
Athlone1
Finn Harps1
D
19.06.26DIV
Athlone2
Wexford2
D
12.06.26DIV
Kerry1
Athlone0
L
29.05.26DIV
UC Dublin1
Athlone0
L
22.05.26DIV
Athlone0
Cork City3
L
Cork City (Home)
14.07.26CF
Cork City1
Cardiff6
L
10.07.26DIV
Cork City3
Longford4
L
26.06.26DIV
Cork City2
Bray0
W
19.06.26DIV
Cork City4
Treaty United0
W
29.05.26DIV
Cork City4
Finn Harps0
W
08.05.26DIV
Cork City3
UC Dublin1
W
01.05.26DIV
Cork City0
Cobh Ramblers1
L
17.04.26DIV
Cork City2
Wexford1
W
06.04.26DIV
Cork City4
Kerry2
W
27.03.26DIV
Cork City4
Athlone1
W
Athlone (Away)
24.07.26DIV
Treaty United2
Athlone1
L
03.07.26DIV
Bray1
Athlone0
L
12.06.26DIV
Kerry1
Athlone0
L
29.05.26DIV
UC Dublin1
Athlone0
L
15.05.26DIV
Cobh Ramblers1
Athlone0
L
04.05.26DIV
Longford1
Athlone1
D
24.04.26DIV
Finn Harps1
Athlone2
W
10.04.26DIV
Wexford1
Athlone0
L
27.03.26DIV
Cork City4
Athlone1
L
20.03.26DIV
Treaty United2
Athlone0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 3rd August 2026, Cork City host Athlone at Turner's Cross (Cork) in Ireland Division 1. We recommend Cork City to win as the standout selection.

Cork City arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Athlone are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Cork City, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Athlone's 3, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cork city to win at odds of 1.37 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Ireland Division 1 match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Turner’s Cross (Cork). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.37, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Cork City vs Athlone?
Our selection is 1 — Cork City to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Cork City's current form?
Cork City have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Athlone been performing recently?
Athlone have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cork City lead with 6 wins versus Athlone's 3, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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