Moderate Signal 47% Confidence
F

FarDU

Home
W D W W D
7W 2D 1L → Steady
VS
12:00 pm
N/A
B
BuxDU
Away
L L L L L
2W 0D 8L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 22nd September 2026
1
Backing FarDU to win
Implied Prob 74.1% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -27.1% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — FarDU to win
1.35
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
FarDU vs BuxDU Competition: Uzbekistan Pro Liga Date: Tuesday, 22nd September 2026 KO: 12:00 pm Pick: 1 (FarDU to win) Odds: 1.35 Confidence: 47% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
0
FarDU
1
Draws
0
BuxDU
1
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Against Tip FarDU won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
FarDU
Metric
BuxDU
2.1
Goals For / Game
1
1.4
Goals Against / Game
2.4
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-2-1
W — D — L
2-0-8
Win Rate
70%
20%
3.5
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
F0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 3.8%
0-2 2.3%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
F1
1-0 7.1%
1-1 8.6%
1-2 5.1%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.2%
F2
2-0 8.0%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 5.8%
2-3 2.3%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
F3
3-0 6.0%
3-1 7.2%
3-2 4.3%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
F4
4-0 3.4%
4-1 4.1%
4-2 2.4%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
F5
5-0 1.5%
5-1 1.8%
5-2 1.1%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.6%) 2-0(8.0%) 3-1(7.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip F=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
FarDU
Overall
7.6
Scoring
7.0
Defence
5.3
BuxDU
Overall
2.0
Scoring
3.3
Defence
2.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 39%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 42%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
06.05.26PL
BuxDu1
FarDU1
Recent Form
FarDU
12.09.26PL
Respublika FA2
FarDU3
W
07.09.26PL
FarDU1
Aral1
D
28.08.26PL
Gazalkent0
FarDU1
W
22.08.26PL
FarDU3
Shortan Guzor1
W
14.08.26PL
Jayxun0
FarDU0
D
09.08.26PL
FarDU5
Pakhtakor II1
W
04.08.26PL
FarDU5
TerDU1
W
31.07.26PL
Yaypan0
FarDU1
W
25.07.26PL
FarDU2
Lochin1
W
08.06.26PL
Metallurg Bekabad7
FarDU0
L
BuxDU
17.09.26PL
BuxDu1
Respublika FA2
L
13.09.26PL
BuxDu0
Kattaqurgon2
L
06.09.26PL
Olimpik-Mobiuz2
BuxDu1
L
27.08.26PL
BuxDu0
Metallurg Bekabad4
L
15.08.26PL
Aral2
BuxDu0
L
09.08.26PL
BuxDu1
Gazalkent3
L
05.08.26PL
BuxDu2
Shortan Guzor4
L
31.07.26PL
Jayxun5
BuxDu1
L
24.07.26PL
BuxDu2
Pakhtakor II0
W
10.06.26PL
BuxDu2
TerDU0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Uzbekistan Pro Liga match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into N/A. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 5 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.35, which our model rates near 48%. The fixture starts at 12:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FarDU vs BuxDU?
Our selection is 1 — FarDU to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 47%.
What is FarDU's current form?
FarDU have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has BuxDU been performing recently?
BuxDU have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FarDU lead with 0 wins versus BuxDU's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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