Moderate Signal 55% Confidence
F

Fortuna Hjorring W

Home
W D W W W
5W 1D 4L ▼ Declining
VS
6:00 pm
N/A
A
Aarhus W
Away
L L L L L
0W 1D 9L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 19th August 2026
1
Backing Fortuna Hjorring W to win
Fortuna Hjorring W 50%
Draw 30%
Aarhus W 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 80% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -25% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Fortuna Hjorring W to win
1.25
BTTS — No65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Fortuna Hjorring W vs Aarhus W Competition: Denmark A Liga Women Date: Wednesday, 19th August 2026 KO: 6:00 pm Pick: 1 (Fortuna Hjorring W to win) Odds: 1.25 Confidence: 55% Also: BTTS — No (65%)
Head to Head
Record
7
Fortuna Hjorring W
1
Draws
2
Aarhus W
10
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Fortuna Hjorring W won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Fortuna Hjorring W
Metric
Aarhus W
1.5
Goals For / Game
0.3
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2.3
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-1-4
W — D — L
0-1-9
Win Rate
50%
0%
2.6
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
F0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 1.8%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
F1
1-0 14.1%
1-1 9.9%
1-2 3.5%
1-3 0.8%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
F2
2-0 13.4%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 3.3%
2-3 0.8%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
F3
3-0 8.5%
3-1 5.9%
3-2 2.1%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
F4
4-0 4.0%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 1.5%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.1%) 2-0(13.4%) 2-1(9.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip F=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Fortuna Hjorring W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Aarhus W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Fortuna Hjorring W
Overall
5.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.3
Aarhus W
Overall
0.3
Scoring
1.0
Defence
2.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 54%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 46%
Home Win & Under 2.5 37%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
09.05.26AL
Fortuna Hjorring W2
Aarhus1
24.03.26AL
Aarhus W1
Fortuna Hjorring2
08.11.25AL
Aarhus W2
Fortuna Hjorring1
23.08.25AL
Fortuna Hjorring W4
Aarhus0
24.05.25AL
Fortuna Hjorring W1
Aarhus0
15.03.25AL
Aarhus W2
Fortuna Hjorring2
26.01.25CF
Fortuna Hjorring W0
Aarhus1
05.10.24AL
Fortuna Hjorring W3
Aarhus0
24.08.24AL
Aarhus W0
Fortuna Hjorring3
04.05.24AL
Aarhus W3
Fortuna Hjorring5
Recent Form
Fortuna Hjorring W
15.08.26AL
FC Copenhagen W1
Fortuna Hjorring W4
W
04.08.26AL
Fortuna Hjorring W0
Midtjylland W0
D
28.07.26AL
KoldingQ W2
Fortuna Hjorring W6
W
13.06.26AL
Fortuna Hjorring W1
Nordsjaelland W0
W
28.05.26AL
KoldingQ W0
Fortuna Hjorring W1
W
23.05.26AL
Koge W1
Fortuna Hjorring W0
L
09.05.26AL
Fortuna Hjorring W2
Aarhus W1
W
03.05.26AL
Brondby W2
Fortuna Hjorring W0
L
25.04.26AL
Nordsjaelland W2
Fortuna Hjorring W0
L
05.04.26AL
Fortuna Hjorring W1
KoldingQ W2
L
Aarhus W
16.08.26AL
Aarhus W0
Brondby W3
L
02.08.26AL
Aarhus W0
KoldingQ W4
L
25.07.26AL
ASA Aarhus W3
Aarhus W1
L
13.06.26AL
Brondby W3
Aarhus W0
L
31.05.26AL
Aarhus W0
Koge W3
L
24.05.26AL
Aarhus W0
Nordsjaelland W0
D
09.05.26AL
Fortuna Hjorring W2
Aarhus W1
L
05.05.26AL
Aarhus W1
KoldingQ W2
L
28.04.26AL
Aarhus W0
Brondby W1
L
05.04.26AL
Koge W2
Aarhus W0
L
Fortuna Hjorring W (Home)
04.08.26AL
Fortuna Hjorring W0
Midtjylland W0
D
13.06.26AL
Fortuna Hjorring W1
Nordsjaelland W0
W
09.05.26AL
Fortuna Hjorring W2
Aarhus W1
W
05.04.26AL
Fortuna Hjorring W1
KoldingQ W2
L
28.03.26AL
Fortuna Hjorring W1
Koge W2
L
15.03.26AL
Fortuna Hjorring W1
Brondby W2
L
22.11.25AL
Fortuna Hjorring W2
Koge W1
W
19.11.25EC
Fortuna Hjorring W2
Breidablik W4
L
04.11.25AL
Fortuna Hjorring W1
Midtjylland W1
D
15.10.25EC
Fortuna Hjorring W1
Vorskla Poltava W0
W
Aarhus W (Away)
25.07.26AL
ASA Aarhus W3
Aarhus W1
L
13.06.26AL
Brondby W3
Aarhus W0
L
09.05.26AL
Fortuna Hjorring W2
Aarhus W1
L
05.04.26AL
Koge W2
Aarhus W0
L
28.03.26AL
Nordsjaelland W3
Aarhus W1
L
17.03.26AL
KoldingQ W0
Aarhus W0
D
07.03.26CF
FC Copenhagen W4
Aarhus W3
L
18.02.26CF
KuPS W2
Aarhus W2
D
05.02.26CF
Hacken W6
Aarhus W0
L
25.01.26CF
Midtjylland W0
Aarhus W3
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Denmark A Liga Women match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into N/A. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 5 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.25, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 6:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Fortuna Hjorring W vs Aarhus W?
Our selection is 1 — Fortuna Hjorring W to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Fortuna Hjorring W's current form?
Fortuna Hjorring W have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Aarhus W been performing recently?
Aarhus W have recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Fortuna Hjorring W lead with 7 wins versus Aarhus W's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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