Moderate Signal 60% Confidence
F

Fenerbahce

Home
W W W D W
6W 2D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
7:00 pm
Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu (Istanbul)
G
Gornik Zabrze
Away
L W D L W
5W 2D 3L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 21st July 2026
1
Backing Fenerbahce to win
Fenerbahce 60%
Draw 20%
Gornik Zabrze 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 82.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -22.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Fenerbahce to win
1.21
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Fenerbahce vs Gornik Zabrze Competition: UCL Qualifiers Date: Tuesday, 21st July 2026 KO: 7:00 pm Pick: 1 (Fenerbahce to win) Odds: 1.21 Confidence: 60% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Fenerbahce
Metric
Gornik Zabrze
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1
40%
Clean Sheets
50%
6-2-2
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate
60%
50%
3.2
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
F0
0-0 4.3%
0-1 5.8%
0-2 3.9%
0-3 1.8%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
F1
1-0 7.7%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 7.0%
1-3 3.2%
1-4 1.1%
1-5 0.3%
F2
2-0 6.9%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 6.3%
2-3 2.9%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
F3
3-0 4.2%
3-1 5.6%
3-2 3.8%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
F4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
F5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.4%) 1-0(7.7%) 2-0(6.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip F=Home goals ↓   G=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Fenerbahce Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Gornik Zabrze Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Fenerbahce
Overall
6.6
Scoring
8.7
Defence
6.3
Gornik Zabrze
Overall
5.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
6.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 27%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Fenerbahce
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Rizespor2
D
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Kayserispor0
Fenerbahce4
W
Gornik Zabrze
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Lech Poznan3
Gornik Zabrze1
L
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Nordsjaelland0
Gornik Zabrze2
W
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Tirol0
Gornik Zabrze0
D
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Salzburg2
Gornik Zabrze1
L
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Hallescher1
Gornik Zabrze2
W
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Gornik Zabrze3
Puszcza0
W
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Radomiak Radom2
W
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Wisla Plock0
Gornik Zabrze1
W
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Arka Gdynia0
Gornik Zabrze0
D
09.05.26EKS
Gornik Zabrze0
Zaglebie2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 21st July 2026, Fenerbahce host Gornik Zabrze at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu (Istanbul) in UCL Qualifiers. We recommend Fenerbahce to win as the standout selection.

Fenerbahce arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Gornik Zabrze are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: fenerbahce to win at odds of 1.21 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this UCL Qualifiers match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu (Istanbul). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.21, which our model rates near 80%. The fixture starts at 7:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Fenerbahce vs Gornik Zabrze?
Our selection is 1 — Fenerbahce to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Fenerbahce's current form?
Fenerbahce have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Gornik Zabrze been performing recently?
Gornik Zabrze have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game.
⚠️
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