Moderate Signal 49% Confidence
E

Ekranas

Home
W D L L L
2W 1D 7L ▲ Improving
VS
5:00 pm
N/A
F
FK Minija
Away
W W L W W
7W 1D 2L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 14th August 2026
2
Backing FK Minija to win
Ekranas 20%
Draw 30%
FK Minija 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 81.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -32.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — FK Minija to win
1.23
FK Minija Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Ekranas vs FK Minija Competition: Lithuania I Lyga Date: Friday, 14th August 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 2 (FK Minija to win) Odds: 1.23 Confidence: 49% Also: FK Minija Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
3
Ekranas
4
Draws
2
FK Minija
9
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
56%
Over 2.5
Against Tip FK Minija won 2 of 9 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Ekranas
Metric
FK Minija
1.1
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.9
Goals Against / Game
0.4
10%
Clean Sheets
60%
2-1-7
W — D — L
7-1-2
Win Rate
20%
70%
2.5
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
E0
0-0 8.2%
0-1 14.4%
0-2 12.6%
0-3 7.3%
0-4 3.2%
0-5 1.1%
E1
1-0 6.2%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 9.4%
1-3 5.5%
1-4 2.4%
1-5 0.8%
E2
2-0 2.3%
2-1 4.0%
2-2 3.5%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.3%
E3
3-0 0.6%
3-1 1.0%
3-2 0.9%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
E4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
E5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(14.4%) 0-2(12.6%) 1-2(9.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip E=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Ekranas Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
FK Minija Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Ekranas
Overall
2.3
Scoring
3.7
Defence
3.7
FK Minija
Overall
7.3
Scoring
5.3
Defence
8.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Home Win & BTTS No 12%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Away Win & BTTS No 42%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 12%
Home Win & Under 2.5 8%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 42%
Away Win & Under 2.5 28%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
04.04.26IL
FK Minija2
Ekranas1
22.08.25IL
Ekranas3
FK Minija0
26.04.25IL
FK Minija1
Ekranas3
24.08.24IL
FK Minija0
Ekranas0
30.03.24IL
Ekranas1
FK Minija1
21.10.23IL
Ekranas2
FK Minija1
03.06.23IL
FK Minija1
Ekranas1
17.09.22IL
FK Minija3
Ekranas0
21.05.22IL
Ekranas1
FK Minija1
Recent Form
Ekranas
07.08.26IL
Jonava1
Ekranas2
W
01.08.26IL
Ekranas1
Zalgiris 21
D
25.07.26IL
Babrungas2
Ekranas0
L
19.07.26IL
Ekranas1
BFA Vilnius4
L
02.07.26IL
BFA Vilnius3
Ekranas0
L
27.06.26IL
Ekranas1
Atmosfera2
L
20.06.26IL
Tauras Taurage2
Ekranas1
L
05.06.26IL
Ekranas1
Neptunas2
L
29.05.26IL
Dainava Alytus2
Ekranas0
L
22.05.26IL
Ekranas4
Transinvest 20
W
FK Minija
08.08.26IL
FK Minija3
BE1 NFA0
W
31.07.26IL
Hegelmann Litauen 20
FK Minija4
W
28.07.26IL
Zalgiris 21
FK Minija0
L
18.07.26IL
FK Minija2
Jonava1
W
26.06.26IL
Garliava0
FK Minija1
W
23.06.26CUP
FK Minija2
FK Panevezys1
W
20.06.26IL
Atmosfera0
FK Minija1
W
13.06.26IL
FK Minija3
BFA Vilnius0
W
07.06.26IL
Jonava0
FK Minija0
D
29.05.26IL
Babrungas1
FK Minija0
L
Ekranas (Home)
01.08.26IL
Ekranas1
Zalgiris 21
D
19.07.26IL
Ekranas1
BFA Vilnius4
L
27.06.26IL
Ekranas1
Atmosfera2
L
05.06.26IL
Ekranas1
Neptunas2
L
22.05.26IL
Ekranas4
Transinvest 20
W
08.05.26IL
Ekranas1
Kauno Zalgiris 20
W
18.04.26IL
Ekranas1
Hegelmann Litauen 23
L
21.03.26IL
Ekranas1
Jonava2
L
14.03.26IL
Ekranas0
Babrungas3
L
04.02.26CF
Ekranas0
Transinvest6
L
FK Minija (Away)
31.07.26IL
Hegelmann Litauen 20
FK Minija4
W
28.07.26IL
Zalgiris 21
FK Minija0
L
26.06.26IL
Garliava0
FK Minija1
W
20.06.26IL
Atmosfera0
FK Minija1
W
07.06.26IL
Jonava0
FK Minija0
D
29.05.26IL
Babrungas1
FK Minija0
L
19.05.26CUP
Pempininkai1
FK Minija4
W
16.05.26IL
Neptunas1
FK Minija3
W
03.05.26IL
Transinvest 21
FK Minija7
W
19.04.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
FK Minija4
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Lithuania I Lyga match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into N/A. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 2 at @1.23, which our model rates near 20,30,50%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Ekranas vs FK Minija?
Our selection is 2 — FK Minija to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 49%.
What is Ekranas's current form?
Ekranas have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has FK Minija been performing recently?
FK Minija have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ekranas lead with 3 wins versus FK Minija's 2, with 4 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
⚠️
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