Moderate Signal 60% Confidence
C

CSKA 1948 Sofia

Home
L W L W L
5W 2D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
5:00 pm
Bistritsa Stadium (Sofia)
D
Dunav Ruse
Away
L D L W L
1W 3D 6L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 12th September 2026
1
Backing CSKA 1948 Sofia to win
Implied Prob 68.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -8.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — CSKA 1948 Sofia to win
1.46
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Dunav Ruse Competition: Bulgaria EFBET League Date: Saturday, 12th September 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 1 (CSKA 1948 Sofia to win) Odds: 1.46 Confidence: 60% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
1
CSKA 1948 Sofia
0
Draws
0
Dunav Ruse
1
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip CSKA 1948 Sofia won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Metric
Dunav Ruse
1.5
Goals For / Game
0.9
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.7
20%
Clean Sheets
0%
5-2-3
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate
50%
10%
2.5
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
C0
0-0 8.2%
0-1 7.4%
0-2 3.3%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
C1
1-0 13.1%
1-1 11.8%
1-2 5.3%
1-3 1.6%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
C2
2-0 10.5%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 4.3%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
C3
3-0 5.6%
3-1 5.0%
3-2 2.3%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 2.2%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.1%) 2-0(10.5%) 2-1(9.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   D=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Overall
5.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.0
Dunav Ruse
Overall
1.9
Scoring
3.0
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 19%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 30%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
26.09.19CUP
CSKA 1948 Sofia2
Dunav Ruse1
Recent Form
CSKA 1948 Sofia
05.09.261L
Levski Sofia1
CSKA 1948 Sofia0
L
28.08.261L
CSKA 1948 Sofia2
Lok. Plovdiv0
W
23.08.261L
Septemvri Sofia1
CSKA 1948 Sofia0
L
14.08.261L
CSKA 1948 Sofia4
Cherno More1
W
11.08.26UECL
CSKA 1948 Sofia1
Panathinaikos2
L
08.08.261L
Lok. Sofia1
CSKA 1948 Sofia3
W
05.08.26UECL
Panathinaikos1
CSKA 1948 Sofia1
D
31.07.261L
CSKA 1948 Sofia2
Arda1
W
28.07.26UECL
CSKA 1948 Sofia0
Trnava (5-3)0
25.07.261L
CSKA 1948 Sofia2
Botev Vratsa1
W
Dunav Ruse
07.09.261L
Dunav Ruse0
Slavia Sofia1
L
31.08.261L
Dunav Ruse2
Lok. Sofia2
D
21.08.261L
Cherno More3
Dunav Ruse1
L
16.08.261L
Lok. Plovdiv1
Dunav Ruse2
W
08.08.261L
Dunav Ruse0
Arda2
L
02.08.261L
CSKA Sofia2
Dunav Ruse1
L
27.07.261L
Dunav Ruse0
Ludogorets2
L
17.07.261L
Levski Sofia2
Dunav Ruse1
L
11.07.26CF
Cherno More1
Dunav Ruse1
D
01.07.26CF
Dunav Ruse1
Dobrudzha1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Bulgaria EFBET League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Bistritsa Stadium (Sofia). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.46, which our model rates near 52%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Dunav Ruse?
Our selection is 1 — CSKA 1948 Sofia to win, priced at approximately 1.46. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is CSKA 1948 Sofia's current form?
CSKA 1948 Sofia have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Dunav Ruse been performing recently?
Dunav Ruse have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
CSKA 1948 Sofia lead with 1 wins versus Dunav Ruse's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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