Moderate Signal 48% Confidence
D

Deportivo Santani

Home
W W W L W
7W 0D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
—
11:30 pm
—
N/A
G
Guairena
Away
L L D L L
1W 2D 7L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 6th October 2026
1
Backing Deportivo Santani to win
Implied Prob 69.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -21.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Deportivo Santani to win
1.44
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Deportivo Santani vs Guairena Competition: Paraguay Division Intermedia Date: Tuesday, 6th October 2026 KO: 11:30 pm Pick: 1 (Deportivo Santani to win) Odds: 1.44 Confidence: 48% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
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Head to Head
Record
1
Deportivo Santani
4
Draws
2
Guairena
7
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
57%
BTTS
29%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Deportivo Santani won 1 of the last 7 meetings (4 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Deportivo Santani
Metric
Guairena
2.2
Goals For / Game
0.8
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.9
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-0-3
W — D — L
1-2-7
Win Rate
70%
10%
3.1
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
D0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 4.7%
0-2 2.5%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
D1
1-0 9.2%
1-1 9.7%
1-2 5.1%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
D2
2-0 9.5%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
D3
3-0 6.5%
3-1 6.8%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
D4
4-0 3.3%
4-1 3.5%
4-2 1.8%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 1.4%
5-1 1.4%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.9%) 2-0(9.5%) 1-0(9.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip D=Home goals ↓   G=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Deportivo Santani
Overall
7.0 ▼
Scoring
7.3 ▼
Defence
5.7 ▼
Guairena
Overall
1.6 ▲
Scoring
2.7 ▲
Defence
3.7 ▲
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 43%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 51%
Home Win & Under 2.5 27%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 4%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
01.07.26DI
Guairena0
Deportivo Santani2
05.09.25DI
Guairena2
Deportivo Santani2
02.06.25DI
Deportivo Santani0
Guairena2
28.09.24DI
Deportivo Santani2
Guairena2
21.06.24DI
Guairena1
Deportivo Santani1
30.07.17DI
Deportivo Santani0
Guairena1
23.04.17DI
Guairena1
Deportivo Santani1
Recent Form
Deportivo Santani
27.09.26DI
Resistencia1
Deportivo Santani2
W
18.09.26DI
Deportivo Santani3
Sol de America0
W
13.09.26DI
Dep. Capiata0
Deportivo Santani1
W
09.09.26DI
Deportivo Santani1
Independiente FBC2
L
05.09.26DI
Tacuary0
Deportivo Santani3
W
29.08.26DI
Deportivo Santani3
Atl. Tembetary4
L
26.08.26COP
Deportivo Santani0
Recoleta2
L
23.08.26DI
Benjamin Aceval2
Deportivo Santani3
W
16.08.26DI
Deportivo Santani2
Sp. Carapegua0
W
07.08.26DI
12 de Junio2
Deportivo Santani4
W
Guairena
28.09.26DI
Guairena0
Fernando de la Mora2
L
24.09.26COP
Recoleta3
Guairena1
L
18.09.26DI
3 de Noviembre1
Guairena1
D
12.09.26DI
Guairena0
General Caballero JLM3
L
08.09.26DI
Paraguari AC3
Guairena1
L
04.09.26DI
Resistencia2
Guairena1
L
30.08.26DI
Guairena0
Sol de America1
L
27.08.26COP
Guairena3
12 de Octubre2
W
21.08.26DI
Dep. Capiata0
Guairena0
D
15.08.26DI
Guairena1
Independiente FBC2
L
Deportivo Santani (Home)
18.09.26DI
Deportivo Santani3
Sol de America0
W
09.09.26DI
Deportivo Santani1
Independiente FBC2
L
29.08.26DI
Deportivo Santani3
Atl. Tembetary4
L
26.08.26COP
Deportivo Santani0
Recoleta2
L
16.08.26DI
Deportivo Santani2
Sp. Carapegua0
W
02.08.26DI
Deportivo Santani1
Encarnacion FC0
W
24.07.26DI
Deportivo Santani2
Paraguari AC0
W
20.07.26DI
Deportivo Santani2
Fernando de la Mora3
L
05.07.26DI
Deportivo Santani2
General Caballero JLM1
W
04.06.26DI
Deportivo Santani3
Resistencia0
W
Guairena (Away)
24.09.26COP
Recoleta3
Guairena1
L
18.09.26DI
3 de Noviembre1
Guairena1
D
08.09.26DI
Paraguari AC3
Guairena1
L
04.09.26DI
Resistencia2
Guairena1
L
21.08.26DI
Dep. Capiata0
Guairena0
D
10.08.26DI
Tacuary1
Guairena0
L
27.07.26DI
Benjamin Aceval1
Guairena1
D
18.07.26DI
Sp. Carapegua2
Guairena1
L
06.07.26DI
Encarnacion FC1
Guairena2
W
06.06.26DI
Fernando de la Mora1
Guairena3
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Paraguay Division Intermedia match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into N/A. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.44, which our model rates near 53%. The fixture starts at 11:30 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Deportivo Santani vs Guairena?
Our selection is 1 — Deportivo Santani to win, priced at approximately 1.44. Tip confidence rating: 48%.
What is Deportivo Santani's current form?
Deportivo Santani have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Guairena been performing recently?
Guairena have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Deportivo Santani lead with 1 wins versus Guairena's 2, with 4 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 57%.
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