Moderate Signal 50% Confidence
E

Estudiantes

Home
W D L W W
5W 2D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
C
Cusco
Away
L W W L W
4W 1D 5L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 14th April 2026
1
Backing Estudiantes to win
Estudiantes 50%
Draw 30%
Cusco 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 83.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -33.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
1
Estudiantes
1
Draws
0
Cusco
2
Meetings
1.5
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Estudiantes won 1 of the last 2 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Estudiantes
Metric
Cusco
1.3
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.2
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-2-3
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
50%
40%
2.2
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
E0
0-0 11.7%
0-1 10.5%
0-2 4.7%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
E1
1-0 14.6%
1-1 13.1%
1-2 5.9%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
E2
2-0 9.1%
2-1 8.2%
2-2 3.7%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.0%
E3
3-0 3.8%
3-1 3.4%
3-2 1.5%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
E4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 1.1%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
E5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.6%) 2-0(9.1%) 2-1(8.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip E=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Estudiantes Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Cusco Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Estudiantes
Overall
5.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
8.0
Cusco
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 21%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 23%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
01.05.18
Copa Libertadores: Cusco FC0
Estudiantes LP0
14.03.18
Copa Libertadores: Estudiantes LP3
Cusco FC0
Recent Form
Estudiantes
11.04.26
Liga Profesional: Estudiantes2
Unión de Santa Fe1
W
09.04.26
Copa Libertadores: Independiente Medellín1
Estudiantes1
D
03.04.26
Liga Profesional: San Lorenzo1
Estudiantes0
L
23.03.26
Liga Profesional: Estudiantes5
Central Córdoba0
W
18.03.26
Liga Profesional: Gimnasia Mendoza1
Estudiantes2
W
14.03.26
Liga Profesional: Estudiantes0
Lanús1
L
02.03.26
Liga Profesional: Estudiantes0
Vélez Sarsfield1
L
25.02.26
Liga Profesional: Newell’s Old Boys0
Estudiantes2
W
20.02.26
Liga Profesional: Estudiantes1
Sarmiento Junín0
W
15.02.26
Liga Profesional: Gimnasia L.P.0
Estudiantes0
D
Cusco
09.04.26
Copa Libertadores: Cusco FC0
Flamengo RJ2
L
04.04.26
Liga 1: FBC Melgar1
Cusco FC3
W
21.03.26
Liga 1: Moquegua1
Cusco FC2
W
16.03.26
Liga 1: Cusco FC1
Cienciano2
L
08.03.26
Liga 1: Cusco FC1
Deportivo Garcilaso0
W
01.03.26
Liga 1: Juan Pablo II2
Cusco FC1
L
23.02.26
Liga 1: Cusco FC3
Comerciantes Unidos1
W
13.02.26
Liga 1: Cajamarca1
Cusco FC0
L
08.02.26
Liga 1: Cusco FC1
U. de Deportes1
D
01.02.26
Liga 1: Alianza Atl.1
Cusco FC0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Copa Libertadores fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.20 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Estudiantes vs Cusco?
Our selection is 1 — Estudiantes to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Estudiantes's current form?
Estudiantes have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Cusco been performing recently?
Cusco have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Estudiantes lead with 1 wins versus Cusco's 0, with 1 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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