Moderate Signal 64% Confidence
D

Dinamo Zagreb

Home
W D D W W
7W 3D 0L ▲ Improving
VS
7:00 pm
Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb)
S
Slaven Belupo
Away
W D L L L
3W 1D 6L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 31st July 2026
1
Backing Dinamo Zagreb to win
Dinamo Zagreb 50%
Draw 30%
Slaven Belupo 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 79.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -15.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Dinamo Zagreb to win
1.26
Over 1.5 Goals80% Dinamo Zagreb Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo Competition: Croatia HNL Date: Friday, 31st July 2026 KO: 7:00 pm Pick: 1 (Dinamo Zagreb to win) Odds: 1.26 Confidence: 64% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: Dinamo Zagreb Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
8
Dinamo Zagreb
1
Draws
1
Slaven Belupo
10
Meetings
4.8
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Dinamo Zagreb won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Dinamo Zagreb
Metric
Slaven Belupo
2.8
Goals For / Game
1.7
0.6
Goals Against / Game
2.1
60%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-3-0
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate
70%
30%
3.6
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
D0
0-0 2.7%
0-1 3.1%
0-2 1.8%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
D1
1-0 6.7%
1-1 7.7%
1-2 4.4%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
D2
2-0 8.2%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
D3
3-0 6.7%
3-1 7.7%
3-2 4.4%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
D4
4-0 4.1%
4-1 4.7%
4-2 2.7%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
D5
5-0 2.0%
5-1 2.3%
5-2 1.3%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.4%) 2-0(8.2%) 3-1(7.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip D=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Dinamo Zagreb Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Slaven Belupo Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Dinamo Zagreb
Overall
7.9
Scoring
9.3
Defence
8.0
Slaven Belupo
Overall
3.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
3.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.05.26HNL
Slaven Belupo1
Din. Zagreb4
14.03.26HNL
Din. Zagreb4
Slaven Belupo2
14.12.25HNL
Slaven Belupo2
Din. Zagreb5
28.09.25HNL
Din. Zagreb4
Slaven Belupo1
10.05.25HNL
Din. Zagreb5
Slaven Belupo0
09.03.25HNL
Slaven Belupo0
Din. Zagreb1
06.12.24HNL
Din. Zagreb1
Slaven Belupo1
21.09.24HNL
Slaven Belupo4
Din. Zagreb1
18.05.24HNL
Slaven Belupo2
Din. Zagreb3
10.03.24HNL
Din. Zagreb5
Slaven Belupo2
Recent Form
Dinamo Zagreb
28.07.26AET CL
Din. Zagreb3
Thun2
W
21.07.26CL
Thun1
Din. Zagreb1
D
14.07.26CF
Din. Zagreb0
LNZ Cherkasy0
D
08.07.26CF
Din. Zagreb4
Koper2
W
02.07.26CF
Grosuplje0
Din. Zagreb9
W
26.06.26CF
Radomlje0
Din. Zagreb3
W
23.05.26HNL
Din. Zagreb0
Lok. Zagreb0
D
17.05.26HNL
Slaven Belupo1
Din. Zagreb4
W
13.05.26CUP
Din. Zagreb2
Rijeka0
W
09.05.26HNL
Din. Zagreb2
Hajduk Split0
W
Slaven Belupo
25.07.26CF
Slaven Belupo4
Sesvete0
W
21.07.26CF
Slaven Belupo2
Shakhtar Donetsk2
D
16.07.26CF
Paks5
Slaven Belupo3
L
14.07.26CF
Slaven Belupo1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
L
10.07.26CF
Slaven Belupo0
Debrecen1
L
08.07.26CF
Slaven Belupo3
Csikszereda M. Ciuc1
W
04.07.26CF
Slaven Belupo2
Zalaegerszegi3
L
22.05.26HNL
Osijek2
Slaven Belupo0
L
17.05.26HNL
Slaven Belupo1
Din. Zagreb4
L
10.05.26HNL
Slaven Belupo1
Gorica0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 31st July 2026, Dinamo Zagreb host Slaven Belupo at Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb) in Croatia HNL. We recommend Dinamo Zagreb to win as the standout selection.

Dinamo Zagreb arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Slaven Belupo are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 1D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Dinamo Zagreb, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Slaven Belupo's 1, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: dinamo zagreb to win at odds of 1.26 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Croatia HNL match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.26, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 7:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo?
Our selection is 1 — Dinamo Zagreb to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Dinamo Zagreb's current form?
Dinamo Zagreb have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Slaven Belupo been performing recently?
Slaven Belupo have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Dinamo Zagreb lead with 8 wins versus Slaven Belupo's 1, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
⚠️
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