WON Tip WON FC Porto 2-0 Moreirense

FC Porto

Home

W D L W W

3W 1D 1L → Steady

2-0

Moreirense

Away

D D L W L

1W 2D 2L ▲ Improving

FC Porto 60%

Draw 20%

Moreirense 20%

H Fair Odds 1.67

D Fair Odds 5

A Fair Odds 5

Implied Prob 81.3% Bookie's implied odds

Our Edge -16.3% Overpriced

Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %

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Supporting Bets

Extras

Primary Selection

1 — FC Porto to win

1.23

Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — Yes70%

📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder

FC Porto vs Moreirense Competition: Portugal Liga Date: Sunday, 15th March 2026 Pick: 1 (FC Porto to win) Odds: 1.23 Confidence: 65% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)

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Head to Head

Record

FC Porto

Draws

Moreirense

Meetings

Avg Goals

60%

BTTS

80%

Over 2.5

Supports Tip FC Porto won 4 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

FC Porto

Metric

Moreirense

1.6

Goals For / Game

Goals Against / Game

1.6

20%

Clean Sheets

3-1-1

W — D — L

1-2-2

Win Rate

60%

20%

2.6

Avg Goals

80%

Over 1.5

60%

Over 2.5

70%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 7.4%

0-1 7.4%

0-2 3.7%

0-3 1.2%

0-4 0.3%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 11.9%

1-1 11.9%

1-2 5.9%

1-3 2.0%

1-4 0.5%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 9.5%

2-1 9.5%

2-2 4.8%

2-3 1.6%

2-4 0.4%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 5.1%

3-1 5.1%

3-2 2.5%

3-3 0.9%

3-4 0.2%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 2.0%

4-1 2.0%

4-2 1.0%

4-3 0.3%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.7%

5-1 0.7%

5-2 0.3%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 1-0(11.9%) 2-0(9.5%) 2-1(9.5%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip F=Home goals ↓ M=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

FC Porto Win

60%

1.67

Draw

20%

Moreirense Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

FC Porto

Overall

6.6 —

Scoring

5.3 —

Defence

6.7 —

Moreirense

Overall

3.2 —

Scoring

3.3 —

Defence

4.7 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 39%

Home Win & BTTS No 17%

Draw & BTTS Yes 19%

Draw & BTTS No 8%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%

Away Win & BTTS No 5%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 33%

Home Win & Under 2.5 22%

Draw & Over 2.5 16%

Draw & Under 2.5 11%

Away Win & Over 2.5 11%

Away Win & Under 2.5 7%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

27.10.25

LP: Moreirense1

FC Porto2

02.05.25

LP: FC Porto3

Moreirense1

21.12.24

LP: Moreirense0

FC Porto3

24.11.24

TP: Moreirense2

FC Porto1

31.10.24

CUP: FC Porto2

Moreirense0

Recent Form

FC Porto

12.03.26

UEL: VfB Stuttgart1

FC Porto2

08.03.26

LP: Benfica2

FC Porto2

03.03.26

TP: Sporting CP1

FC Porto0

27.02.26

LP: FC Porto3

Arouca1

22.02.26

LP: FC Porto1

Rio Ave0

Moreirense

07.03.26

LP: Moreirense1

Nacional1

01.03.26

LP: Casa Pia1

Moreirense1

21.02.26

LP: Moreirense0

Sporting CP3

16.02.26

LP: Rio Ave1

Moreirense2

07.02.26

LP: Moreirense1

Gil Vicente2

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Match Analysis

Writeup

On Sunday, 15th March 2026, FC Porto host Moreirense in Portugal Liga. We recommend FC Porto to win as the standout selection.

FC Porto arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Moreirense are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 2L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour FC Porto, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Moreirense's 1, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: fc porto to win at odds of 1.23 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for FC Porto vs Moreirense?

Our selection is 1 — FC Porto to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 65%.

What is FC Porto's current form?

FC Porto have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

How has Moreirense been performing recently?

Moreirense have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

FC Porto lead with 4 wins versus Moreirense's 1, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

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